CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No, I don't agree with your synopsis. "Euro sends a very weak wave out under SNE" just doesn't paint an accurate picture. Sounds like you agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No, I don't agree with your synopsis. "Euro sends a very weak wave out under SNE" just doesn't paint an accurate picture. Dude, its not a major event....its a weak wave. While not detailed, it was accurate. What is your problem?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Dude, its not a major event....its a weak wave. While not detailed, it was accurate. What is your problem?? It's a 1018 low under us. If he wants 300mb winds, frontogenesis values, and ageostrophic wind vectors.....sorry I disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Sounds like you agree with me then. Yeah, in terms of basic forecast thinking. I've liked your general calls for the past week or two. I was just thinking how it's nice to have a little cooler airmass in the midst of a warm stretch. And then I read your mentioning of BL issues. It just seemed like a glass half empty kind of thing to say. Wouldn't it be great to have BL issues... would mean it was actually snowing somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The Euro had dual 1016mb lows...one in W NY and the other S of LI...I'm not sure what it is other than semantics...Euro was weak and gave a modest amount of qpf for SNE on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I guess he wants me to say there was a dying primary into the lakes that meant nothing to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I guess he wants me to say there was a dying primary into the lakes that meant nothing to us. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 lol Or he wants to embrace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Heavy heavy HEAVY snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Yeah, in terms of basic forecast thinking. I've liked your general calls for the past week or two. I was just thinking how it's nice to have a little cooler airmass in the midst of a warm stretch. And then I read your mentioning of BL issues. It just seemed like a glass half empty kind of thing to say. Wouldn't it be great to have BL issues... would mean it was actually snowing somewhere. Well I mentioned BL issues just to not get people thinking we have an arctic airmass over us. This event would likely come from isentropic lift/WAA so the south coast can be vulnerable in that if our airmass isn't super cold. Doesn't mean they can't snow. But it could be above freezing...perhaps mixing...who knows. More of a general caution about the setup if it were to occur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Gfs keeps the light qpf south of ttn for xmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Dude, its not a major event....its a weak wave. While not detailed, it was accurate. What is your problem?? It wasn't accurate at all. Look at the charts. H3 and H5. The wave goes northwest of us. Moderate QPF through the Ohio Valley into southern NY. If you have a red tag you should act like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It wasn't accurate at all. Look at the charts. H3 and H5. The wave goes northwest of us. Moderate QPF through the Ohio Valley into southern NY. If you have a red tag you should act like it. The ensembles have even less of a signature. It's silly to waist time talking about it when other models don't agree. We are also 5 days out. Why get detailed over stuff that doesn't mean much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Gfs keeps the light qpf south of ttn for xmass Looks like it gets into CT to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It wasn't accurate at all. Look at the charts. H3 and H5. The wave goes northwest of us. Moderate QPF through the Ohio Valley into southern NY. If you have a red tag you should act like it. oh no you just didn't! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Gfs keeps the light qpf south of ttn for xmass It brings light qpf into CT actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It wasn't accurate at all. Look at the charts. H3 and H5. The wave goes northwest of us. Moderate QPF through the Ohio Valley into southern NY. If you have a red tag you should act like it. When did you become such a jerk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It's a 1018 low under us. If he wants 300mb winds, frontogenesis values, and ageostrophic wind vectors.....sorry I disappointed. Look again man. And this time look at more than the surface. The s/w goes right through the Lakes and wraps well NW of us. The weak surface low to our south is the natural response to the coastal baroclinic zone any time there is vorticity advection in our vicinity. But the synoptic evolution is clearly quite different than you are describing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 GFS continues theme of south of pike special Xmas eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Looks like it gets into CT to me. Im using storm vista. Had no qpf north of ttn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It brings light qpf into CT actually. Dont see it on sv maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Look again man. And this time look at more than the surface. The s/w goes right through the Lakes and wraps well NW of us. The weak surface low to our south is the natural response to the coastal baroclinic zone any time there is vorticity advection in our vicinity. But the synoptic evolution is clearly quite different than you are describing. Who cares though? It means little in the grand scheme of things when models don't agree much. There isn't a need for in depth analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 When did you become such a jerk? How is saying it wasn't accurate being a jerk? I'm just posting the right information. People give me ****, but they're wrong. And I back up my posts with clear and accurate info. I'm not the one making things personal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It wasn't accurate at all. Look at the charts. H3 and H5. The wave goes northwest of us. Moderate QPF through the Ohio Valley into southern NY. If you have a red tag you should act like it. Dude, that is the dying primary that doesn't affect us....get a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Look again man. And this time look at more than the surface. Enough with the passive aggressive insulting posts. Scott is the last person who would focus on the sfc over upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 How is saying it wasn't accurate being a jerk? I'm just posting the right information. People give me ****, but they're wrong. And I back up my posts with clear and accurate info. I'm not the one making things personal. Would you like a kiss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The ensembles have even less of a signature. It's silly to waist time talking about it when other models don't agree. We are also 5 days out. Why get detailed over stuff that doesn't mean much? No no coastal, you've got to elaborate on every facet of the solution the models disagree on (that is never going to happen verbatim) using as many words and numbers as possible. Then when you finish everyone can just reply "... So is it gonna snow?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 How is saying it wasn't accurate being a jerk? I'm just posting the right information. People give me ****, but they're wrong. And I back up my posts with clear and accurate info. I'm not the one making things personal. :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: We salute you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 How is saying it wasn't accurate being a jerk? I'm just posting the right information. People give me ****, but they're wrong. And I back up my posts with clear and accurate info. I'm not the one making things personal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Im using storm vista. Had no qpf north of ttn. SV had zilch over CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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