Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Not hard to find the low pressure center SW of Wichita! Quite a bit south than what models were predicting. Wasn't it supposed to be in Central Kansas instead of Southeastern Kansas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 What a beauty of a windfield with this thing, and I imagine it will only get better over the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 23z RAP with small 60kt+ contour at 925mb at 17z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 18Z RGEM Total Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Quite a bit south than what models were predicting. Wasn't it supposed to be in Central Kansas instead of Southeastern Kansas? nah...looks right on track. pressure falls also indicate a NNE jump coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 nah...looks right on track I agree, the consensus model track had it on the border between SC Kansas and NC Oklahoma at this time. St. Louis will be a good barometer, if it looks to be on a beeline for St. Louis, then the overall track trend might be south, since most of the models have it passing 10-40 miles north of St. Louis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Quite a bit south than what models were predicting. Wasn't it supposed to be in Central Kansas instead of Southeastern Kansas? Pretty good right now. Will be very interesting to see where it crosses into MO late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Taken a little while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 reports of TSSN in Omaha. A few strikes showing up on the USPLN feed within the past 30min. That storms north of STJ should prove to be interesting in the DSM area in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 nah...looks right on track. pressure falls also indicate a NNE jump coming One would suspect. However, that area of -2 has been decreasing in size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 There was some healthy dust in Texas today..maybe some dirty snow to be had! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Convection over northwest Missouri really taking off. Can't wait till that moves into the deformation zone. Actually I guess the northwester portion of that band is attached to the deform band near Omaha, and that's where some lightning has been reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Pretty good right now. Will be very interesting to see where it crosses into MO late tonight. I called Joplin to South Bend 3 days ago...going to be a little of but not bad. Surface low has been weakening some and continues to move more or less east but pressure falls show a north jog is coming and since it hasn't started deepening yet, it's hard to say just how hard it will hook. I'd still say a track right into Chicago's south side is most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Man if you loop the RAP sim radar it looks gorgeous at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Taken a little while ago. I know Cedar Rapids has missed out on some good events lately...hopefully it's an over performer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Man if you loop the RAP sim radar it looks gorgeous at the end. Link please? I know Cedar Rapids has missed out on some good events lately...hopefully it's an over performer. That may be a bit more than I bargained for but it certainly will make up for the lame winter of 2011-2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 UVV's are intense at the end of that RAP run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 00Z MSLP, Isotherms, Observed Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I called Joplin to South Bend 3 days ago...going to be a little of but not bad. Surface low has been weakening some and continues to move more or less east but pressure falls show a north jog is coming and since it hasn't started deepening yet, it's hard to say just how hard it will hook. I'd still say a track right into Chicago's south side is most likely. Yep, between Chicago and Gary has looked like a good bet for days, in fact, the consensus expected track for this storm really hasn't wavered for the five days or so we have kept an eye on the storm. Pretty remarkable overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Man if you loop the RAP sim radar it looks gorgeous at the end. dryslot and torching ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 dryslot and torching ftl yeah but look what gets going at the end of that run in west central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Dry air definitely been a factor here(right around Fort Dodge, IA) just started snowing despite several hours of radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Link please? http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2012&model_mm=12&model_dd=19&model_init_hh=23&fhour=18¶meter=CREF&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=loopmaps&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Storms starting to go up in eastern Oklahoma. Looks like this will quickly become a solid squall line soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 yeah but look what gets going at the end of that run in west central IL. No sense getting to into a long range RAP but that would pass well NW of here and we have many more hours of WAA to go at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I called Joplin to South Bend 3 days ago...going to be a little of but not bad. Surface low has been weakening some and continues to move more or less east but pressure falls show a north jog is coming and since it hasn't started deepening yet, it's hard to say just how hard it will hook. I'd still say a track right into Chicago's south side is most likely. Hopefully it will ride the KS/OK border all the way tonight. Then from STL to GYY will be my call. Of course I like your South Bend estimate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Hopefully it will ride the KS/OK border all the way tonight. Then from STL to GYY will be my call. Of course I like your South Bend estimate! south bend isn't my call...it was an old call and influence by those stubborn eastern Euro runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Storms starting to go up in eastern Oklahoma. Looks like this will quickly become a solid squall line soon. Robbing moisture transport into the cold sector FTL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Robbing moisture transport into the cold sector FTL! It doesn't work like that...in fact a N/S line would do the opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Man if you loop the RAP sim radar it looks gorgeous at the end. The threat of low-topped convection over eastern IL/parts of IN tomorrow look interesting. Especially considering those areas will see high winds and snow just a few hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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