wxdudemike Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Pittsburgh stays cold enough for snow too. Maybe I'm good still being east of CMH. Lol. Dang they do? That's sad seeing as they are so much farther east. Are you north of Columbus also? That would help a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I know. I was inferring that "warmer" for them also meant the low was tracking further west. Do you happen to know how far north the primary gets before it dissipates? Round-abouts the KY/WV border it transfers east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Dang they do? That's sad seeing as they are so much farther east. Are you north of Columbus also? That would help a lot. that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back. central ohio rides the razor yet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Dang they do? That's sad seeing as they are so much farther east. Are you north of Columbus also? That would help a lot. I'm in coshocton county. 3 counties northeast of CMH. Kinda weird seeing a storm not being reliant on being to the north and west of the storm track lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back. central ohio rides the razor yet again Ah good point. Screw job for them would be a solid primary blasting all the way through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 It's just as good, if not a bit better than the 0z run for YYZ. Looks like the primary makes it to the OH/WV border, but it is already transferring. Yeah, I'm seeing this on wundermap now. Looks like the transfer occurs along the Mason/Dixon line rather than through VA/DE on the 0z. QPF looks about the same although I'll know for sure when one of you kind sirs with access to the text data posts them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 12Z ECMWF Text List PAH: WED 00Z 26-DEC 2.5 0.9 1012 84 96 0.04 554 544 WED 06Z 26-DEC 1.1 0.3 1005 97 100 0.32 548 544 WED 12Z 26-DEC 0.0 -4.2 1006 90 97 0.44 541 537 WED 18Z 26-DEC 1.5 -4.6 1014 73 75 0.18 546 535 VPZ: WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.1 -4.2 1015 73 87 0.03 543 531 THU 00Z 27-DEC 0.0 -9.0 1016 74 75 0.04 543 530 THU 06Z 27-DEC -0.5 -7.2 1018 73 18 0.01 547 533 THU 12Z 27-DEC -0.7 -8.2 1021 71 25 0.01 549 533 LAF: WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.9 -3.2 1012 80 93 0.02 545 536 WED 18Z 26-DEC -2.0 -3.8 1012 85 98 0.24 542 532 THU 00Z 27-DEC -1.4 -7.4 1016 83 84 0.08 544 531 IND: WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.7 -1.7 1008 86 100 0.20 546 539 WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.9 -5.5 1008 89 97 0.37 540 534 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.2 -7.4 1015 85 82 0.06 543 532 BMG: WED 06Z 26-DEC 0.9 -0.4 1013 74 87 0.01 551 540 WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.2 -2.1 1005 88 100 0.36 544 540 WED 18Z 26-DEC -0.9 -5.3 1007 87 96 0.38 541 535 THU 00Z 27-DEC -1.8 -7.2 1015 84 74 0.04 545 533 OKK: WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.6 -2.8 1012 81 99 0.03 546 537 WED 18Z 26-DEC -2.3 -5.3 1010 86 97 0.30 541 533 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.1 -7.7 1014 84 91 0.14 542 531 FWA: WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.6 -3.4 1013 80 100 0.02 547 537 WED 18Z 26-DEC -2.4 -6.5 1010 84 99 0.26 541 533 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.9 -7.6 1013 83 95 0.17 541 531 THU 06Z 27-DEC -2.6 -6.6 1016 79 55 0.01 544 532 GRR: THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.2 -8.4 1016 77 98 0.06 542 529 THU 06Z 27-DEC -4.8 -6.6 1018 75 67 0.01 542 528 BTL: WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.7 -5.5 1014 74 97 0.03 543 531 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.6 -8.7 1015 84 96 0.16 541 530 THU 06Z 27-DEC -4.6 -7.2 1017 79 64 0.02 543 529 MOP: THU 00Z 27-DEC -3.5 -8.6 1017 83 97 0.05 542 528 THU 06Z 27-DEC -5.7 -6.9 1017 82 88 0.02 541 528 PTK: WED 18Z 26-DEC -2.1 -5.0 1013 75 99 0.05 544 534 THU 00Z 27-DEC -3.5 -7.8 1012 85 97 0.25 540 531 THU 06Z 27-DEC -2.7 -9.2 1012 86 77 0.06 540 530 THU 12Z 27-DEC -5.1 -7.3 1017 84 52 0.01 543 530 DTW: WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.7 -5.3 1012 81 100 0.14 544 535 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.8 -7.4 1010 85 96 0.27 540 532 THU 06Z 27-DEC -2.4 -8.8 1012 85 76 0.04 540 531 THU 12Z 27-DEC -4.4 -6.8 1017 82 52 0.01 544 531 DET: WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.4 -4.9 1012 79 100 0.12 545 535 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.5 -7.2 1010 86 95 0.29 540 532 THU 06Z 27-DEC -2.2 -8.8 1011 86 76 0.05 540 531 THU 12Z 27-DEC -2.7 -8.2 1016 84 54 0.01 543 531 TDZ: WED 12Z 26-DEC 0.5 -3.3 1015 78 91 0.01 549 537 WED 18Z 26-DEC 0.3 -6.6 1009 92 99 0.33 543 537 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.0 -6.8 1008 88 95 0.26 540 533 THU 06Z 27-DEC -3.2 -8.7 1012 83 76 0.02 541 531 DAY: WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.5 -0.6 1008 92 100 0.47 549 543 WED 18Z 26-DEC 0.4 -1.2 1002 93 65 0.30 540 539 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.3 -6.0 1008 92 97 0.08 540 534 THU 06Z 27-DEC -4.0 -8.6 1014 86 55 0.02 544 532 HAO: WED 06Z 26-DEC 1.0 0.2 1015 80 88 0.02 553 541 WED 12Z 26-DEC 0.5 -0.6 1005 93 99 0.56 549 545 WED 18Z 26-DEC 1.4 0.4 1001 92 54 0.16 540 539 THU 00Z 27-DEC -1.9 -6.6 1009 87 93 0.08 541 533 THU 06Z 27-DEC -3.0 -8.4 1016 85 52 0.01 546 533 CMH: WED 12Z 26-DEC 0.5 -0.1 1009 93 100 0.45 551 544 WED 18Z 26-DEC 1.3 -0.1 1001 92 37 0.41 542 541 THU 00Z 27-DEC 0.6 -2.3 1003 92 79 0.10 539 537 THU 06Z 27-DEC -2.5 -7.4 1011 88 76 0.02 541 533 THU 12Z 27-DEC -3.3 -7.9 1017 84 36 0.01 548 534 CLE: WED 12Z 26-DEC -1.5 -1.4 1016 85 97 0.02 551 539 WED 18Z 26-DEC -0.1 -3.3 1007 89 99 0.54 546 540 THU 00Z 27-DEC 0.6 -4.9 1004 91 95 0.28 540 537 THU 06Z 27-DEC -1.4 -7.2 1007 89 88 0.08 539 533 THU 12Z 27-DEC -1.2 -10.1 1014 80 74 0.02 542 532 THU 18Z 27-DEC -1.3 -8.3 1018 77 38 0.02 547 532 FRI 00Z 28-DEC -3.6 -6.7 1021 85 18 0.01 549 532 YKF: WED 18Z 26-DEC -5.2 -4.2 1018 75 96 0.03 548 534 THU 00Z 27-DEC -6.0 -6.3 1013 85 100 0.33 543 533 THU 06Z 27-DEC -6.7 -8.1 1009 85 96 0.28 539 532 THU 12Z 27-DEC -7.3 -8.0 1011 83 89 0.03 539 530 YYZ: WED 18Z 26-DEC -3.4 -4.9 1020 72 83 0.02 549 533 THU 00Z 27-DEC -3.9 -6.2 1013 86 99 0.35 544 534 THU 06Z 27-DEC -5.0 -7.9 1009 88 97 0.38 539 532 THU 12Z 27-DEC -5.4 -8.5 1010 84 95 0.06 538 530 THU 18Z 27-DEC -3.3 -8.6 1012 72 81 0.01 538 529 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back. central ohio rides the razor yet again The problem I'd be having around there is that you basically need the Euro to be 100% correct with its thermal fields. Even a slight error/shift toward other models makes it a lot less snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Really rooting for you southern crew guys. hope it pans out! But if it crept NW, I wouldn't cry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back. central ohio rides the razor yet again this illustrates it well. we need a slightly weaker low of a slight shift east. Actually mby would probably be real close to ok verbatim as is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 EURO giving less and less for DTW every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 EURO giving less and less for DTW every run. Or the last two of them, at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 6" verbatim for Toledo, 10"+ over towards Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The problem I'd be having around there is that you basically need the Euro to be 100% correct with its thermal fields. Even a slight error/shift toward other models makes it a lot less snowy. cmh has also been winnning the qpf totals prize run after run... which makes this a huge win or a crushing defeat. ...probably end up like the ggem... the whole kitchen sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 EURO a good hit for Southern IN? Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours? Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Or the last two of them, at least 3 to 5". For all of Detroit area. Take it and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours? Hes throwing towels with anger then happy one minute then asks how mby..Not sure if he knows whats going on in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Euro continues to suck for St Louis..dry as a bone this time. It better start coming NW. Euro against the world. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that. Pretty much status quo for the Indiana sites. Slight decreases for IND, LAF...slight bumps for BMG and FWA (decent maybe for FWA)...and a good bump for OKK. Congrats Jim. BMG: 0z run: 0.77" 12z run: 0.79" FWA 0z run: 0.40" 12z run: 0.46" IND 0z run: 0.65" 12z run: 0.63" LAF 0z run: 0.36" 12z run: 0.34" OKK 0z run: 0.34" 12z run: 0.47" VPZ 0z run: 0.10" 12z run: 0.09" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Who's gonna dish out a part 2 thread? SSC should go for it, maybe it will bring some luck for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Who's gonna dish out a part 2 thread? SSC should go for it, maybe it will bring some luck for a change. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours? Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that. I sure do....I call it the backyard bell....very sweet tune. You should come by and hear it some time. It is music to the ears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38480-december-26-27-winter-storm-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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