A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Jainesville, Madison to western MKE suburbs looks pretty hot. Would be worth a roadtrip to Alpine Valley if you have nothing to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z NAM Snow Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Loving that map! Expecting watches later today for parts on n lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 SREF seems to be west of the NAM.. Edit. SREF is actually west of its last run. SREF has the main band from Waterloo, Iowa NE to Prairie Du Chien, WI and then NE up to the Dells and GB area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 SREF has the main band from Waterloo, Iowa NE to Prairie Du Chien, WI and then NE up to the Dells and GB area. Still to far out for the SREF however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Loving that map! Expecting watches later today for parts on n lower. +1 Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I should have expected the NAM & GFS to come back south after the big, warm nw jump yesterday. The major models seem to have CR in a good spot at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Going to be a tough forecast for these parts... North and west and the amts drop very quick... Any wobble to this storm could make or break this area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indeedinger Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 From the first thread -- Baroclinic_instability - I love it when you talk dirty . . . "I like how Bastardi (on twitter) was talking about how the GFS is the worst model in the world because it took a more NW track, then the 00z ECMWF came in much stronger and more wrapped up...and more NW. BTW, just arrived in MN. Pretty excited to watch this storm unfold. CO lows are my favorite synoptic cyclone in the world...even more than I95 coastal huggers. There is something special about leeside hookers through the plains." Sorry - couldn't resist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Is the EURO now further west than the NAM and GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Lake effect wraparound for the entire lower peninsula looks impressive. Should get everyone a few inches. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z NAM sends its warm regards to good people of Beaver Dam WI. And then to the U.P. and northern lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 GFS stronger/more QPF/warmer and a bit west so far through hr 45 compared to 6Z GFS. 996 L just west of STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GFS should be pretty strong edit: beast mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 992 L just SW of Chicago at HR 51 and deepening pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Yeah it is a bit west and stronger, mostly because the backside jet max diving off the Pacific coast coming in slightly slower. More room for amplification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GFS says futility record might not die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Ends up in pretty much that same general area. Sub 988 over SW MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 QPF shield is still pretty weird and much different than 0z EURO and 12z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 12z GFS says futility record might not die Take off the anti-weenie goggles. ORD will see at least 0.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Take off the anti-weenie goggles. ORD will see at least 0.1". Yeah from 0-6z Chicago sees about 0.1-0.15, all snow pretty much for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Love the GFS drift to the east at the end. Swings a couple backside inches through here. Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 By far the biggest difference with this GFS run and the overall track is actually due to the northern stream...which the GFS suggests may be quite a bit weaker across N MN. Has a big difference on advection patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Love the GFS drift to the east at the end. Swings a couple backside inches through here. Not happening. GGEM is similar though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Love the GFS drift to the east at the end. Swings a couple backside inches through here. Not happening. Take off the anti-weenie goggles. LAF will see at least 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 GGEM is similar though. Eh, not the best of support. Other models disagree (NAM, Euro, etc). Backside snows are pretty bootleg...especially in this scenario, this far south. Not really looking for anything more than a few flakes here, if that. EDIT: and lol Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Only goes out 48 hours but you can clearly see how far NW the SREF is compared to the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 brutal cut-off over the DVN cwa on that gfs run. Last minute defo band and questionable east drift saves Chicago from a shutout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Hi. Bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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