WeatherX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Exactly not sure why weatherF was laughing I guess denial as usual. BELIEVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 ULL power, analogs FTW, Dec punt shanked. It's winter time in the city, ring a ling ding a ling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I never said I would not get snow? I said snow to rain, I think we can pull off an inch or two before ending as light rain/drizzle. Hopefully the quicker gfs verifies. You may change back to snow before ending too. The initial E/SE flow in the BL warms up your region. I see a lot fo people looking at just 850 temps on these setups. Though it will be close...if we get a slight dent in the isobars and it keeps the wind more NE, you might hang onto mostly snow. The 06z NAM is a good example of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Light snow here. Beets for everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Picked up 1/2 an inch so far..Now just flurries..but we should see periodic squalls/snowshowers much of the day..Hopefully can tickle another inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 It seems there's a lot of confusion about timing on this. This looks like an after midnight until about noontime deal on Xmas Day right? Some folks seems to think it doesn't start until Xmas Day and snows all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It depends what model you are believing...the 06z GFS has an inch down already by midnight for most everyone south of the pike...about up to my area. ECMWF just starts it snowing late evening and the bulk of it is Christmas morning. I'd probably favor something down the middle....snow starts in CT by 00z and up in Ray's area by midnight. Out to the east, this could hold on for much Christmas afteroon though...the ULL on a lot of guidance stretches back the sfc reflection to prolong the snow in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The early morning timing for me would be preferable. A nice 2-4 event would soothe many, better than Pickles and vat of lotion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 It depends what model you are believing...the 06z GFS has an inch down already by midnight for most everyone south of the pike...about up to my area. ECMWF just starts it snowing late evening and the bulk of it is Christmas morning. I'd probably favor something down the middle....snow starts in CT by 00z and up in Ray's area by midnight. Out to the east, this could hold on for much Christmas afteroon though...the ULL on a lot of guidance stretches back the sfc reflection to prolong the snow in the east. Yeah so maybe snow starts by 8:00-9:00 in Ct. Even back here it looks like lighter snows could linger much of the day. This is just a true Christmas miracle folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 NW Ct has 3-4 inches of snow OTG this morning..Upslope/Lake effect.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 NW Ct has 3-4 inches of snow OTG this morning..Upslope/Lake effect.. Text book CAA NW flow event on-going in the lakes and upslope regions... 1-2" so far this morning but snows picking back up. Thinking 6-12" by tomorrow morning at the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 NW Ct has 3-4 inches of snow OTG this morning..Upslope/Lake effect.. Where'd you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Where'd you see that? Zach McCabe @zjm9180 @bobmaxon moderate snow in lakeville ct for hours a lake effect snow streame!!! pic.twitter.com/c8DmN24w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snowy morning . Moderate snow now. Had a heavy burst during my run. Hard to believe we've got 4-8 coming Xmas Day I am just waking up to snow on the ground here too, good call last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 About 2" of new snow here from upslope. Just flurries ATM, but we had some heavier bursts earlier. Hoping we can pick this back up again and get at least a couple more inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Flurries here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 I am just waking up to snow on the ground here too, good call last night. About 5:30-6:00 it snowed quite hard and at one point the pavement was whitened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Lol Just saw the pvd ch10 forecast and they said chance of ra/sn showers ending Christmas am. Looked like a gfs rip and read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looks like a white Christmas is guaranteed in my old stomping grounds in Lowville ... Moderate to heavy snow and blowing snow east of Lake Ontario this morning... An area of moderate to heavy snow along with gusty winds to 35 mph is located from Fulton to Pulaski... Adams... Watertown and Lowville near 8 am this morning. Accumulating snow with rates of one to one and one half inches per hour will persist through 9 am. Reduced visibilities and slippery spots can be found on sections of Interstate 81 between Syracuse and Watertown and I 481 in Oswego County as well as covered secondary roads as well. Motorists should use extra caution of traveling through the area this morning and allow extra time to get to their destinations. . Winter Storm Warning in effect until 11 PM EST this evening... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow and blowing snow... which is in effect until 11 PM EST this evening. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in effect. * Locations... the north country... mainly across the Tug Hill and higher elevations southeast of Lake Ontario. * Timing... through late this evening. * Hazards... heavy snow and blowing snow. * Accumulations... an additional 5 to 9 inches today... and up to 2 inches this evening. Greatest accumulations will be across the Tug Hill and higher terrain southeast of Lake Ontario. * Winds... west 20 to 30 mph. * Visibilities... as low as a half mile at times. * Temperatures... in the upper 20s through 6 am. Highs in the mid 20s today. Between 15 and 25 this evening. * Impacts... heavy snow along with blowing and drifting snow will produce very difficult travel conditions. Expect snow covered roads and very poor visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 How many times did we say how a nice 2-4" event would soothe the soul last winter? We finally got it and I feel like its a KU incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 About 5:30-6:00 it snowed quite hard and at one point the pavement was whitened That's funny, I missed this one and you missed the snow on thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looks like a white Christmas is guaranteed in my old stomping grounds in Lowville ... Moderate to heavy snow and blowing snow east of Lake Ontario this morning... An area of moderate to heavy snow along with gusty winds to 35 mph is located from Fulton to Pulaski... Adams... Watertown and Lowville near 8 am this morning. Accumulating snow with rates of one to one and one half inches per hour will persist through 9 am. Reduced visibilities and slippery spots can be found on sections of Interstate 81 between Syracuse and Watertown and I 481 in Oswego County as well as covered secondary roads as well. Motorists should use extra caution of traveling through the area this morning and allow extra time to get to their destinations. . Winter Storm Warning in effect until 11 PM EST this evening... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow and blowing snow... which is in effect until 11 PM EST this evening. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in effect. * Locations... the north country... mainly across the Tug Hill and higher elevations southeast of Lake Ontario. * Timing... through late this evening. * Hazards... heavy snow and blowing snow. * Accumulations... an additional 5 to 9 inches today... and up to 2 inches this evening. Greatest accumulations will be across the Tug Hill and higher terrain southeast of Lake Ontario. * Winds... west 20 to 30 mph. * Visibilities... as low as a half mile at times. * Temperatures... in the upper 20s through 6 am. Highs in the mid 20s today. Between 15 and 25 this evening. * Impacts... heavy snow along with blowing and drifting snow will produce very difficult travel conditions. Expect snow covered roads and very poor visibility. Hello there, neighbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nam looked Canadian esque ...nice hit pike north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Very paltry Qpf in ct and major bl issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 NAM solutions laughable at this range, but it would not shock me for a pike north sweet spot if current models held. Just pure speculation at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 NAM solutions laughable at this range, but it would not shock me for a pike north sweet spot if current models held. Just pure speculation at this point. I like pike down to Ct coast as sweet spot. Very few will rain in this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The north trends are interesting. I would love to see at least a good coating Christmas day. So sad out snow is gone, just patches here. It really held up tough though. Does the Euro have snow up to southern Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 NAM solutions laughable at this range, but it would not shock me for a pike north sweet spot if current models held. Just pure speculation at this point. True, but gfs did move north at 6z Canadian was pretty amped as well as srefs. Euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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