SP Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not sure if this was posted. The day after tomorrow..... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 6abc had PHL in the VERY LITTLE zone, ABE in the 1-3, poconos 3-6. Pretty conservative. i lost so much interest in watching 6abc weather. its just about nbc10 100% for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Although early for Kudos....no doubt JB was all over this with his Lindsey Storm analog for NYC from early last weekend. No doubt many will use the old..... even a blind squirrel finds a nut now and then but.....since he is usually only criticized thought I would post a positive note here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 6abc stll downplaying it for the area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Although early for Kudos....no doubt JB was all over this with his Lindsey Storm analog for NYC from early last weekend. No doubt many will use the old..... even a blind squirrel finds a nut now and then but.....since he is usually only criticized thought I would post a positive note here And the back patting starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 6abc stll downplaying it for the area... Well, they went from "very little" at Noon in Philly to 3-6 inches at 4 PM. Just a little bit of a change there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Well, they went from "very little" at Noon in Philly to 3-6 inches at 4 PM. Just a little bit of a change there. but they'll have had it right all along when they revise history after the storm. trust factor = 0 for 6abc wx imho... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 glenn going 4-7 for immediate Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 but they'll have had it right all along when they revise history after the storm. trust factor = 0 for 6abc wx imho... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 glenn going 4-7 for immediate Philly. Sounds reasonable. 4-8 Philly, 6-10 upper bucks/Montco, 8-12 LV/central jersey, 12+ Poconos/NW jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 020713-ADV.jpg lol I really like the forecast of a coating to 6", I'm sure that forecast verifies for 95% of all winter systems lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctm1965 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 69 News (Allentown) , which is accuwx, has the Lehigh Valley in a 3-6" range. 6-12" NNJ and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 3-6 city, much more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 weather world called it a low impact event in PA, 2-4" no j/k they showed the gfs so must be going with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Mike...too funny those comments were from me not from JB - although he has already posted how he was all over this with his clients from last weekend! And the back patting starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Does anyone even look at the map when she in on TV? related... I noticed that Hurricane hasn't visited here since Jan 29th..what's up with that? Too bad for sure! Wonder if he'll be on at 11pm news tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Does anyone even look at the map when she in on TV? What map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 just posted by DT on fb........................ Wxrisk.com *** ALERT *** 0z FRIDAY GFS .... the worlds most clueless and over replied Upon Model... says NO HISTORIC NEW ENGLAND SNOWSTORM.... only 6" in NYC only 2" in Philly only 15" in BOS...the Model is MUCH faster and the Low NEVER stalls so the snow ends by 10am sat even in BOS... the EURO from Midday Thurdsay had the snow lasting to 5pm SAT in BOS... thats a Huge difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 so Glenn just said "No new data to cause us to lower our snow amounts"...interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 just posted by DT on fb........................ Wxrisk.com *** ALERT *** 0z FRIDAY GFS .... the worlds most clueless and over replied Upon Model... says NO HISTORIC NEW ENGLAND SNOWSTORM.... only 6" in NYC only 2" in Philly only 15" in BOS...the Model is MUCH faster and the Low NEVER stalls so the snow ends by 10am sat even in BOS... the EURO from Midday Thurdsay had the snow lasting to 5pm SAT in BOS... thats a Huge difference i promise last quote from DT...............i'm a little excited about the storm Wxrisk.com First let me state categorically that I think this run of the GFS is a sad JOKE. At this point in time it is no longer useful to look at weather models other then the short range 12 hour models such as the various WRF and HRRR stuff. The event is now underway and it certainly will begin over the northeast US region by Thursday afternoon . That being said let's think about what the GFS / NAM is saying here and what it means. Think about this for second. Here we are about 12 hours for this event really begins to develop over the northeast and the NAM has gone extreme FOR historic snows... while the GFS has essentially reverse course and shows a ordinary RUN of the Mill Northeast U.S. snowstorm. **** THIS IS JUST 12 HOURS BEFORE THE EVENT !!! Where is the consistency with American weather models ??? Either the GFS model is going to be correct.. which means that this is not going to be a historic snowstorm for eastern and Central New England... and that northeastern jersey into the lower Hudson Valley is NOT going to see 30 to 40 inches of snow and neither is Boston or southeastern Massachusetts or Providence... OR the last 11 runs of the European model... the last 11 runs of the European ensemble model... as well as the last few runs of the NAM / RPM EURO / SREF / RGEM will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 well...there is some/a lot of logic with that thinking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Either the GFS model is going to be correct.. which means that this is not going to be a historic snowstorm for eastern and Central New England... and that northeastern jersey into the lower Hudson Valley is NOT going to see 30 to 40 inches of snow and neither is Boston or southeastern Massachusetts or Providence... OR the last 11 runs of the European model... the last 11 runs of the European ensemble model... as well as the last few runs of the NAM / RPM EURO / SREF / RGEM will be. Maybe it's the weenie in me, but that's a pretty good point. If the EURO holds serve I think we can discount this run of the GFS, until then it makes me nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 is there any merit to this................. Mike Masco Meteorologist Impressive 3 hr pressure drop over the South Carolina coastline. This is very telling and suggests a quicker BOMB out. This will need to be watched CLOSELY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Guys, I am not tolerating sexism or objectification of women on this board. It is totally inappropriate. I am livid right now. Warning points/suspensions/bannings are coming the next time I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Per JB this AM - no changes as he sees this as further west than modeled .... This is passing 50-75 miles WEST, not over Hatteras. It looks like it may reach the coast near Devils Hill. So until such time it becomes obvious to me that the further east models are winning and given the GFS at 12z looking like this, with the low visibly offshore to the south of HSE The actual weather is probably good to stare at. Keep your eye on the Data bouy east of Va beach. If it cuts inside of that, then the heaviest snow will be back even further west. But for now this storm is where the forecast map I put out yesterday would have it for that to verify, so I have no changes. If I see the fade later today, then I will Again the ECMWF CONTROL remains further west, looks more like the blend of the last 2 nams and seems to be doing better this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 @BigJoeBastardi: Loop showing developing rogue center off va/nc coast. This is well nw of GFS, much closer to ecmwf control http://t.co/r6EqilYX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 @nynjpaweather: What people are seeing is the separation of the two storms right now and the sinking air between these storms. @nynjpaweather: I would love to see how this storm has shifted east. I look at the observations and compare to models, I don't see it. @nynjpaweather: As the phase takes hold, the precipitation shield will back build and fill in. Been through this 100 times, same song and dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 @nynjpaweather: Via WeatherTap radar I am seeing significant indications of snow filling in over E PA for this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nice job my JB with probably being one of the first to draw the Lindsey storm analog Now from this AM with JB commenting on the GFS The GFS model was forecasting a common event, and in reality a rare one happens, its not right. He also harks back to Sandy with a lets remember also the Thursday morning NHC forecast for Tuesday at 7 am for Sandy with a subtropical cyclone 300 miles east of the mid atlantic coast WAS NOT the rare event that actually happened. Turning his focus to our next winter event later this week "Now, the situation this upcoming week is fascinating in that yes, there is ample reason to believe another major event is on the way though my feeling now is it will be more widepsread and lighter than what we just saw. Certainly at 500 mb its a bigger beast. Remember, and is why the GFS could not handle this, this was a small system in the grand scheme of things. Again the Lindsay storm maps were key to seeing how this could go in advance. But look at how this looks at 500 off the 06z run, vs the look of the trough next weekend ( it pales compared to the California trough now, too)" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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