Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I'm rooting for a southward trend...we might get into 60-70 mph stuff in that case. Wind freak. I'm rooting for it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Nah, usually happens with these kind of storms. CAA will sweep in under/behind the departing low. Closer to it you are, the "warmer" you're going to be. Oh, right. While the warm tongue is shunted to the NE quadrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Wind freak. I'm rooting for it too. That would be so sick! 60-70 mph gusts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I'm rooting for a southward trend...we might get into 60-70 mph stuff in that case. I wouldn't be surprised to see some High Wind Warnings issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Not the greatest storm for the Detroit area from any model. Thinking 2"-4" in total accumulation. From what we have been used to it looks great to me!! Even better is the longer term storm potentials. I'm hopping every one gets there blowers ready !!! Im thinking 1-2" seems the most likely, I really hope Im wrong. And Ill be P*SSED if we dont get any accumulation. This storm will not equal our arctic front snowstorm of Feb 10/11, 2012 locally, but for many to our west, it will be the best winter storm since the winter of 2010-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I'm rooting for a southward trend...we might get into 60-70 mph stuff in that case. A more southward ejection of a low and slower would be perfect for many along Lake Michigan, timing of the deformation band would be after dark, not that time of day makes a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I'm rooting for a southward trend...we might get into 60-70 mph stuff in that case. That'll turn that inch of snow into 10 inch drifts out in the country! Moral victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 One thing I do notice when looking at 2m temps on the models, is that SE MI wont have the crazy drop areas to our S and W will have. With the L passing, even once rain turns to snow, we will stay milder (say 30-33F?) while south of us in IN/OH temps will be plummeting through the 20s and maybe teens. Because it's to your west and the storm will be sucking in that cold air around it's core. Also the wind will be coming across a cold, barren bunch of farmland, instead of over Lake Michigan which is warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 A more southward ejection of a low and slower would be perfect for many along Lake Michigan, timing of the deformation band would be after dark, not that time of day makes a huge difference. It's mid December. Time to drop the daytime=hurts snow accumulation spiel. It's all about intensity anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Im thinking 1-2" seems the most likely, I really hope Im wrong. And Ill be P*SSED if we dont get any accumulation. This storm will not equal our arctic front snowstorm of Feb 10/11, 2012 locally, but for many to our west, it will be the best winter storm since the winter of 2010-11. I was looking at the LES band following the storm. They seem to linger in these parts for quite some time. Get under a streamer and one might pick up a quick inch or two. What time will the storm be changing over from rain to snow in these parts anyhow?? If it is a dayime event then accumulations will be slushy then turning to rock that night. That good too cause I love to chemicial plow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Through 30hr the Euro looks a tad further south and a tick faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 ECMWF will blink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 EURO HR 42: 996 TX/OK border. A tad farther east than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 EURO is heading north. Warmer as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 HR 54: 996 MB LOW W. of STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 HR 60: 996 MB LOW tad SW of Chicago. More QPF than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 ECMWF will blink. Yup. N. IL through 60. Warmer and deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Looks like the Euro is merging into a consensus with the GFS and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 HR 66: 992 MB LOW S. tip of LM. Most of WI getting hammered. 1+ QPF across WI. .75-1 across NE Iowa and NW IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 lol at EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 lol at EURO. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 HR 72: 988 MB LOW N/C MI. 1-1.25 QPF across all of WI with 1.25-1.50 starting to show up. NE Iowa/NW IL gets .75-1.00 La Crosse to just west of Wausau and west receives .5-.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Totally saw this one coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Ugh, really, EURO.? Letting the GFS lead? Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 EURO has a similar track as the NAM just slightly SE and a bit weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 HR 72: 988 MB LOW N/C MI. 1-1.25 QPF across all of WI with 1.25-1.50 starting to show up. NE Iowa/NW IL gets .75-1.00 La Crosse to just west of Wausau and west receives .5-.75 Wow! Sounds like the 12z GFS run. Low passing near GYY I take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Why? Pretty much how everyone was putting a little too much faith into its solution (despite actually being a SE outlier) when now it has in fact caved into the general model consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The GFS and Euro look nearly identical at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerFan Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Actually, EURO/GFS/NAM are all pretty much in the same exact spot. GGEM is the outlier now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The GFS and Euro look nearly identical at 72 hours. The last GFS run? Sounds pretty good. Have to wait until Wunderground loads up so I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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