stormtrackertf Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 18Z RGEM Total Snow Nice SEMI donut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It doesn't work like that...in fact a N/S line would do the opposite I was told by Chistorm last night that a NE/SW oriented line moving east would rob moisture, which looks to be the way the first few storms in the potential line are oriented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I was told by Chistorm last night that a NE/SW oriented line moving east would rob moisture, which looks to be the way the first few storms in the potential line are oriented. Actually, I don't think so. The storms are firing along the dry line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Radar out of Fort Smith OK is lighting up like a Christmas tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I was told by Chistorm last night that a NE/SW oriented line moving east would rob moisture, which looks to be the way the first few storms in the potential line are oriented. I said a NE/SW line out ahead of the front. That's a small N/S line along the front, thus no issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Going to be dryslotted soon. It won't last long though because look whats south of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I said a NE/SW line out ahead of the front. That's a small N/S line along the front, thus no issue. Ok, thanks for clearing that up. I forgot to factor in ahead of the front, but the forming line still seems to be oriented NE/SW or NNE/SSW to me in its early stages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Light snow at Freeport, IL right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Rap turns it northeast shortly. Basically has its current location pegged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 0z NAM with a ENE movement through 9hrs going right at STL. Will have to keep watching p-falls closely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 0z NAM with a ENE movement through 9hrs going right at STL. Will have to keep watching p-falls closely position virtually identical to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 New 5km WRF just off the press. Initialized with 18Z NAM data. Shown are QPF, Sfc Wind Gusts, and 925mb Hghts and Winds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 weird looking reflectivity to this NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 This run is focusing even more on the 2nd deformation band, and faster development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Defo beginning to really crank sw of Chi metro at 21hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 weird looking reflectivity to this NAM run nah, pm the same as 18Z just stronger with the 2nd defo band.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Both 850mb and H5 low (closed off) stronger this run at 21hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Pretty sweet, tightly wound up 850 low at 21z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 This run is focusing even more on the 2nd deformation band, and faster development. Defo beginning to really crank sw of Chi metro at 21hr. cyclone will love this run...IA/WI/MN folks naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 nah, pm the same as 18Z just stronger with the 2nd defo band.. i'm just surprised how dominant it becomes so early...goes full beast mode over west/central northern illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The coolest thing about this storm is we still don't have a great grasp on what is gonna go down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Not sure whether to laugh or to semi-seriously root it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Man getting close to where you could argue the "second" defo band on this run turns out to be the "main" one given the winds will be peaking plus any TSSN as that gets getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It begins.... SN 31.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Wrap around snow well into Indiana on this run...IND and ILN would have to extend advisories further south if this run was correct... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Not sure whether to laugh or to semi-seriously root it on. laugh obv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It begins.... SN 31.1F Stating the obvious, but if you stay all snow...you're gonna get rocked. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Started with a few flakes twenty minutes ago, then some sleet mixed in. Now very light sleet or maybe just liquid. Pavement is wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 laugh obv All the way to the bank? But yeah, have to think shenanigans. EDIT: nice screw hole right over LAF on that snowfall map. Maybe it does have legs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Lets see what the GFS does with it. Sfc low looks to be on the southeast KS/northeast OK border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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