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Can we salvage a White Christmas in SNE?


Damage In Tolland

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Prob the Dec 23-24, 1994 storm. We've talked

about that one on here before. It was actually sub-tropical in origin. There was no cold air at all for it to tap into...so we had a hige rainstorm on Christmas Eve. I was pretty bummed in that one.

That storm occured during the El Niño winter of 1994-1995. The noreaster had an eye like feature and backed in from the east. I believe there were winds gusts over 80 mph on parts of the Cape.

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It looks like 850 temps and even 925 get quite borderline south of the Pike, although 850 does cool with onset of precip. Close shave, but decent QPF.

Yeah I noticed that at 850..but as soon as precip came in it flashed down to cold enough for snow. The Sfc is pretty cold at 12z the 25th...mostly 20s with maybe near freezin g in BOS...it is def a bit more borderline down in CT...esp southern half.

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Euro is an Xmas rain I think right on the coast with that track. Good for everyone else

I think a white Christmas may be in store for much of SNE--but for three different reasons:

For those southerners (south of the Pike), you'll get the fresh coating from the Christmas Eve/Day coating.

For GC, we might actually survive the rain today with a net gain (read: still snow on the ground). If so, add to that whatever wrap-around we might get with the snow showers tonight and tomorrow.

For areas east of GC, they could score with some of the same snowshowers tonight.

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The concern north of Pike is going to be suppression, that high is strong. Precip may struggle to far north.

You are just making stuff up.Rain is def a concern in southenr areas. Its not that cold of a setup all things considered.

But its def way too early to say suppression would be favored righ t now.

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I have been thinking the wunderground fantasy ECMWF snow maps are a little more conservatie this season. Maybe they tweaked them. Mainly though I was looking at it in Europe during the snowy cold period there.

totally it was really bad for the Maine event, had weenie 1-3 amounts in places that got 18-24

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Perhaps you need to tell Box since its also their concern

Yeah hey really sound ready to lock a solution in

SO STILL NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN WHETHER OR NOT

HIGH PRES TO THE N WILL SUPPRESS LIGHT SNOW FOR CHRISTMAS EVE TO

THE S

Euro ensembles were pretty amped too. It could def be suppressed. But we have no idea yet.

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