HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Mulen! Glad to see you back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 31.7 here, and temp hasn't moved much in the last few hours. Feels colder than 31. Don't think icing will be much of a concern here at 490ft, but the northwest part of town towards the Union line might see some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 31.7 here, and temp hasn't moved much in the last few hours. Feels colder than 31. Don't think icing will be much of a concern here at 490ft, but the northwest part of town towards the Union line might see some. The temps/dews that ended up being a tick warmer than expected have diminished the risk of that. BOX seems pretty confident in the areas north of the pike staying chilly--and here I am almost 40 miles north of the pike and my p/c has me at 33. Not that it matters a whole lot with this system, but BOX has expanded the coverage of it's 1-2" area considerably. 26.7/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 where is the precip, feels and looks like snow but radar is absolutely blank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 where is the precip, feels and looks like snow but radar is absolutely blank Going to be some light, low-level stuff that develops later today. Will take sometime but it may wind up developing overhead as opposed to "moving in". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 where is the precip, feels and looks like snow but radar is absolutely blank we can't even get a rainstorm to verify these days! LOL-looks dry for most of today.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Going to be some light, low-level stuff that develops later today. Will take sometime but it may wind up developing overhead as opposed to "moving in". Being so light and low level, will it even be snow, be able to develop nuclei or whatever you call it? 6zgfs was hideous, cutter after cutter after cutter ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Going to be some light, low-level stuff that develops later today. Will take sometime but it may wind up developing overhead as opposed to "moving in". Aside from some possible --SN type stuff falling in NH/VT right now, the NAM12 says between 12 and 15z we will really see WAA saturate the column down over the Tri-State area and spread north pretty quickly. I'll generate a couple more maps to better illustrate that in a second. Pictures are much better than my midnight shift incoherent thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Being so light and low level, will it even be snow, be able to develop nuclei or whatever you call it? 6zgfs was hideous, cutter after cutter after cutter ugh. Yes--it was not a pretty sight. Meanwhile--this looks ugly for any prolonged (or any) icing for the vast majority of SNE geography and population. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 29.6/26 this morning. Just expecting rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 You can see how much the NAM12 saturates between 12 and 15z by looking at the 285 K surface. It actually is doing a pretty good job at 12z of showing that band of colder cloud tops stretching through VT and NH (probably spitting out some P6SM snow too). If this plays out it probably will pretty much develop overhead as you say Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Being so light and low level, will it even be snow, be able to develop nuclei or whatever you call it? 6zgfs was hideous, cutter after cutter after cutter ugh. Not expecting snow in many areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It's been a year since I've been so down on the weather pattern.This is really, really depressing. Hope you guys up north can at least establish a snowpack this week, while we rain and watch the grass get greener Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Not expecting snow in many areas. I don't see much ice either, temps are pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Yeah NNE doesn't need a miracle. It's all about that primary. A NAM/Euro blend is definitely possible in which case Northern VT NH and interior ME do ok. Its almost got an elevation snow look to it across the northern tier... especially once the secondary gets going and cuts off mid-level warmth. I'm starting to feel that the upper elevations of the ski resorts across the north could do ok if it keeps trending. Jay Peak to Sunday River/Sugarloaf definitely have the advantage in this one. Otherwise...riviting looking regional radar for this first wave: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 29.6/26 this morning. Just expecting rain Do you want to cancel the bet? Seems unfair at this point..... 26.6/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 No it's close CMC goes to mix for your area and then goes back to a wet snow thump with Tuesday/Wed system. This is going to be really close for a lot of NNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It's been a year since I've been so down on the weather pattern.This is really, really depressing. Hope you guys up north can at least establish a snowpack this week, while we rain and watch the grass get greener 1-3 or 4! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 1-3 or 4! What happened to your thoughts yesterday of Friday's storm having a cold,wintry appeal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Do you want to cancel the bet? Seems unfair at this point..... 26.6/21 No..a bet 's a bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 3 storms that track south of us and we end up with 3 40 degree rainstorms. I've just never seen anything like it. Something is inherently wrong with modelling, the climate and the atmosphere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 What happened to your thoughts yesterday of Friday's storm having a cold,wintry appeal? Still possible but not looking as likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 3 storms that track south of us and we end up with 3 40 degree rainstorms. I've just never seen anything like it. Something is inherently wrong with modelling, the climate and the atmosphere Meh. I disagree. There's just not much cold. I think people have been spoiled by recent Decembers. The storm that moves in Monday night moves over BGM lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 3 storms that track south of us and we end up with 3 40 degree rainstorms. I've just never seen anything like it. Something is inherently wrong with modelling, the climate and the atmosphere The primary's are just too far west... same with the trough axis. Its a cutter pattern and if we didn't have any block it would be a series of 60F+ rainstorms. That's the disgusting thought. However that axis moves east a bit and we'd get slammed with three in a row. Just bad luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Still possible but not looking as likely. It's not possible. I'm being realistic. There is 0 chance of any frozen precip with that in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 The primary's are just too far west... same with the trough axis. Its a cutter pattern and if we didn't have any block it would be a series of 60F+ rainstorms. That's the disgusting thought. However that axis moves east a bit and we'd get slammed with three in a row. Just bad luck. With secondaries forming..we usually can get snow to mix events witha block. That's what i mean..primaries cut west of us plenty of times..We can usually hold in enough cold for some frozen. It's not like it used to be. It's dishearetening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 29.6/26 this morning. Just expecting rain I wasn't wishing it upon you was just laying out my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I wasn't wishing it upon you was just laying out my thoughts. Good work. You were right/ I was wrong. 3 wire to wire rain storms to ring in the holiday. It just doesn't get any more depressing than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 26.3/19 Time to punt December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Good work. You were right/ I was wrong. 3 wire to wire rain storms to ring in the holiday. It just doesn't get any more depressing than that. Not true... but it still sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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