michsnowfreak Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro qpf for the storm now at 0.75"+ for eastern counties in SE MI! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 No to the WTOD...can't handle another!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Yeah i think I'll take this run and....well, run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Yeah i think I'll take this run and....well, run. YYZ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0.70" QPF for YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Yeah i think I'll take this run and....well, run. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The doctor went towards the GFS... The Buckeye bus has hit a detour... Just hope it doesn't crash and burn.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Any chance I can get the qpf for EVV on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0.70" QPF for YYZ Good run for you guys too. Lock it in! Not getting too excited yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Any chance I can get the qpf for EVV on the euro? 0.90" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 CIPS analogs at 96 hours based off the 0z GFS at 96 hours...centered over the low in the southeast sector. Top 5 analog dates: http://www.eas.slu.e...2&fhr=F096&flg= 1) December 24, 2002/12z 2) December 23, 2004/0z 3) December 5, 2002/0z 4) January 30, 2010/0z 5) December 5, 1984/0z Yes please. BTW, AppsRunner, I've seen this mentioned last night, but I do not have Euro Text data, so if Joe doesn't post, I'd appreciate some numbers. Thanks. If Joe doesn't show up in 5 minutes I'll try to get most of the locations of people sitting in this thread right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Main forum thread: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I though about that. Just read Chad's update...he thinks it's coming farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The doctor went towards the GFS... The Buckeye bus has hit a detour... Just hope it doesn't crash and burn.... yea not looking good, I wasn't too worried about the gfs....but the euro pulling this is definitely a HUGE kick in the nuts. Only thread I have left is the fact that the second team models ukie and ggem and third team nogaps are all way suppressed. but I'd still take the gfs and euro 100 times over those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0.90" Thanks.... I'll take it as long as we can avoid mixing issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 yea not looking good, I wasn't too worried about the gfs....but the euro pulling this is definitely a HUGE kick in the nuts. Only thread I have left is the fact that the second team models ukie and ggem and third team nogaps are all way suppressed. but I'd still take the gfs and euro 100 times over those. My gut says the GFS overcorrected and will come back south a little... but I just want to let you know I'm still rooting for the heavy snow axis from you to SSC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Just read Chad's update...he thinks it's coming farther north. Ice storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Spent a long time this morning analyzing the model data and upper air pattern and I personally am leaning toward a Christmas of 2004 type storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Thanks.... I'll take it as long as we can avoid mixing issues according to what I'm looking at its all snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 My gut says the GFS overcorrected and will come back south a little... but I just want to let you know I'm still rooting for the heavy snow axis from you to SSC. I think SSC will do fine, I can't imagine this getting so far north it puts him in the warm...but who knows. At this point I just hope the models figure it out sooner rather than later. Nothing worse than having hopes dashed 48 hrs out. If the concensus tonight is this massive nw shift... that would suck but so be it. ....maybe in the spirit of the holidays, I'll even save my meltdown for after xmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Not going to do everything Joe does with text data... just posting totals for now: YYZ: 1.11" DTW: .74" TDZ: .77" CLE: 1.18" CMH: 1.11" *Mostly rain DAY: .96" IND: .99" LAF: .52" MIE: .85" I'm sure I've missed a few of you so let me know if you need another city done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Not going to do everything Joe does with text data... just posting totals for now: YYZ: 1.11" DTW: .74" TDZ: .77" CLE: 1.18" CMH: 1.11" *Mostly rain DAY: .96" IND: .99" LAF: .52" MIE: .85" I'm sure I've missed a few of you so let me know if you need another city done. dang im looking at the 00z totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Not going to do everything Joe does with text data... just posting totals for now: YYZ: 1.11" DTW: .74" TDZ: .77" CLE: 1.18" CMH: 1.11" *Mostly rain DAY: .96" IND: .99" LAF: .52" MIE: .85" I'm sure I've missed a few of you so let me know if you need another city done. Any love for northeast IL on ths run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0.90" Thanks.... I'll take it as long as we can avoid mixing issues according to what I'm looking at its all snow! Mixing issues for the first half inch or so....not sure what you're looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Lol...what a kick in the balls. Congrats, Hoosier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Spent a long time this morning analyzing the model data and upper air pattern and I personally am leaning toward a Christmas of 2004 type storm track. God bless you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Any love for northeast IL on ths run? ORD/MDW gets some mood flakes. about .05" of them. Seems like an awfully sharp cut off with LAF getting a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Ice storm? There was some nondescript line about analogs suggesting it will track farther northwest...and it seems like he's not ready to buy into an all snow solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 No need to "freak-out" over one set of model runs. The good thing for us Southern Indiana/Kentucky/Ohio folks is that the op GFS doesn't agree to well with its ensemble members. What raises some concern is the shift NW from the EURO...but let's see what it's ensemble members have to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Mixing issues for the first half inch or so....not sure what you're looking at. im not sure either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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