dendrite Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Spiking the ball when your on the 20yd line is not a good idea. I hope I didn't jinx it with the Leon Lett vid last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Inside 84 hours is no good anymore either. What we will HAVE learned is meteorological models can not predict what will happen beyond 2 days anymore. Every met in the planet mentioned decent snows in NE this morning for Christmas, but Monday Morning QBIng is always easy. Let's see, every model except the Euro at 12 Z has decent snows but we never learn? What are your cutoffs? The day of? Well it shows you how fickle this whole situation is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I hope I didn't jinx it with the Leon Lett vid last night. Damn, I missed it. That must have been it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I agree with Will, the euro track is still probably a good inch..maybe two in a weenie band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Inside 84 hours is no good anymore either. What we will HAVE learned is meteorological models can not predict what will happen beyond 2 days anymore. Every met in the planet mentioned decent snows in NE this morning for Christmas, but Monday Morning QBIng is always easy. Let's see, every model except the Euro at 12 Z has decent snows but we never learn? What are your cutoffs? The day of? Day 3 is when I start taking events seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well it shows you how fickle this whole situation is. The fickle finger of fate,they are all fickle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Day 3 is when I start taking events seriously. I am down to day of , maybe 12 hours before precip moves in. Too many moving parts, dry slots, CF etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I agree with Will, the euro track is still probably a good inch..maybe two in a weenie band. At least its funny to watch the schizo weenies do a 180 with every model run. When the 18z NAM gives 3-6" in a weenie band, all will be well again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 At least its funny to watch the schizo weenies do a 180 with every model run. When the 18z NAM gives 3-6" in a weenie band, all will be well again. Or a DGEX bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 At least its funny to watch the schizo weenies do a 180 with every model run. When the 18z NAM gives 3-6" in a weenie band, all will be well again. It used to be. Now it's just tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The fickle finger of fate,they are all fickle. This one moreso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I agree with Will, the euro track is still probably a good inch..maybe two in a weenie band. That's all I wish for, some snow to bring some smiles, all the talk of jackpots is silly. Hopefully it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'm still happy. Taking my 3rd dump of the day with no ptype issues at this moment. The day is growing colder and winter is here. Ad the euro after storm 2 makes a nice pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Or a DGEX bomb. No worries....JMA is on board for solid advisory Christmas and a bomb for the 27th Everyone can calm down again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It used to be. Now it's just tiresome. What exactly does this mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 That's all I wish for, some snow to bring some smiles, all the talk of jackpots is silly. Hopefully it happens. Well over the years, it seems like many have developed a jackpot fetish....they won't be happy unless they are getting more snow than 4 towns over. I'll be thrilled with enough snow on Christmas to cover the grass. Hopefully its 4 or 5" but I won't frown if its 1.8" instead. I just want to steal a White Christmas here...and I think the odds are very good we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 No worries....JMA is on board for solid advisory Christmas and a bomb for the 27th Everyone can calm down again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Someone should put Pickles on "watch"..yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 That is an old JMA map from yesterday FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 That is an old JMA map from yesterday FWIW Yeah the 144h is...but the 72h is new. I just threw the 144 in as a joke. Well, actually they were both a joke, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 That is an old JMA map from yesterday FWIW It is? It has 72hrs as 12z 12/25...which would mean its todays 12z run... not that it matters (nvmd, i see will's post) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well over the years, it seems like many have developed a jackpot fetish....they won't be happy unless they are getting more snow than 4 towns over. I'll be thrilled with enough snow on Christmas to cover the grass. Hopefully its 4 or 5" but I won't frown if its 1.8" instead. I just want to steal a White Christmas here...and I think the odds are very good we do. Exactly my thoughts this morning. Let's hope we spread out a grass covering for all. Amount forecasting really should wait until 12-18 hours before hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 What exactly does this mean. It's no longer fun seeing peoples moods change every 6hrs with every model run that comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Exactly my thoughts this morning. Let's hope we spread out a grass covering for all. Amount forecasting really should wait until 12-18 hours before hand. Yeah or the very least, inside of 48h. These small events are very fickle. No way should anyone take this as me predicting 18" of snow...but look at Dec 1997 as an example of the shortwave...looks pretty pathetic, right? These little redevelopers south of LI are always a nasty forecast...sometimes they can totally go nuclear on us with little warning...and other times we just get the 1-3" that might be expected 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It's no longer fun seeing peoples moods change every 6hrs with every model run that comes out. agreed. you can never look at a model again, or hinge on every model run. it doesn't matter, the weather's gonna do what it's gonna do. the future will be better tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It's no longer fun seeing peoples moods change every 6hrs with every model run that comes out. I still find it a little funny. I also don't see folks really locking it in. I'm in Taunton btw. We went to a bday party at that Playhouse place in the center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I actually chuckled when I saw the euro. Trying to imagine the looks on various well known posters faces....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I still find it a little funny. I also don't see folks really locking it in. I'm in Taunton btw. We went to a bday party at that Playhouse place in the center Its definitely is funny to watch some of the meltdowns or early spikes...but at some point, it gets overly repetitive to hear definitive statements every 6 hours when a new model run happens.This is different than just saying what the model shows verbatim. If the last systems havent taught people not to trust model guidance several days out, I don't think anything will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Is it the shortwave spacing that is wreaking havoc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.