ChescoWx Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: Optimistic about holding arctic attack out of DC till after Inaug. No matter what my differences, I want the weather nice for our POTUS @BigJoeBastardi: Just hope POTUS pays attention to ALL that is going on Globally. 4th winter in a row severe cold develops in Europe. US gets it next week @BigJoeBastardi: 1 run after another showing the cold that is coming. I am sure when "coldmeggedon" gets to US we will hear more excuses http://t.co/J5LkiZTK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: Optimistic about holding arctic attack out of DC till after Inaug. No matter what my differences, I want the weather nice for our POTUS @BigJoeBastardi: Just hope POTUS pays attention to ALL that is going on Globally. 4th winter in a row severe cold develops in Europe. US gets it next week @BigJoeBastardi: 1 run after another showing the cold that is coming. I am sure when "coldmeggedon" gets to US we will hear more excuses http://t.co/J5LkiZTK ...appreciate the updates chesco..did notice jb as NOT updated his 'freebie' saturday outlook (weatherbell)..whats up with that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 ...appreciate the updates chesco..did notice jb as NOT updated his 'freebie' saturday outlook (weatherbell)..whats up with that ? http://www.weatherbell.com/videos/saturday-summary-the-winter-forecast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 ...appreciate the updates chesco..did notice jb as NOT updated his 'freebie' saturday outlook (weatherbell)..whats up with that ? He didn't do it as a freebie... it was replicated free only on my website (with permission through affiliation) http://epawablogs.com/the-winter-update/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 A little JB paraphrase from today In talking about the impending winter event tonight for areas N and W of the PHL and NYC - he says in looking at the total picture....this was not supposed to be around - folks were saying there is a winters over monster ridge. Here is what he sees for the next 6 weeks. The trough hangs in the east and there is blocking. There is very little southern branch that originates from the tropical pacific - instead like the current SE snow threat - a big item in a couple of days - they will need to come out of the middle or northern branch. He assures that big storms can happen with that too. Send one out in front with the proper phasing - or like late Jan '05 and have a super clipper dive in. In fact he sees the ECMWF trying to play that game. So overall he says we are not looking at snowmeggedon but coldmeggedon. This will be a classic flip rivaling 06-07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: GFS run looks too cold day 11-15. Has NYC hitting 0 3 nights. I think lowest in next 15 days is 6. Its cold, but this isnt ice age @BigJoeBastardi: Overall pattern should stay cold now, like 07, 2010 "flip" into and thru Feb. Good snuggling weather for Valentines day! See I gotta heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Steve D's forecast is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Steve D's forecast is insane. I agree, trace-2 to Allentown? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 hurh?: i guess you have to please your viewership.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Was Steve D OKC WX or something to that effect in a previous lifetime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Was Steve D OKC WX or something to that effect in a previous lifetime? I know he worked in OKC, not sure if that was his screenname though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 hurh?: i guess you have to please your viewership.. There's a lot of things I'd love to say to this (and have wanted to since the second it got posted) but I'll control myself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 None of the guidance supported that map. None! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 even henry didn't have snow up to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 None of the guidance supported that map. None! If you totally bought the EC and discarded everything else (which Steve apparently did), then you might get a map like his. However, it should've been obvious to anyone who checked what was actually happening that the EC was dead wrong right out of the gate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 If you totally bought the EC and discarded everything else (which Steve apparently did), then you might get a map like his. However, it should've been obvious to anyone who checked what was actually happening that the EC was dead wrong right out of the gate. I have no idea who that dude is, but that map was awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 And he's still going on with it on Twitter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 And he's still going on with it on Twitter! https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather Sometimes he's worse than JB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 hurh?: i guess you have to please your viewership.. Radar hallucinations ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I know he worked in OKC, not sure if that was his screenname though. Yes, it was okcsomething back in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: warning clients set upsimilar to feb 07,jan 77 as vortex locks over e NAMER feb 1-15 l 77,mid 4cst r 07 http://t.co/ucn8tqrw @BigJoeBastardi: MJO going from phase 6 Winter protection to Phase 8 winter Affection with cold advection Great run up to Valentines Day for Snuggle bunnies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Some JB paraphrased thoughts from today on WB His comment on the 12z run - If there is a double structured storm as is portrayed on the model the front runner is not likely to be able to cut into the cold air as much. He explains the reason is if the support dives to the south and causes the second storm, its warm advection that has to sustain the first storm....once the model figures out its darn cold and it can't lift that air as much - precip breaks out. His worst case for some is that the first swath is north and the second might be south - but he sees it just as likely someone gets a double dose of snow. He goes on to say relax it is 6 days away and you should not be jumping to conclusions - The ensembles make it nothing because of the trough in front and chances are this will be WEAKER than the GFS has it and further south to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Was Steve D OKC WX or something to that effect in a previous lifetime? This guy has been a pirate from day 5. I will need to dig back deep, but this idiot was once was forecasting for 12-24 inches for a storm that was all sleet. It may have been been back in the eastern days, but my point is that he sucks. Stick to the NWS or americanwx.He was OKCWX back in the days wrightwx. Kindest Regards, Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 This guy has been a pirate from day 5. I will need to dig back deep, but this idiot was once was forecasting for 12-24 inches for a storm that was all sleet. It may have been been back in the eastern days, but my point is that he sucks. Stick to the NWS or americanwx.He was OKCWX back in the days wrightwx. Kindest Regards, Matt People pay for his forecasts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Surprised no one has mentioned this write-up yet (parts 1 & 2)... VERY promising... thoughts HM? http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-houston/larry-cosgrove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 JB has snow or no....no mixed precip with the Friday event ...I see Mt holly is mentioning mixed precip " The upcoming 7 days are cold, and we have our snow threat which by and large I like on the HIRES I showed for the clipper and the GFS for the 2cnd storm ( positively tilited front runner gaining moisture as it comes east with all the precip in the warm adevetion mostly snow, and not much precip where it doesnt snow until the front arrives. Let me get this out of the way, okay cause I dont want to be get involved in all sorts of 50 mile here and there fights which is what is going to happen. This kind of storm will have the heaviest snow where it starts snowing at -8C and warm advects to -3C. I would trush the ensembles on that. As I said the GFS looks pretty good to me and as for 4 inch snows, this should be the further east south we have seen east of the mtns, but not in the midwest where its going to have trouble getting alot of liquid. for now, put me down with what I have on the video from the GFS" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Not to bog this down with JB.....but I have seen him successfully call events like the one friday.....he sees this as snow or no but no mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 JB has snow or no....no mixed precip with the Friday event ...I see Mt holly is mentioning mixed precip " The upcoming 7 days are cold, and we have our snow threat which by and large I like on the HIRES I showed for the clipper and the GFS for the 2cnd storm ( positively tilited front runner gaining moisture as it comes east with all the precip in the warm adevetion mostly snow, and not much precip where it doesnt snow until the front arrives. Let me get this out of the way, okay cause I dont want to be get involved in all sorts of 50 mile here and there fights which is what is going to happen. This kind of storm will have the heaviest snow where it starts snowing at -8C and warm advects to -3C. I would trush the ensembles on that. As I said the GFS looks pretty good to me and as for 4 inch snows, this should be the further east south we have seen east of the mtns, but not in the midwest where its going to have trouble getting alot of liquid. for now, put me down with what I have on the video from the GFS" is it just me or does JB "speak in tongues"... feel like i've had a few pops after reading him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I think you need to wade amongst the global warming and weightlifting stories to find the "pearls" is it just me or does JB "speak in tongues"... feel like i've had a few pops after reading him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.