andyhb Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Go. Severe weather for all now, might as well. J/k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Thanks Hoosier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 Fine delete it then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Thanks Hoosier Maybe Andy will bring us some better luck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Fine delete it then... was a joke dude.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Euro decreases snow amounts here obviously but now a 9-12" band across southern WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 Maybe Andy will bring us some better luck? Jokes aside, the CAA with this thing is pretty impressive on the Euro, some areas further south have around a 20˚ drop in the temperature anomalies at H85 between 48 and 72 hrs. And I apologize for getting bent out of shape, it's just the overall failure of the warm sector side of this thing has kind of gotten on my nerves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 And ala the euro ensembles make a jump towards the nw. The mean track is identical up to Benton Harbor.. Out to 66hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 And ala the euro ensembles make a jump towards the nw. The mean track is identical up to Benton Harbor.. Out to 66hrs.. Moneyman special!!! ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 And ala the euro ensembles make a jump towards the nw. The mean track is identical up to Benton Harbor.. Out to 66hrs.. Yay! (sarcasm) enjoy the snow, Wisconsinians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Moneyman special!!! ;) 33 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Moneyman special!!! ;) The move north to Oshkosh should benefit grassy accumulation.. Sand bags needed back home in Ghetto Fondy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 qpf.. 1.00- 1.25 in W.MI west of a line from IN/OH/MI line to Bay City on back to se WI/ne IL/Chicago area. .75 - 1.00 in the rest of lower MI and back towards QC up to Green Bay and eastern UP. .50- .75 Des Moines to near La Crosse to Marquette. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 qpf.. 1.00- 1.25 in W.MI west of a line from IN/OH/MI line to Bay City on back to se WI/ne IL/Chicago area. .75 - 1.00 in the rest of lower MI and back towards QC up to Green Bay and eastern UP. .50- .75 Des Moines to near La Crosse to Marquette. . Yay! I get the most rain! Take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The move north to Oshkosh should benefit grassy accumulation.. Sand bags needed back home in Ghetto Fondy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Yay! I get the most rain! Take that! It is close.. You get some mixed for sure. You would still get a nice bit of snow up that way by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 6z NAM went south a bit. Goes over IKK-Gary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It is close.. You get some mixed for sure. You would still get a nice bit of snow up that way by the looks of it. I sure hope so. I have done pretty good with not getting grumpy with the weather until this week. Brown grass and these dark, cloudy western MI days with no bright snow really gets to one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 6z NAM identical to 0z EURO/0z GFS 992 MB LOW over Benton Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 6z NAM identical to 0z EURO/0z GFS 992 MB LOW over Benton Harbor. Hmmmm, so maybe now the three amigos can all head south together... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Band really gets going late over northern IL as sfc low rapidly deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Widespread 1-1.25 amounts with E. WI receiving 1.25-1.5 QPF. Should easily be all snow for most people in WI as well. All 3 models now showing greater than 1 inch QPF in the snow areas. Really looks like someone could get a foot + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 About to head to bed after I see the DVN afd fellas. Our team is currently planning to deploy to Cedar Rapids, IA. May need to adjust a bit over the next 24 hours, but that's the plan as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Quite the impressive low-level theta-e feed into the cyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Quite the impressive low-level theta-e feed into the cyclone Snow you gonna chase this thing buddy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Snow you gonna chase this thing buddy? no. I'll save my money for chasing tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 no. I'll save my money for chasing tornadoes. come on, gotta chase it all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Hey guys, I am apoloizimg up front . I am not a met.. Really curious about at what time frame we can look at models and be pretty confident of path. The fact that NWS in wisc. has put up watches makes me wonder if that confidence on their part is there. I live in northern lower pen. of mich. and realize any variation could be a huge outcome in weather I get. I have heard local met. generally prefer the european. Any thoughts ? Thanks. I saw this in the prior thread and thought I would chip in that the watch really just signifies 50% confidence in reaching 6" in 12 hours. I would say you could read into the lead time suggesting a higher confidence though. Generally watches are inside of 48 hours, this was 54 hours if I'm correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I'd sure like to see a bump SE on the gfs, but the euro models holding makes me feel good. This is a system where you don't want to nws be on the SE half of the heavy snow band being progged. Id feel a lot better if I were in cedar rapids and dubuque. We might do okay here though as this baby winds up. I 'm cautiously optimistic on this. Isn't DVN always dealing with the mixing issues? I have to say though, seeing the 00z Euro ensembles continue to be on the southern envelope of guidance looks good for you. Even the 00z GFS is ripping 50 kt winds down to just several hundred feet off the deck. More than close enough to mix down during that def band wrap around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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