Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I've seen enough carnage. Final call. ORD: 1.5" 3.0" 1.5" MKE: 3.9" 5.0" 3.0" MSN: 9.9" 12.0" 10.0" (mixing issues) LSE: 8.4" 12.5" DBQ: 9.8" 11.5" 8.5" (mixing issues) MLI: 3.8" 2.5" FWA: 1.2" SBN: 2.9 4.0" (LES included) LAF: T IND: T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 GFS with a blow to ORD prospects. How ya feeling about the 1" on the ground for christmas here? If we changeover even later than the 12z is advertising we might be only left with back end pricp shriveling up faster than my unit after jumping in to Lake Michigan on New Years day. Ah just seen your post.. I'm going to need a few day of sun and some over performing temps to melt it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 How ya feeling about the 1" on the ground for christmas here? If we changeover even later than the 12z is advertising we might be only left with back end pricp shriveling up faster than my unit after jumping in to Lake Michigan on New Years day. Ah just seen your edit.. I'm going to need a few day of sun and some over performing temps to melt it down. You'll get enough with this system, but I'm not sure it lasts until 7:00am on Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I've seen enough carnage. Final call. ORD: 1.5" 3.0" 1.5" MKE: 3.9" 5.0" 3.0" MSN: 9.9" 12.0" 10.0" (mixing issues) LSE: 8.4" 12.5" DBQ: 9.8" 11.5" 8.5" (mixing issues) MLI: 3.8" 2.5" FWA: 1.2" SBN: 2.9 4.0" (LES included) LAF: T IND: T you bipo or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 12.5" for LSE? That should be interesting, but I wouldn't doubt it... No mixing issues around here...should have good snow ratio... Madison is going to have concrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Alek no doubt thinking...a couple more bumps north and the non-measurable streak lives on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 If you've got an iPhone or Android, don't forget to help NSSL with their PING (Precipitation Identification Near the Ground) project during this event. Download the app: mPing on the App Store mPing on Google Play And report the precip that you're seeing as it occurs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 you bipo or what? Just for fun bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Locations from Waterloo into sw Wisconsin should be crushed. I'm praying this thing doesn't ramp up and pull the warm air even farther nw than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I see La Crosse has this up... They very well could be changing that 7.0 above la crosse as we type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 If you've got an iPhone or Android, don't forget to help NSSL with their PING (Precipitation Identification Near the Ground) project during this event. Download the app: mPing on the App Store mPing on Google Play And report the precip that you're seeing as it occurs tomorrow. Make sure you close the app down with your task manager afterwards. Seems to be draining battery after you report constantly updating GPS. Just an FYI, at least on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 12z UK (approximate low locations/pressure via Pymouth maps) 12z Thu: 991mb close to Quincy IL 18z Thu: 985mb close to Peoria IL 0z Fri: 985mb close to Holland MI 6z Fri: 987mb close to Lansing MI 12z Fri: 989mb east of Detroit MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luftfeuchtigkeit Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So you think MSN may have mixing issues? NWS forecast is for all snow to about 20 or 30 miles E and S of here. I agree it will be close as 12Z NAM and GFS are both pretty far north. I've seen enough carnage. Final call. ORD: 1.5" 3.0" 1.5" MKE: 3.9" 5.0" 3.0" MSN: 9.9" 12.0" 10.0" (mixing issues) LSE: 8.4" 12.5" DBQ: 9.8" 11.5" 8.5" (mixing issues) MLI: 3.8" 2.5" FWA: 1.2" SBN: 2.9 4.0" (LES included) LAF: T IND: T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So you think MSN may have mixing issues? NWS forecast is for all snow to about 20 or 30 miles E and S of here. I agree it will be close as 12Z NAM and GFS are both pretty far north. I have no real clue, but it sure seems like it may be close for a time for MSN. If you believe the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Question: MKE... Rain because of warm lake temperatures or just warm air moving in from the south ...or a combo of both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I've seen enough carnage. Final call. ORD: 1.5" 3.0" 1.5" MKE: 3.9" 5.0" 3.0" MSN: 9.9" 12.0" 10.0" (mixing issues) LSE: 8.4" 12.5" DBQ: 9.8" 11.5" 8.5" (mixing issues) MLI: 3.8" 2.5" FWA: 1.2" SBN: 2.9 4.0" (LES included) LAF: T IND: T I think LAF will end up with 2". Yes, swinging for the fences here. Only will see probably .5" to 1" IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 North Platte radar lighting up right now. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Question: MKE... Rain because of warm lake temperatures or just warm air moving in from the south ...or a combo of both? give low proximity...by the time MKE goes to snow their winds will be N or NW. Lakeside locations are going to be rain but the lake really won't have anything to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 North Platte radar lighting up right now. Beautiful. I saw that a total of zero times last winter in NP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So lake temps only really factor in with some sort of easterly wind... makes sense. Here's hoping the models are wrong and BowMe gets a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Surface plots look on track so far. Lowest presure drops strecth from northwest panhandle through central nebraska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So lake temps only really factor in with some sort of easterly wind... makes sense. Here's hoping the models are wrong and BowMe gets a foot We need that low to pass south of Lake Michigan for sure, which may be a long shot. I'll still ride my Madison to Sheboygan jackpot zone I have been using for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I saw that a total of zero times last winter in NP. Should be rocking there for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 some ms paint: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So lake temps only really factor in with some sort of easterly wind... makes sense. Here's hoping the models are wrong and BowMe gets a foot Only foot I'm getting is at Subway.. But thanks! Good luck to you! Some beautiful snowmobile trails out that way and some itchy throttle thumbs after last winters snowmobile season debacle. I'm actually kinda glad to see the precip tick NW... North woods really needs a miracle or two for the big vacation week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Winter Storm Watches extended to the lake in Northern Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 LOT expanding WSWatches! THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO WET SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...LINGERING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATION: CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT TOTALS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS MORE FAVORED TO BE IN THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST SUBURBS OF CHICAGO. * WIND: WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 60 MPH PROBABLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 you have to imagine the watches are 99% related to a potential brief period of +SN and high winds and not accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 LOT expanding WSWatches! Must be banking on the defo band and some tssn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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