Brewers Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 A step in the right direction...some legit snow on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Great run for them, considering it starts as rain. rain to snow scenarios never work out as planned but that's a pretty good looking one low deepens and hits the brakes at just the right time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 So for the bulk of the people in this sub-forum, I assume this is today's list of popularity for today's runs (since 12z)...ranked best to worst. 1) 12z Euro ensembles T2) 12z Euro T2) 18z GFS 4) 12z GGEM ensembles (just go look and laugh) 5) 12z Ukie 6) 12z GGEM 7) 12z GFS ensembles 8) 12z GFS 9) 12z NAM 10) 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 So for the bulk of the people in this sub-forum, I assume this is today's list of popularity for today's runs (since 12z). 1) 12z Euro ensembles T2) 12z Euro T2) 18z GFS 4) 12z GGEM ensembles (just go look and laugh) 5) 12z Ukie 6) 12z GGEM 7) 12z GFS ensembles 8) 12z GFS 9) 12z NAM 10) 18z NAM Reverse the order for me, but honestly glad to have something to track. Even if it jogs further NW in the next few runs being on the NW side of the snow band6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 The fact that LOT and DVN are already mentioning gusts over 50 mph is noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Nice map from KC NWS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 The fact that LOT and DVN are already mentioning gusts over 50 mph is noteworthy. Petition to change your name to HoosierWindFreak. Give it some time. Let it marinate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 18z GFS continues to advertise a pocket of 60kt 925mb winds over northern Illinois into southern Wisconsin as the storm deepens. Nearly 70mph winds ripping a few thousand feet up is extremely impressive, especially when associated with falling precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Petition to change your name to HoosierWindFreak. Give it some time. Let it marinate. lol Just impressed by the potential. What makes this different than an event like GHD is that the surface low should be bombing as it passes into the lakes. Various signals are there for a high wind event and the impact will be heightened in some areas due to the wet nature of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 For Hoosier! Surface left, 925mb right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 lol Just impressed by the potential. What makes this different than an event like GHD is that the surface low should be bombing as it passes into the lakes. Various signals are there for a high wind event and the impact will be heightened in some areas due to the wet nature of the snow. But yeah, I'm with ya. The combo of pretty strong winds and snow is pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 LOT should put something up for NW counties.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Petition to change your name to HoosierWindFreak. Give it some time. Let it marinate. Seconded. Hoosier does seem to like wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 At DVN 925mb is only a little over 1300ft up. 50-70mph sustained winds that close to the ground is pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Seeing how I don't understand many of the dynamics behind lake effect snow: With the strength of this system is it an event we could see significant (2"+) LE this far south? Sent from my Galaxy S III on Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 LOT should put something up for NW counties.. Eh, I agree with them waiting. They are highlighting the risk with a SWS. So much uncertainty in the CWA at the moment, wait another run or two and hopefully things are a bit less murky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 nice to see the wind threat hanging on....storm looks to get down to business at just the right time. Chicagoland isn't going to see impressive totals but an hour or two of high level weather is looking more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 18z GFS sounding for MKE still showing 60+ knot winds only 1500ft above the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 18z GFS sounding for MKE still showing 60+ knot winds only 1500ft above the surface I would think they wouldn't be much different here. I can't imagine what it's going to be like around Michigan City with a roaring NNW wind as the storm pulls up towards central MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Not our area obviously, but Blizzard Watches up for eastern Colorado and western Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XcNick Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 The 18z GFS really hammers SE Wi minus the lakeside area. Correct me if im wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Not our area obviously, but Blizzard Watches up for eastern Colorado and western Kansas. Really wouldn't be surprised to see some blizzard warnings needed eventually if some of the wind trends continue. Even if the strongest winds arrive after the heavier snow ends. Could be a lot of blowing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 FWIW, 18z GFS soundings show potential blizzard conditions Thursday afternoon/evening for the Fox River Valley (KDPA). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Gonna be an exciting storm to nowcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michigansnowstorm Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 New to this forum (ex Accu-weather) poster from southeast Michigan.... What are the chances that this thing continues south/east and gives southeast Mi at least a few inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 New to this forum (ex Accu-weather) poster from southeast Michigan.... What are the chances that this thing continues south/east and gives southeast Mi at least a few inches? 28.37% north of I-94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michigansnowstorm Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Wow, 28.37%. How did you come up with that percentage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 New to this forum (ex Accu-weather) poster from southeast Michigan.... What are the chances that this thing continues south/east and gives southeast Mi at least a few inches? Little Chance. Are best chance is on the backside. We can get lucky and get 1-2". Maybe 3" if your far W/NW/North of the City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michigansnowstorm Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Usually once the low passes we end up getting wind and a few flurries, but nothing measurable in most cases........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Rain and wind. That is all I am seeing. I think we get some intense wind gusts, but that's about it. Have to wait for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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