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December 16-17 wintry obs/discussion


ORH_wxman

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about time!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

716 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

...WINTRY PRECIP IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

CTZ002>004-MAZ011-170830-

/O.NEW.KBOX.ZR.Y.0003.121217T0016Z-121217T1400Z/

HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...

VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...SPRINGFIELD

716 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZING

RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY.

* FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR FREEZING

RAIN/DRIZZLE AND ICY ROADS WILL BE ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT AND

MASSACHUSETTS BORDER...WITH LESS OF A RISK FARTHER SOUTH INTO

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT AND EASTWARD TO THE RHODE ISLAND BORDER.

* LOCATIONS...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCRETION OF A TRACE UP TO A TENTH OF AN

INCH POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY

EARLY TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL

CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S.

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about time!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

716 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

...WINTRY PRECIP IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

CTZ002>004-MAZ011-170830-

/O.NEW.KBOX.ZR.Y.0003.121217T0016Z-121217T1400Z/

HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...

VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...SPRINGFIELD

716 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZING

RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY.

* FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR FREEZING

RAIN/DRIZZLE AND ICY ROADS WILL BE ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT AND

MASSACHUSETTS BORDER...WITH LESS OF A RISK FARTHER SOUTH INTO

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT AND EASTWARD TO THE RHODE ISLAND BORDER.

* LOCATIONS...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCRETION OF A TRACE UP TO A TENTH OF AN

INCH POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY

EARLY TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL

CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S.

But nothing here lol

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Sitting at 26F right now...its been a slow rise since about 4-5pm. We'll see if the rise halts or actually reverses a bit later on with that secondary trying to tug a little more from the NE. It could just be a halt at best though since the latent heat release from freezing is getting going...its been a sterady light freezing rain or heavy freezing drizzle for a while now.

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Best misspelled post ever?

Man--that was pathetic!!

Tough ride home--290 through ORH was a total mess. Numerous spinouts every 1/4-1/3 mile it seemed. And still, idiots are driving fast. I'm baffled how their minds work....

Things were fine when I got to the Pike, 91 was pretty decent too. Once I hit the Mohawk Trail, things went to crap again. Big accident up on the trail in Shelburne temporarily closing Rt. 2.

I hope all you getting snow are measuring on a white kiteboard.

LOL--the kiteboard will never get old!

That wasn't a meltdown..Just some pent up anger from the last couple days happenings..and then the snowless pattern. I was calm..just annoyed

Oh no--it was a meltdown. :)

On the other hand, I'm going to owe you a beer or two. Cold held in much better than I had thought--26.9/26. About an inch of 'stuff' on the ground.

Haven't been able to look back at any models, but looking at the forecast, I guess there's nothing dramatically changed with respect to anything sensible with the mid-week or end-of-week systems. Oh, well. At least--in the words of Bob Seeger--"we've got tonight". Perhaps a delay tomorrow.....

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Sitting at 26F right now...its been a slow rise since about 4-5pm. We'll see if the rise halts or actually reverses a bit later on with that secondary trying to tug a little more from the NE. It could just be a halt at best though since the latent heat release from freezing is getting going...its been a sterady light freezing rain or heavy freezing drizzle for a while now.

I'm up to 31.6..You think I'll continue to rise or can it drop back a bit?

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I'm up to 31.6..You think I'll continue to rise or can it drop back a bit?

Being further removed from the cold source is tough...but perhaps when this secondary reflection gets going a little more it could cause a stronger tug SW on the low dewpoint pool to the northeast and you stabilize. But my guess is you rise to near or just above freezing by morning, but we'll see. If youare still below freezing by 12z tomorrow, that could make for a pretty nasty situation for further north areas especially since that would prob mean they are still in the 20s with heavier slugs of precip coming in before 12z...and it would be plenty icy there too.

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Will,

Nasty as in roads or as in branches/power issues?

Mostly roads...branches and power outages should remain relatively low since we are accreting under a half inch. But even a quarter inch can start a few minor issues. But roads will be really nasty if we keep temps in the 26-29F range. Unlike the 2008 ice storm which if you recall didn't have road issues....or at least not many road issues. But we really didn't need any road issues with 1.25-1.5 inches of ice...the branches and trees cause enough road issues in themselves.

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Being further removed from the cold source is tough...but perhaps when this secondary reflection gets going a little more it could cause a stronger tug SW on the low dewpoint pool to the northeast and you stabilize. But my guess is you rise to near or just above freezing by morning, but we'll see. If youare still below freezing by 12z tomorrow, that could make for a pretty nasty situation for further north areas especially since that would prob mean they are still in the 20s with heavier slugs of precip coming in before 12z...and it would be plenty icy there too.

Will--do those slugs seem inconsistant with the WWA of ice "of a trace to a tenth"? I guess not if the temps warm. But otherwise....you guys will be in trouble Being so far west, I should warm a fair amount faster than you guys further east (I think).

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