KamuSnow Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Models 1 - JB - 0 I don't follow JB per say, although I appreciate Paul's posting his thoughts, and the snow weenie part of me enjoys the at times dramatic presentation of his outlook even if I do take it with a grain of salt. And I had never seen jellyfish used as a verb before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Per JB today "This time modeling is trending north with the axis of heaviest snow in the east, while it remains fairly consistent through the midwest. But this is still tricky. The cold air is AGAIN arriving as the storm comes. I dont recall a winter like this so with so many events that had a day above normal, followed by a major winter storm in a given area. But the tricky problem here is this. The later it waits, the more the cold will push and shove the snow/ice south. Interestingly enough like the last duo where a storm got shoved south, and then another storm came and attacked on the back side for the Carolinas, there is another storm that is snowing up in the 8-10 day period. And there is simply no way that any warmup I see from the the Missssippi east ( days above normal) looks like it can last morre than a couple of days. I guess the further south one goes, the greater the chance it lasts for 3-5 days, but the overall pattern is not relenting. I right now I think the best call is for the areas between I-70 and I-80/90 from the Miss eastward to the I-99 corridor of central Pa as the target of several inches of snow with local amounts in areas like Chicago and Cleveland like targets for heavier amounts. This storm NYC will beat DC, but this very tricky. The real core looks to shift into the I-90 corridor once to Pa east with I-80 the south edge of the 3 inches of snow.. But if it comes south to the Mason Dixon line, it would not surprise me." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I don't know if anyone saw this but Steve Dimartino joined EPAWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I don't know if anyone saw this but Steve Dimartino joined EPAWA. So is he terminating NYNJPA weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 So is he terminating NYNJPA weather?As soon as I read it, I quickly posted it here. I'll see what I can find out.Edit: No, he will still operate NYNJPAWEATHER. EPAWA members will be able to access steps site also. I thought for sure he would close it down if he joined epawa, conflict of interest (pun). Smart move on his part. The moves will allow all regional forecasters within EPAWA to forecast daily for the areas that they reside. The website will soon reflect the partnership with both EPAWA and NYNJPAWEATHER - and will have direct access to Steve's website through the EPAWA page. Steve will also join our forecasters in providing the text/email alerts as part of the upcoming My Pocket Meteorologist Severe™ program, launching March 15th. Please join us in welcoming Steve as the newest addition to our rapidly growing business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 As soon as I read it, I quickly posted it here. I'll see what I can find out. Edit: No, he will still operate NYNJPAWEATHER. EPAWA members will be able to access steps site also. I thought for sure he would close it down if he joined epawa, conflict of interest (pun). Smart move on his part. The moves will allow all regional forecasters within EPAWA to forecast daily for the areas that they reside. The website will soon reflect the partnership with both EPAWA and NYNJPAWEATHER - and will have direct access to Steve's website through the EPAWA page. Steve will also join our forecasters in providing the text/email alerts as part of the upcoming My Pocket Meteorologist Severe™ program, launching March 15th. Please join us in welcoming Steve as the newest addition to our rapidly growing business! I have been thinking of opening a weather consulting company. Seems anyone can get into the field.Do some marketing, create a website, hire a few people and boom you have the company. Make a few charts and sell services. I figure 10 -20 people needed to get up and running. Terrible names for both Steve's company and that other company. Need something that holds weight. Weather Balls llc. We have your daily euro runs to give your retail company the data you need to increase sales. Planweatherlitics llc. My 2 hour guaranteed forecast will have your plow truck making mo money mo money. Call 1 800 big snow to review pricing options. Basic email packages to live geek to geek discussions are options. We plan weather, you plan your plow routes. Mo money guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 From JB today "Obviously with 500 mb patterns like this in the 1-5, 6-10 and 11-15, the threat of winter beating back spring as we are about to see another classic example of is continuing and I like the St Pattys day, or close, threat as I think that will gain more and more steam as we get closer. Remember this system on the GFS was forecast to be a dud at first cause it was leaving so much energy in the southwest. The ECMWF is still all over the place on the trough, but its brother the control run looks the way it did with this about a week out The 500 shows the full phasing I am concerned about rather than the scatter shot of the ECWMF because of its speed problems and the GFS lack of understanding there is a southern branch here, even if it does originate in the south, but gets there from the northwest So I like this second threat as much as I liked this one here which is forecast to bomb out to 976 over New England. Now that is not the 956 we saw with the March 1993 storm and for the rational, I was bringing that up to show you why I thought this would be a grand planetary wave example of trough that lined up from Greenland to FLorida and look a -300 plus meter anomaly over the mid atlantic is not all that shabby a call from a week out" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 "its brother the control run". It would properly be termed "its older, dumber brother the control run" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Cecily just gave a quick breakdown of all the models. I enjoyed that ... wtg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Cecily just gave a quick breakdown of all the models. I enjoyed that ... wtg! I bet you DID enjoy it. She's friggin hot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I bet you DID enjoy it. She's friggin hot!Ummm...not according to a few friends who know her....Sheila P different story! