SnowGoose69 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Trowal? GFS/EURO seem to be converging. I have a hard time with the GGEM solution. Notice also how the change in storm 1 is setting up a different run at us with storm 2 on the euro. Some might be willing to sell the GGEM solution though for a snowier 2nd event, if the GEM's depiction verified for the first storm its likely the 2nd storm could be suppressed and much snowier for the entire region of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Some might be willing to sell the GGEM solution though for a snowier 2nd event, if the GEM's depiction verified for the first storm its likely the 2nd storm could be suppressed and much snowier for the entire region of SNE. Yeah they're going to be hand in hand I think but I've got to tell you I'll take 1 or a few inches of snow Xmas eve into Xmas...any day of the week. That's a 1 or 2 in a lifetime type deal. Be something special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I know it's out there, but rough start times? Would we get some flakes flying by midnight mass on Xmas Eve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Going to print out the Euro, pinch me if this happens. Absolute dream scenario for much of SNE...somewhere Kev is having midnight wood and he doesn't know why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I know it's out there, but rough start times? Would we get some flakes flying by midnight mass on Xmas Eve? Yes I would think so. Even the slower Euro has flakes by 06z which is 1am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Boy what a weenie run here on the euro..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Boy what a weenie run here on the euro..lol. That stretched ULL like that looks unstable almost...there would probably be some weenie CSI banding in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Will thoughts on this system for CHristmas for the Cape COd area? Battling some warmer air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looks like about an inch of snow gets up to PWM. Thanks. Looks like one of those deals with a sharp cutoff on the northern edge. Saw that GFS still doesn't want to get this past the NH border. We'll be heading down to Hudson, MA around midday on Christmas, so I guess we'd be white one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Will thoughts on this system for CHristmas for the Cape COd area? Battling some warmer air? I'm not Will but GFS has snow for the Cape with the warmer air suppressed to the southeast. 12Z Euro will be interesting to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 with the marginal airmass in place i think areas near coast may have trouble accumulating unless the qpf falls before 8am. unless rates are decent. I think also temps during the day will tick up above freezing a tad. 33-34. i like elevations AOA 500' for best accums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Just give me 1" Christmas morning...SNE can have the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 SREF's upped their percentages of snowfall overnight so things are looking a lot more promising. I'm assuming you're banking on the Euro to verify? Both models have my location sitting pretty good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Wow...4-8 now for Xmas storm..And then the bomb 2 days later. Deep deep snowpack coming Off to run 13 and oh..it's snowing..and sticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Just give me 1" Christmas morning...SNE can have the jackpot. Trends have been favorable for north-of-the-pike folks ... even some who are quite removed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 6z GFS pretty far north...looks like 3-4" up to southern NH. FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 6z GFS pretty far north...looks like 3-4" up to southern NH. FTW Yeah that's an I-90 special there. My guess is the Pike area may be good for this..into SVT, SNH,SME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I like Ryan's idea of a narrow, but strong band moving through the region. It has that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 This is kind of crazy. Check out the progged POP's in GC for the second system--yet they are pretty tentative with the Christmas one. Interesting. Don't seem very bullish for Christmas in the NW zone. Perhaps rightfully, but I think it looks good for 1-3". Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Monday Night: Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow. Lows in the lower 20s. Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs in the lower 30s. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs around 30. Wednesday Night: Snow likely. Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 60 percent. Thursday: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Cold with highs in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nice runs. Getting closer I hike it gets coastal peeps. Another day to lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nice runs. Getting closer I hike it gets coastal peeps. Another day to lock it 'tis the season for giving, and even the coast is given some wintry white for Santa, ftw. 29.9/24, -sn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Congrats up north guys, looks like the gfs is following the canadian lead, snow to rain here xmas eve, enjoy the snow and merry christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 You're a worse nay-sayer than I!!! I think you'll be getting some snow down there, Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snowy morning . Moderate snow now. Had a heavy burst during my run. Hard to believe we've got 4-8 coming Xmas Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Congrats up north guys, looks like the gfs is following the canadian lead, snow to rain here xmas eve, enjoy the snow and merry christmas. LOL.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snowy morning . Moderate snow now. Had a heavy burst during my run. Hard to believe we've got 4-8 coming Xmas Day congrats--.5" on the kiteboard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Man am I feeling good about this pattern starting now ,Xmas and the bomb the 27th..Impressive amounts of snow will fall..Hopefully even some ice on the 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nice disco this morning WHILE THERMAL PROFILES ARE SIMILAR /A MOSTLY SNOW EVENT/ THE ECMWF WOULD HAVE A LITTLE RAIN MIXING INTO CLOSER TO THE COAST ITSELF. ALSO...THE DIFFERENCE IN TRACKS WILL NEED TO BE RESOLVED TO DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CUTOFF OCCURS. AT THIS TIME...AREAS S OF THE MASS PIKE HAVE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY SO WILL FAVOR THIS REGION...WITH LOWER CHANCES TO THE N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 You're a worse nay-sayer than I!!! I think you'll be getting some snow down there, Joe. I never said I would not get snow? I said snow to rain, I think we can pull off an inch or two before ending as light rain/drizzle. Hopefully the quicker gfs verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nice disco this morning WHILE THERMAL PROFILES ARE SIMILAR /A MOSTLY SNOW EVENT/ THE ECMWF WOULD HAVE A LITTLE RAIN MIXING INTO CLOSER TO THE COAST ITSELF. ALSO...THE DIFFERENCE IN TRACKS WILL NEED TO BE RESOLVED TO DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CUTOFF OCCURS. AT THIS TIME...AREAS S OF THE MASS PIKE HAVE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY SO WILL FAVOR THIS REGION...WITH LOWER CHANCES TO THE N. Exactly not sure why weatherF was laughing I guess denial as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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