ChrisM Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 This is pretty cool....Classic really. Wish it meant more for MBY but whatever. I made that map in my basement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Still not doing much of anything. 26.1F/25 High today was 28.1 near midnight Very nice CAD, but not much precip to make it interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Which is why we're still essentially at the mercy of weather models. And why the long range has very little utility in synoptic forecasting. I have been arguing for days that the mid range is the time to spot snowstorms (5-7 days... 8 if you're pushing it). And I think the latest developments help support that argument. You keep banging this long range forecasting is a pointless endeavor drum, yet completely ignore your supposed passion or short to medium range forecasting. We have an event ongoing, with significant deviations from model guidance, that requires actual human input into the forecast in order to correctly display the outcome. Yeah the really high res meso models have done it...but even the 12km NAM couldnt get it right. It had that 34F. It did try to cool it back to 32F tonight for a time. But we generally know the drill in these setups. Usually hack off about 5-8F on the sfc temps. Sometimes you even have to hack off more than that. Posts, like Will's here, you gloss over. But this is meteorology. I can tell you not one piece of guidance verbatim came even close to showing this low level cold when I was doing the forecast last night. The NAM12 and local WRF models came close, had the right idea, but you manually needed to adjust readings down. It's amazing really how much push back there is inter and intra office, regarding evolution of this event too. I hope I'm on the right side of that push back when it's all said and done, because I've been awfully aggressive on the low level cold (and subsequent wintry precip as a result). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 18.5F -SN, But the snow rates are starting to pick up some, 18 dbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2012 Author Share Posted December 16, 2012 Looks like temp has finalyl stabilized here...not dropping anymore...sitting at 25.2F. Dew is up to 24F. The cold drain isn't really stopping though, so it will tough to see temps climb quickly...so I'd expect a very slow rise. There could even a slight cold tuck again as the first sfc reflection passes SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Over 2" here, rates increasing, 22F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Looks like temp has finalyl stabilized here...not dropping anymore...sitting at 25.2F. Dew is up to 24F. The cold drain isn't really stopping though, so it will tough to see temps climb quickly...so I'd expect a very slow rise. There could even a slight cold tuck again as the first sfc reflection passes SE. When do you think we go above freezing? 30f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2012 Author Share Posted December 16, 2012 When do you think we go above freezing? 30f I dunno...sometime between now and mid morning. Hard to predict these events to the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It's 29 or 30 at 1k and just down the road at 600' its 33, ptetty neat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 1.0" new with 0.11" water equiv from a 6hr core sample. 21/19 and this is the low for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Happy to be above freezing. Looks dicey until the AM for a lot of you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 1.0" new with 0.11" water equiv from a 6hr core sample. 21/19 and this is the low for the day. Wow, so much better banding up here I guess. Didn't measure but its easily 2-2.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Above freezing here now. 32.3F (Let the days and days of plain rain commence!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 just took out the grash and the porch and driveway are very slippery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Some weenie up the street put in a pws, merry Christmas to me. Looks like I can pocket that $200 now. His stations at 29.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 some of the meso stations in my area (shrewsbury / grafton) have ticked up a degree to 1.5 degrees over the past hour or so. I would imagine this frz drizzle mist must accrete very effieciently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 40, rain, bleh 22nd and beyond still looks much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 36 degrees. Rain. Glad to have been able to see a few weenie flakes around noonish today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Think BOX will issue freezing rain warning for Worc County? Hearing from friends around Worcester area of things pretty well glazed over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Precip picking up, light rain at 29*. Winds seem to be coming from the ne all of a sudden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Gentle freezing rain, with needles and grains here in Ayer; 26F. Accretion is very very efficient at the moment. Already some "glittering" amid trees highlit by street lamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It's 30.9F here with freezing rain. I just came back from my dad's birthday in Enfield and it's 33F there with plain jane rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 pouring buckets here 32.9 miserable degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chill Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 20 Deg. and snowing steady near Sebago Lake, Me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Rain/sleet at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Wind is actually freshening a bit here...out of NE at like 10-12 knots now looking at the large flag down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Down to 18.0F here -SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Wind is actually freshening a bit here...out of NE at like 10-12 knots now looking at the large flag down the street. Out of the ne now here as well, temp hasn't moved up ot down though surprisingly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Taunton changed my p/c forecast for tonight to freezing rain with a low of 31F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I hope all you getting snow are measuring on a white kiteboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.