NaoPos Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I picked 3" , thanks , I forgot to add divide by zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 JB paraphrasing from today we are in the midst of the second coldest opening week to March in the past 50 yrs and the end game is continuing longer So how did this week pan out? Well at PHL, it was only the coldest since... wait for it... 2009! March 1-7 2009 averaged 34.2. March 1-7 2013 averaged 38.3. The actual rank among the last 50 years? 23rd coldest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 So how did this week pan out? Well at PHL, it was only the coldest since... wait for it... 2009! March 1-7 2009 averaged 34.2. March 1-7 2013 averaged 38.3. The actual rank among the last 50 years? 23rd coldest! Wow! You should send JB that info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Wow! You should send JB that info. But remember, he got the upper air pattern right and that is all that matters in JB land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 But remember, he got the upper air pattern right and that is all that matters in JB land. Yeah, because we live in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 So how did this week pan out? Well at PHL, it was only the coldest since... wait for it... 2009! March 1-7 2009 averaged 34.2. March 1-7 2013 averaged 38.3. The actual rank among the last 50 years? 23rd coldest! One thing that's definitely colder than this winter is JB's forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 10th coldest March (through Monday) since 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Latest JB musings and paraphrased from this AM JB sees clipper madness bringing 2-4 inch but 8 inch amounts from the midwest to the coast centered 75 mi either side of Atlantic city. He emphasizes that IT WILL make it east of the mountains and make for a snowy Saturday, at least part of it, is on the way for a target area that has Atlantic City as the mid point of the exiting to the ocean of the snow axis. Boston will miss but he does not see NYC or PHL missing out He then sees a wave running out off the mid Atlantic coast Monday night with a swath of rain and snow, snow north of I 70 plains to the east coast, though more like north of the I 76/195 axis once to Pa. This is likely to put down 2-4, locally 8 again but in a west/east axis starting further south and shifting north. He does not believe any big storms go to the lakes in this pattern. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 On a side note...as many of you know I have been a long time Accu Weather subscriber but I cancelled my sub - found myself rarely going there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 The complaints about JB are well known (and in my opinion, well founded). However, I will give him credit for making a bold and detailed forecast that will be very easy to judge come next Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 The complaints about JB are well known (and in my opinion, well founded). However, I will give him credit for making a bold and detailed forecast that will be very easy to judge come next Tuesday morning. you don't have to wait till next tuesday morning. Just read this thread for the whole winter and see how bad he has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Latest JB musings and paraphrased from this AM JB sees clipper madness bringing 2-4 inch but 8 inch amounts from the midwest to the coast centered 75 mi either side of Atlantic city. He emphasizes that IT WILL make it east of the mountains and make for a snowy Saturday, at least part of it, is on the way for a target area that has Atlantic City as the mid point of the exiting to the ocean of the snow axis. Boston will miss but he does not see NYC or PHL missing out He then sees a wave running out off the mid Atlantic coast Monday night with a swath of rain and snow, snow north of I 70 plains to the east coast, though more like north of the I 76/195 axis once to Pa. This is likely to put down 2-4, locally 8 again but in a west/east axis starting further south and shifting north. He does not believe any big storms go to the lakes in this pattern. I Is he really forecasting that or is he just 'seeing' it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Is he really forecasting that or is he just 'seeing' it? Just reciting the NAM verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: Euros weeklies are the coldest run of the cold season. brutal through day 20, lets up 25-30...spring on hold again for another 5 days @BigJoeBastardi: Dreaming of a White Easter? ECMWF says coldest Easter since at least 07 for US. Peter Cottontail wiped out the groundhog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 "brutal cold" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 To clarify by brutal JB said this morning he means coldest relative to average for the plains east with the coldest yet to come - he says this is the polar opposite of last March. He also mentioned his weekend snow idea is getting shoved SOUTH of New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 To clarify by brutal JB said this morning he means coldest relative to average for the plains east with the coldest yet to come - he says this is the polar opposite of last March. He also mentioned his weekend snow idea is getting shoved SOUTH of New England That does not sound like brutal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 40's for highs is not brutal cold here. Minnesota may have some subzero nights late this week...for late March, that's pretty cold for them but not entirely unusual given their record lows can get into the teens below zero almost to month's end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 so im getting 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Hmmm....JBs call from a couple days ago not looking real good...at least for today....many spots will see snow but I doubt anyone even sees an inch let alone the lowest end of his call. This really has been a brutal year for JB especially his snow forecasts. I would be at 60 plus inches of snow if half his forecasts verified! Ugly....... Latest JB musings and paraphrased from this AM JB sees clipper madness bringing 2-4 inch but 8 inch amounts from the midwest to the coast centered 75 mi either side of Atlantic city. He emphasizes that IT WILL make it east of the mountains and make for a snowy Saturday, at least part of it, is on the way for a target area that has Atlantic City as the mid point of the exiting to the ocean of the snow axis. Boston will miss but he does not see NYC or PHL missing out He then sees a wave running out off the mid Atlantic coast Monday night with a swath of rain and snow, snow north of I 70 plains to the east coast, though more like north of the I 76/195 axis once to Pa. This is likely to put down 2-4, locally 8 again but in a west/east axis starting further south and shifting north. He does not believe any big storms go to the lakes in this pattern. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 so im getting 4-8" If he shoved that 4-8 line up to Blue Mountain it would be spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 If he shoved that 4-8 line up to Blue Mountain it would be spot on. I'd like it if he shoved that 4-8 line all the way up to NY state...lol Anyway, for more serious discussion, do you really think areas north of the Blue could verify in that 4-8 range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Latest JB musings and paraphrased from this AM JB sees clipper madness bringing 2-4 inch but 8 inch amounts from the midwest to the coast centered 75 mi either side of Atlantic city. He emphasizes that IT WILL make it east of the mountains and make for a snowy Saturday, at least part of it, is on the way for a target area that has Atlantic City as the mid point of the exiting to the ocean of the snow axis. Boston will miss but he does not see NYC or PHL missing out He then sees a wave running out off the mid Atlantic coast Monday night with a swath of rain and snow, snow north of I 70 plains to the east coast, though more like north of the I 76/195 axis once to Pa. This is likely to put down 2-4, locally 8 again but in a west/east axis starting further south and shifting north. He does not believe any big storms go to the lakes in this pattern. I I am not in town this weekend (I am in Dallas, TX where it is 75 and sunny as I type this... yuck!), but, based on the observation thread, JB is looking like he might be pretty close on today's storm. It seems like everything is on the low side of the 2" to 4" range he predicted and ACY seems like the southern boundary rather than the center of the "bullseye" line, but it sure seems like there a widespread 1" to 2" has accumulated so far centered on Freehold, NJ (or thereabouts)... not a perfect forecast by any means, but not awful either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I didn't understand that "2 to 4 but 8 inch amounts" part of the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 this looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I'd like it if he shoved that 4-8 line all the way up to NY state...lol Anyway, for more serious discussion, do you really think areas north of the Blue could verify in that 4-8 range? Probably more like 4 but really that would be more up towards 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Probably more like 4 but really that would be more up towards 80. Stop busting on me Tom, DT essentially agrees with me, what more do you want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Eastern PA Weather Authority final call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Eastern PA Weather Authority final call... since there is no key i'm going to assume green is 10-14 inches or so whowever this martrich character is, i like him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Stop busting on me Tom, DT essentially agrees with me, what more do you want? I still read DT's posts and follow his forecasts somewhat but in the interest of fairness (and cause I thought it was a little funny) I thought you all would be interested to know that there is a FB page called "wxrisk banned" for those no longer allowed to debate him publicly.....LOL I think it just started a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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