ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Maybe 1" for SNE on this run. The ugly part is the weaker systme doesn't help the south coast either...its a torch in the BL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Maybe 1" for SNE on this run. The ugly part is the weaker systme doesn't help the south coast either...its a torch in the BL. That was god awful, It started out much weaker south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Way different from other guidance...even the NAM had come north and stronger...odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 That southern vortmax being so weak was definitely a key. The northenr vortmax really wasn't that impressive either this run. Hopefully its just a burp run. Euro isn't immune to those. But definitely not a very good run. Verbatim most still see a white Christmas, but with blades of grass sticking out of the snow, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 BL is torched wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well that was unexpected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Way different from other guidance...even the NAM had come north and stronger...odd. Gfs ens not so hot either. Good thing is euro has been consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well that was unexpected 4-8" cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well that was unexpected i warned of confluence two days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It's actually better for NYC south. By the time bl torch qpf has shut off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It's actually better for NYC south. By the time bl torch qpf has shut off Very little qpf outside of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Very little qpf outside of PA. .10+ SV has for pa and nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well that was unexpected Spiking the ball when your on the 20yd line is not a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 .10+ SV has for pa and nyc Seriously? I didn't notice that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Spiking the ball when your on the 20yd line is not a good idea. People will never learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Always seemed too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 i warned of confluence two days ago yes u did. a couple times. can't say i'm shocked. u think the euro is gonna be a trend setter wrt gfs later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Seriously? I didn't notice that. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 not shocked. lets hope 0z is much better ffor both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 People will never learn. Not sure why though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Ride the KForky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I think the Euro will end up too flat here...its actually not really that it is flat per say...its just so weak with the vortmaximas. It actually curls the northern one up into CNE. It is just lacking the dynamic punch with help from the southern vortmax. We want htose vortmaximas at leats partially phased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro just Rick rolled us. Two snowstorms destroyed. It'll be right because it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Lots of time to go, no need to go into the shower with a plugged-in appliance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Differences start out west. Less Rockies ridging means less amplified nrn stream s/w too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 This is why I never uncanceled it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 I think the Euro will end up too flat here...its actually not really that it is flat per say...its just so weak with the vortmaximas. It actually curls the northern one up into CNE. It is just lacking the dynamic punch with help from the southern vortmax. We want htose vortmaximas at leats partially phased. Agreed. This kind of reminds me if the Nov 28 event where it was too light on qpf . Stay the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 People will never learn. Not sure why though. Inside 84 hours is no good anymore either. What we will HAVE learned is meteorological models can not predict what will happen beyond 2 days anymore. Every met in the planet mentioned decent snows in NE this morning for Christmas, but Monday Morning QBIng is always easy. Let's see, every model except the Euro at 12 Z has decent snows but we never learn? What are your cutoffs? The day of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Ensembles should be interesting. If it ends up right the wishcasters will have been curb stomped yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Agreed. This kind of reminds me if the Nov 28 event where it was too light on qpf . Stay the course The disconnect between the shortwaves and their weakness is concerning if we are trying to get an advisory level event. But I do think we'll still see 1-2" anyway, even if the Euro solutions verifies. At this point, I'd not jump on it too hard as it is the current outlier for the Christmas event. Still, its the most skillful model, so we have to at least keep this solution as a realistic option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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