AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Because the models aren't as dug in as they could be and a nice southeast ridge is butting into play. I am worried..................... Unless I'm missing something important generally storms don't try to cut west with such a strong west based -NAO... and I'm not really seeing that ridge you are speaking of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 This may be Indiana/Chicago snowstorm. One more bump west on the superior model GFS and its game for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Because the models aren't as dug in as they could be and a nice southeast ridge is butting into play. I am worried..................... What southeast ridge. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I always know there is a chance if, nickysixes is lurking.. lets go 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It depends. If this thing really amps up and closes off, the "primary" low becomes the main low where all the action is at. Of course it will occlude and 'transfer", but the energy surge would be over. Really the only ridging to the east stems from the amplification of the trough over the central CONUS... not the other way around. I agree that it could end up further northwest and Chicago could end up with an inch or two but I think at this point another track towards LAF would be a little extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 18Z GFS looking similar to 12Z run through 63... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 couple inches out of the next two eventsfor Chicago would be nice.. would be a shame to go all month with no mood snow downtown to really enjoy the beautiful lights and displays.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 18z GFS seems almost identical to the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 18z ends up with a nearly identical track with the Surface low compared to the 12z... some minor differenes aloft but really all in all very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickysixes Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 YES!!!!!!!!! ) I always know there is a chance if, nickysixes is lurking.. lets go 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 If I were buckeye my hope would slowly be draining... hell I'm getting a bit skeptical of my position in NWOH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 18z ends up with a nearly identical track with the Surface low compared to the 12z... some minor differenes aloft but really all in all very similar. LMK kinda gets screwed that run. Southern Indiana gets into the deformation band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 couple inches out of the next two events for Chicago would be nice.. would be a shame to go all month with no mood snow downtown to really enjoy the beautiful lights and displays.. At least there's a chance for LES from the circulation of this storm! Will see how long Alek's futility record lasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looking good for my area barring any major NW moves the next 48 hours. Seems like with this threat there is only so far NW it can drive itself. 18z GFS is perfect for and 12z EURO is perfect for Hoosierland but can it hold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 If I were buckeye my hope would slowly be draining... hell I'm getting a bit skeptical of my position in NWOH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 running out of time to kick that highs azz before the transfer. still worth keeping on eye on if your in chicago especially just south. Mood snow and maybe some LES would be nice though. Looking real nice for the snow starved down south farther in Illinois and Indiana. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Another good run for I-57 and points east/LAF crew. Eastern LOT CWA probably picks up an inch or two on top of whatever falls from the LES before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 One big difference on the 18z GFS is that it doesn't appear to be a transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I like where I'm at (Seymour) as of now. I realize that the GFS/EURO puts heaviest totals just to my north and west but it wouldn't take much of a shift back to the east (about 50 miles or so) to put me back in the heart of the deformation band... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Alek, how about your thoughts and first call amounts for the LES to hit Chicagoland. I love me some deep Alek talk about LES and enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looking good for my area barring any major NW moves the next 48 hours. Seems like with this threat there is only so far NW it can drive itself. 18z GFS is perfect for and 12z EURO is perfect for Hoosierland but can it hold? Yep. My wife works over your way. Starting to make arrangements now. Her employer doesn't close down. Damn hospitals. Sent from my Galaxy S III on Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The sfc low is the the EXACT same spot on both the 18z and 12z GFS valid 0z Weds. 18z GFS just a tad stronger (996mb) and more snow back in AR. Same spot and strength at 6z Weds too, pretty good consistency there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looking better for a snow storm here in Northern Indiana...too bad I will be in Central Ohio for the holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Alek, how about your thoughts and first call amounts for the LES to hit Chicagoland. I love me some deep Alek talk about LES and enhancement. Lol..he is prob giddy over it. Jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Look at the difference in the placement of both the big spinning ULL over Canada and our system in OH valid 18z Wed off the last two GFS runs. Seems as though you are getting little waves spinning off the western side of of the upper level low in Canada and coming down and almost trying to partial phase with the backside of our system and pulling it north for a time. The 6z GFS wasn't even close to having this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GFS Ensembles have come well to the west... central TN to OH/WV border... not even close to a transfer at 96hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Alek, how about your thoughts and first call amounts for the LES to hit Chicagoland. I love me some deep Alek talk about LES and enhancement. i honestly haven't been following as closely as normal...too busy with other holiday season activities. I'll have some time tomorrow or later tonight to look over things. These type of fringe OH valley cutter / LE combos can be good for 3-4" but that's probably best case scenario. ILL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 couple inches out of the next two eventsfor Chicago would be nice.. would be a shame to go all month with no mood snow downtown to really enjoy the beautiful lights and displays.. Lol..he is prob giddy over it. Jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looking better for a snow storm here in Northern Indiana...too bad I will be in Central Ohio for the holidays Welcome to the board. Models could trend back SE and you'd be gold if you like snow. BTW, I love fishing many of the lakes around Syracuse, but Wawasee not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.