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December 26th - 27th Winter Storm

Powerball

By Powerball,
in Lakes/Ohio Valley

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hm8

hm8

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:27 PM, snowstormcanuck said:

I know. I was inferring that "warmer" for them also meant the low was tracking further west. Do you happen to know how far north the primary gets before it dissipates?

Round-abouts the KY/WV border it transfers east

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buckeye

buckeye

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:31 PM, wxdudemike said:

Dang they do? That's sad seeing as they are so much farther east. Are you north of Columbus also? That would help a lot.

that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back.

central ohio rides the razor yet again

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dilly84

dilly84

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:31 PM, wxdudemike said:

Dang they do? That's sad seeing as they are so much farther east. Are you north of Columbus also? That would help a lot.

I'm in coshocton county. 3 counties northeast of CMH. Kinda weird seeing a storm not being reliant on being to the north and west of the storm track lol.

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wxdudemike

wxdudemike

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:33 PM, buckeye said:

that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back.

central ohio rides the razor yet again

Ah good point. Screw job for them would be a solid primary blasting all the way through.

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snowstormcanuck

snowstormcanuck

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:27 PM, Chicago WX said:

It's just as good, if not a bit better than the 0z run for YYZ.

  On 12/23/2012 at 6:30 PM, kab2791 said:

Looks like the primary makes it to the OH/WV border, but it is already transferring.

Yeah, I'm seeing this on wundermap now. Looks like the transfer occurs along the Mason/Dixon line rather than through VA/DE on the 0z. QPF looks about the same although I'll know for sure when one of you kind sirs with access to the text data posts them. :)

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Chicago Storm

Chicago Storm

Posted
Posted

12Z ECMWF Text List

  Reveal hidden contents
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Hoosier

Hoosier

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:33 PM, buckeye said:

that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back.

central ohio rides the razor yet again

The problem I'd be having around there is that you basically need the Euro to be 100% correct with its thermal fields. Even a slight error/shift toward other models makes it a lot less snowy.

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buckeye

buckeye

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:33 PM, buckeye said:

that would actually make sense. The WTOD would probaby bow up to about i-71 and not make it far enough east before the transfer began to cool things back.

central ohio rides the razor yet again

this illustrates it well. we need a slightly weaker low of a slight shift east. Actually mby would probably be real close to ok verbatim as is

post-622-0-70726900-1356287838_thumb.jpg

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buckeye

buckeye

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:37 PM, Hoosier said:

The problem I'd be having around there is that you basically need the Euro to be 100% correct with its thermal fields. Even a slight error/shift toward other models makes it a lot less snowy.

cmh has also been winnning the qpf totals prize run after run... which makes this a huge win or a crushing defeat.

...probably end up like the ggem... the whole kitchen sink.

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B-Rent

B-Rent

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:23 PM, PatrickSumner said:

EURO a good hit for Southern IN?

Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours?

Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:42 PM, B-Rent said:

Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that.

Pretty much status quo for the Indiana sites. Slight decreases for IND, LAF...slight bumps for BMG and FWA (decent maybe for FWA)...and a good bump for OKK. Congrats Jim.

BMG:

0z run: 0.77"

12z run: 0.79"

FWA

0z run: 0.40"

12z run: 0.46"

IND

0z run: 0.65"

12z run: 0.63"

LAF

0z run: 0.36"

12z run: 0.34"

OKK

0z run: 0.34"

12z run: 0.47"

VPZ

0z run: 0.10"

12z run: 0.09"

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PatrickSumner

PatrickSumner

Posted
Posted
  On 12/23/2012 at 6:42 PM, B-Rent said:

Do you have a timer set to come ask about your backyard every 6 hours?

Looks like Indy is in line for double the hit off that run, opposed to LAF. I still can't shake the feeling the line will set up just to the NW of the metro. I say Martinsville to Crane is going to win big. I reserve the right to change that.

I sure do....I call it the backyard bell....very sweet tune. You should come by and hear it some time. It is music to the ears :)

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