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Ummm...not according to a few friends who know her.... ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 ?As in off-camera...make up and other "enhancements" can work wonders on this side of the tv screen.And if you watch carefully those enhancements seem to vary in size from from day to day... just saying..don't mean to offend....up for debate I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 As in off-camera...make up and other "enhancements" can work wonders on this side of the tv screen. And if you watch carefully those enhancements seem to vary in size from from day to day... just saying..don't mean to offend....up for debate I'm sure. wonder why more women don't post here...never been able to figure it out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 wonder why more women don't post here...never been able to figure it out... LOL!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 LOL!!!! Gotta admit I had to laugh too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Gotta admit I had to laugh too! Bottom line, I wouldn't kick her out of bed for eating crackers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 DT on 3/25-26 threat: **UPDATE ON MARCH 25-26 POSSIBLE EAST COAST STORM/ LOW**The operational regular European model last night decided to show a somewhat different SOLUTION to the threat of March 25-26. The operational Euro showed 2 Low... one... Low coming through the Ohio valley and a 2nd Low reforming off he MD coast.In the weather biz this solution of event is refer to as a MILLER B. That term refers to an area of LOW pressure which initially comes up through the Midwest or the Tennessee Valley and reforms or jumps over Virginia to the Maryland / New Jersey Coast. These sorts of systems invariably always produce little if any significant snow over NC VA MD DEL but often can produce significant snowfall further up into the Northern Middle Atlantic and New England states.On the other hand the European ENSEMBLE-- see 1st IMAGE-- is much further south and SP continues to show significant coastal storm which if the model is accurate would produce a significant snowfall from North Carolina up into Southern New England on March 25 into the 26thThe 0z GFS not surprisingly continues to show a huge amounts of total incompetence at this range. However the 6z GFS and GFS ensembles have turn significantly more bullish with this system and show a much more organize and stronger LOW off the Southeast U.S. Coast. (SECOND image). This is a huge step in the direction towards the European solution and is another indication that the European ensemble solution of a big East Coast storm may be valid.The third image is the operational Canadian and Canadian ENSEMBLE. This to is a major shift in the operational Canadian model and and in the Canadian ensembles ... and a big step towards the European solutionSUMMARY ... the threat is still there but it is NOT a yet a good probability event. IF IF.... this systems turns out to be a MILLER B just paint the dry slot over NC VA MD now.See More Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 6z GFS snowstorm from atlanta to hatteras down into south carolina was pure ludicrous for the time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 ? Someone has a blonde preference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 thread for the storm? since nothin else to talk about. (except da plane...da plane) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 thread for the storm? since nothin else to talk about. (except da plane...da plane) Could we wait one more day for this... please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 o.......k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 12z GFS bullseye day 8. Threat is toast move along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 no storm threads till 5 days away from any potential according to moderator Sickman still a few days away from any 5 day potential - lets try and play by the rules this time around including if a thread is opened in the future Maybe I'll call Sickman in here to "expand" this 5-day rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 So what are JB LC DT HM and any other "initialed" weather folk thinking ATTM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 JB has a major i95 event.....expects a west trend...no doubt many are shocked! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 LC just updated with a "high impact winter event from NC to ME" Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 LC just updated with a "high impact winter event from NC to ME"Sent from my iPad My faith/trust has always been with Larry since watching him back in the late 80's/early 90's on channel 29 wtxf (now fox29)...Or was it channel 17...oh my, guess I'm getting old Any specific details...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 JB hanging it out there big time - going for 3" DC, 4" BWI, 6" PHL (with potential for 12"), 9" NYC, Bridgeport,CT to Boston 1-2' And just to keep the readship sucked in, there will be more threats until 4/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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