Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 For Thursday night?? Yes. And Friday night/Saturday? Yes. Just speaking from the GFS. Meanwhile, what a HORRIBLE run for 12/27. Ouch. Yeah but look at H348...much better....that low only goes to Toronto! Weekend is clouds with scattered snow showers and flurries. I'll see no accumulation neither will most of SNE east of the western hills. Maybe we get a Will miracle. Has some potential. After that we get to watch 1 storm go way west and probably another one around 1/3. It's a crappy pattern and I'm rapidly losing faith it's going to change even before 1/7ish. Maybe we get lucky 12/25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 How far north does the ice go before change to snow? Catskills ski resorts see snow or ice storm? What about north of KALB and the dacks? -skisheep Most higher elevation areas will get snow. Lower elevation areas would be more concerned with ice storms..kind of what happened earlier this week where many areas had freezing rain since they were borderline freezing, but not cold enough to switch everything to snow so whatever fell just froze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 The sounding for BOS gets to -0.1C at 900mb at hr 138. It is fairly unstable above 600mb, probably would be a nice burst before ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 nice cutter pattern on the long range GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Hope it's not a winter full of cutters....nothing worse than cold, warmup/rain, cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 We are back to taking long range GFS op verbatim I see. Good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 nice cutter pattern on the long range GFS. How insightful, tell us more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 The sounding for BOS gets to -0.1C at 900mb at hr 138. It is fairly unstable above 600mb, probably would be a nice burst before ending. yeah saw that it stays just barely cold enough at BOS there. it's very latitude based on that run as it's warm verbatim thru CT/RI/SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 yeah saw that it stays just barely cold enough at BOS there. it's very latitude based on that run as it's warm verbatim thru CT/RI/SE MA. I only bring it up just to mention that and the nice burst it had at the end. Twisterdata has the text values on the sounding. Nice drop in Theta-e above 600mb, indicative of theta surfaces folding if you were to look at it on BUFKIT. Would be nice, but it's a solution that I'm not sold on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Canadian is further south than the GFS on the 12/24-25 system...looks good for CT/RI/SE MA. This of course is just fodder right now. The system is there though on guidance...so it might be something worth taking more seriously in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 verbatiam chicago get a epic storm, upstate NY and sne away from coast get a ice storm. Snowfall has been pretty meager so far in Chicago. As of last Sunday Chicago had gone 285 days without 1/10 of an inch of snow accumulating one day during that stretch. A new record for the city. Looks like that streak ends on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Snowfall has been pretty meager so far in Chicago. As of last Sunday Chicago had gone 285 days without 1/10 of an inch of snow accumulating one day during that stretch. A new record for the city. Looks like that streak ends on Thursday. Yeah that's what they were saying on TWC. Milwaukee is in the same boat too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Yeah that's what they were saying on TWC. Milwaukee is in the same boat too. Good to see so many people here from the Merrimack Valley! I think it would be interesting to conduct a study on the lack of clipper systems which has caused some of these streaks to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Yeah that's what they were saying on TWC. Milwaukee is in the same boat too. streak ended yesterday in MIL - he record snowless streak in Milwaukee has been broken! Tuesday, December 18th, a low pressure system moving from western Iowa to far southern Lake Michigan brought measurable snowfall to General Mitchell International Airport. At 6 pm Tuesday night, the airport reported its first measurable snowfall since March 4, 2012, bringing the snowless streak to an end after 288 days. The old record was 279 days set in 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 Canadian is further south than the GFS on the 12/24-25 system...looks good for CT/RI/SE MA. This of course is just fodder right now. The system is there though on guidance...so it might be something worth taking more seriously in a few days. Yeah both are nice couple inch snowfalls. Lets see if Euro joins. Ukie has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 We are back to taking long range GFS op verbatim I see. Good job. The GEFS is a splasher in most of SNE too...sure it's not Chicago but there are hints of a primary to the west and the storm runs the line and floods us with warmer air aloft. Ultimately we end up with a primary western new England or further west, and maybe a redevelopment that's too late for almost all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 streak ended yesterday in MIL - he record snowless streak in Milwaukee has been broken! Tuesday, December 18th, a low pressure system moving from western Iowa to far southern Lake Michigan brought measurable snowfall to General Mitchell International Airport. At 6 pm Tuesday night, the airport reported its first measurable snowfall since March 4, 2012, bringing the snowless streak to an end after 288 days. The old record was 279 days set in 1999. 1.2 inch snowfall. KORD only got a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 i think the CP folks better pray for xmas eve miracle to take a blend of gfs/cmc track. It may be the only snow they see for a while. I'm even skeptical they can sneak 1inch snows that melt into the gutter in this pattern. It will take untiil the -epo gives us better cold to work with in CP if that even happens IMO. IF you like rain and live on the CP of sne you should be euphoric over this current stormy pattern. Folks AOA 1500' in NNE on the other hand will be adding to a snowpack. i really really ike the CP's chances of soaking rains in this pattern, i mean that is what this pattern is most likely to produce. not a meltdown lol just truth. plain honest ugly and disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Precip is pretty light on the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Whoever said this pattern is worse than December 2011 is right on target. Give me mild and dry vs this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 boy how the rich get richer on the GFS .... yeah, we recoup some clemency by the gods perhaps for xmass, but the major players on that run ...right out to 384 hours, are an unrelenting procession of GL cutters that seems to have little (as modeled) impact by lead cold air masses. If an miser had coded the model to create solutions that deliberately f with winter-weather heads you wouldn't know the difference. Actually, I reviewed the overnight telies and I'm liking what I see more so than any run over the last month. Among many facets, cutting systems into the Lakes would get more difficult in time, and among the vagarious corrections that will ultimately be applied to future runs regarding the late middle and extended range .... correcting some of those system S-E would be required. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Looks like a few inches on the gfs, for that sneaky X-mas deal. Maybe it wraps in some ATL moisture at the last second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 i think the CP folks better pray for xmas eve miracle to take a blend of gfs/cmc track. It may be the only snow they see for a while. I'm even skeptical they can sneak 1inch snows that melt into the gutter in this pattern. It will take untiil the -epo gives us better cold to work with in CP if that even happens IMO. IF you like rain and live on the CP of sne you should be euphoric over this current stormy pattern. Folks AOA 1500' in NNE on the other hand will be adding to a snowpack. i really really ike the CP's chances of soaking rains in this pattern, i mean that is what this pattern is most likely to produce. not a meltdown lol just truth. plain honest ugly and disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 When was the last time we had to shovel snow in Boston? I moved into Charlestown in Dec 2010, which was full of epic snow after epic snow. We were on pace to shatter that annual record, but I think it came to a grinding halt in the end of January 2011. Last year any snow that fell (maybe 3-4") in a single storme melted a day or two later. I haven't picked up a shovel since January 2011 I believe...thats unheard of around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 What is wrong with people? A 12z Gfs run lol. This is an all time low for these posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I think this clipper becomes a big deal on further runs of the models. The energy with this system is strong so any digging would mean a much stronger and further south low. Still a lot of time, but I think this system will be something to reckon with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Euro coming on board with a little something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Euro coming on board with a little something. We need a little somethin somethin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 Euro coming on board with a little something. Nice dude. 1-3 or maybe we can tickle a 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 For NJ on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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