ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Joe the Euro is snow for me. Period Its a lot of rain for CT though...you probably are all snow on the Euro. But a chunk of the state is rain. Esp down his way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Its a lot of rain for CT though...you probably are all snow on the Euro. But a chunk of the state is rain. Esp down his way. Yes all we were trying to explain to some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 ok then 3-5 days of snow.............to 1-2 tonight tomorrow............all snow risk of suppression got it thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yeah hey really sound ready to lock a solution in SO STILL NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN WHETHER OR NOT HIGH PRES TO THE N WILL SUPPRESS LIGHT SNOW FOR CHRISTMAS EVE TO THE S Euro ensembles were pretty amped too. It could def be suppressed. But we have no idea yet. For 2 hours I was excited about a white Xmas than the euro came out. I'm hoping its too amped otherwise a lot of us are cooked. Frustrating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 JB has been great on this one. Congrats to LL and everyone @BigJoeBastardi: White Christmas likely north 40n all the way to NJ from "Festivus Miracle" storm US models did not even see 3 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 From jbs tweet right into the nam dumpster of flurries. He's the mike Seidel of the web Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Gfs way south no preciep north of phl on SV maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Sounds like GFS in typical suppressed mode 3-4 days out. If it was north I'd be worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 gfs going the wrong way up this way with the snow it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Sounds like GFS in typical suppressed mode 3-4 days out. If it was north I'd be worried Does throw some light preciep back at hr 93. Inverted like feature. .05 gets to u-south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 We need todays system to get out of the way, otherwise it goes through the meat grinder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Gfs way south no preciep north of phl on SV maps i warned of confluence near maine in another thread... i think sw ct could squeak out an inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 That's a pretty impressive vortmax on there. Worth keeping an eye on. 4 days out on a clipper-esque storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 i warned of confluence near maine in another thread... i think sw ct could squeak out an inch or two Yeah we pretty much get a Hail Mary there at the end to see snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 It was right after CT Blizz posted JB's tweet about a white Christmas that the models dropped it. Clearly we've been "mushed"...if you've seen this classic movie you'll get the reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 GGEM is pretty nice looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 that would be fitting if only LL in sw ct has white xmas. would be grand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Ukie looks pretty robust too but no qpf fields for that time frame beyond 72h. Maybea hair less amped than the GGEM. Shouldbe interesting to see how the Euro comes out today...this system is still 4 days out. It seems like its a lot closer...probably because we have been tracking the other system since it was 9 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 GGEM is pretty nice looking. That would make for a nice precursor to the 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Ukie looks pretty robust too but no qpf fields for that time frame beyond 72h. Maybea hair less amped than the GGEM. Shouldbe interesting to see how the Euro comes out today...this system is still 4 days out. It seems like its a lot closer...probably because we have been tracking the other system since it was 9 days out. Images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 where do you get the ggem earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 where do you get the ggem earlier? They're out on meteocentre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yeah GFS and Maine confluence ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 They're out on meteocentre. 993mb off Cape Cod? Is that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 where do you get the ggem earlier? http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 They're out on meteocentre. i usually just wait for the e-wall images to come out. temp maps aren't updated yet on meteocentre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 where do you get the ggem earlier? This will give the low track out to 120h earlier than most site...the ptype algorithm I would take with a grain of salt or just estimate with it...but the low track is useful http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Also, this site sometimes comes out earlier http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNM&hh2=144&fixhh=1&hh=000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The ewall maps are def the best for the GGEM, but if you want to get an early peak, those other sites can be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 993mb off Cape Cod? Is that right? Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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