dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Another good ec ens run for Xmas for CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Another good ec ens run for Xmas for CNE. care to give a rundown from say DC north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Another good ec ens run for Xmas for CNE. How does SNE look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I looks like snow for about greater HFD northward. The south coast torches on Christmas morning...but you would start as snow overnight. Thanks Will, I was talking about the follow up event, shopping so hard to see. BL here is toasty xmas morning temps well above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Its called climo point taken, but i don't think we are too far from being cooked on xmas either ray. East winds in BL and marginal airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 So the Euro and GFS are totally different on the 25th but similar on the 27th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Will, how are the ECENS here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Another good ec ens run for Xmas for CNE. Sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Will, how are the ECENS here? They look nice. Quite similar to OP run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 They look nice. Quite similar to OP run. 1-3" on xmas ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 If Euro/ensembles verified, I think a good chunk of SNE (and getting up into CNE) would get a low end advisory event for late Christmas Eve into Christmas morning. That's how it stands now. GFS/GEFS are obviously less amped. Ukie/GGEM are siding more toward the Euro suite at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Sounds like a nice 3-5 inch snowfall with lollis to 6 as we rip open presents Xmas day. I mean it just doesn't get any better than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 LOW end advisory.....that isn't 4 or 5".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 YO YO YO Weenie support growing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 LOW end advisory.....that isn't 4 or 5".... 3 inches over 12 hours is the low end advisory for MA/CT/RI....4" for NH. So a 2-4" forecast for us would be considered low end advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 LOW end advisory.....that isn't 4 or 5".... No its 2-4" i am calling 3-5".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 No its 2-4" i am calling 3-5" A bit early for you to be chucking amounts, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 A bit early for you to be chucking amounts, no? Joking really, Nothing locked nothing loaded, I want to see it hold a few more runs before we consider anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 NAM is a solid NO end advisory although it looks a ton better than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 it would horrible if the BL is cook'd in Coastal areas for xmas day and the 27'th oh dear. on the other hand interior areas look primed to score on xmas day and while the 27'th is up in the air , they are looking good as well. i think we will see quite a gradient from plymouth/scituate area NW to ORH airport. perhaps in both systems Good call on last night's front-end, Pickles. it was a sight to behold at 3:00a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 18Z GFS lloks like it may a little better then 12z, A little further south with the trough thru hr 69, Little stronger s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Not to date myself... LOL ...but it was Christmas 1973 or 1974 that we woke up to a beautiful 3 inch snowfall sort of like this event... It was a surprise to us, but my parents may not have been very wx savvy. Obviously bigger Xmas events, but that one was a special memory. Sounds like a nice 3-5 inch snowfall with lollis to 6 as we rip open presents Xmas day. I mean it just doesn't get any better than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 18Z GFS lloks like it may a little better then 12z, A little further south with the trough thru hr 69, Little stronger s/w looks good for SE MA/RI, just a coating further north, hoping it sets the stage for the 27/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 GFS is def a bit healthier looking than the 12z solution. This one gives a nice event for the south coast and probably an inch or so up to the pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Good call on last night's front-end, Pickles. it was a sight to behold at 3:00a.m. that was me, bub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 18Z GFS lloks like it may a little better then 12z, A little further south with the trough thru hr 69, Little stronger s/w Maybe a dumb question, but why would Mainers want this any further south? Looks to me like we're on the outside looking south at this point, at least based on the GFS. 18z had no measurable precip up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Maybe a dumb question, but why would Mainers want this any further south? Looks to me like we're on the outside looking south at this point, at least based on the GFS. 18z had no measurable precip up here. You don't want it south...I think he was trying to say the trough or shortwave was digging a bit more. I suspect you'll probably get some snow out of thisin southern ME when verification time comes calling. The GFS has been a southern outlier the past 12-24 hours or so. The foreign model guidance has definitely been more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 that was me, bub actually it was both of us. i posted about it i dunno twenty times in two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Maybe a dumb question, but why would Mainers want this any further south? Looks to me like we're on the outside looking south at this point, at least based on the GFS. 18z had no measurable precip up here. If you want that s/w up here you are going to need that trough to dig further south to sharpen the trough instead of being flatter and progressive so the s/w scoots out underneath us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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