MidwestChaser Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Why was he banned? Sockpuppet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z Ukie. 48, 60, and 72 hour maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 4km NAM looks like its on the southern edge of guidance.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Bye fired from grande cheese and kicked off the board again. tough times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GFS is bullish with the TROWL Thursday night, producing a extensive band of precip across a good part of Indiana. Feeling a little more confident about the first inch at LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 fired from grande cheese and kicked off the board again. tough times. what did he do lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 NAM continues to advertise slightly weaker wind fields than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 RGEM looks crazy west EDIT: Or I just totally looked at the map wrong and confused one of the isobar lines for a state border... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 what did he do lol? Carryover from past issues on this board I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 4km NAM looks like its on the southern edge of guidance.... Looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 From Mike Caplan on the ABC 7 weather facebook page. New NAM is in and it's scary. If it verifies blizzard-like conditions will affect Chicagoland Thursday pm. Mike C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 RGEM looks crazy west The RGEM was just recently updated to a 10 km, 4d-VAR da system. Old model had a major strong bias at its later periods, interesting to see f that bias continues even after the update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z Ukie. 48, 60, and 72 hour maps. Absolutely crawls across IL. Insane looking pressure gradient over northern IL at 60hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GGEM slips it south of Chicago. P-type maps are funny, as it snows here at a good clip for 4-5 hours while Alek cold rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 JohnDee going WAAY north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GGEM slips it south of Chicago. P-type maps are funny, as it snows here at a good clip for 4-5 hours while Alek cold rains. Warm tongue ftl. In all honesty, i've come to terms with my 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Warm tongue ftl. In all honesty, i've come to terms with my 1-2" Yeah. 1-2" is realistic I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 From Mike Caplan on the ABC 7 weather facebook page. Gotta love his choice of words sometimes! One of the more enthusiastic meterologist out there, when it comes to snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 hi res nmm showing some dynamic cooling along with the initial surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Ukie total QPF through 12z Friday. Pretty juicy. Rounding up conversion below... 25-30mm=1.00-1.20" 30-40mm=1.20-1.60" 40-50mm=1.60-2.00" 50-75mm=2.00-3.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Johndee has 12+ in spots that are showing less that .25 liquid on both NCEP models.... WTF is he thinking. He must be hugging the NAM, but why would he put down so little snow for the top 75 miles of the lower peninsula? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 hi res nmm showing some dynamic cooling along with the initial surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z hi res NMM def has a more ENE track as opposed to northeast. 996mb over STL at 45hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 i have noticed the nmm has made a habit out of over doing that kind of thing. It also looks like a cold/southern outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z hi res NMM def has a more ENE track as opposed to northeast. 996mb over STL at 45hr. some nice convective elements feeding into the developing defo band by 84 hours. Certainly some thundersnow potential wherever that sets up in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 i have noticed the nmm has made a habit out of over doing that kind of thing. It also looks like a cold/southern outlier. In general, I agree with that. With that said, I think it's close enough out where we can start looking at actual obs vs. model initialization, to see how "reality" is trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 some nice convective elements feeding into the developing defo band by 84 hours. Certainly some thundersnow potential wherever that sets up in the region. dry slot gets into the area but short lived as heights fall as defo band would swing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 In general, I agree with that. I think it's close enough out where we can start looking at actual obs vs. model initialization, to see how "reality" is trending. A majority on this board are hoping for reality to trend SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 From Skilling's Weather Center, it is showing us as 42/40 Wed, and 41/19 Thursday, with rain, and some rain snow mix, with snow becoming "heavy" at times. Possiblity of wind gusts in excess of 50mph. Whatever happens this storm is going to be interesting. 1" is my call for MBY. But, if the track continues to move west, we can scratch that 1", and just deal with wind and rain. Going to make staying connected to work problematic on Thursday, as we tend to have power problems when we get high winds. We are on a "smart grid" mainly because of the very large retirement/nursing home complex about 1/2 a mile from me. When lines start dropping in LaGrange Park, we start having issues here as Com Ed continually switches grids to keep the retirement/nursing home complex from going dark. At this point I am more concerned about wind, and wind damage than I am snow..... unless of course the storm shifts south. (unlikely) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Looking better here. and its snowing pretty good right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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