40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 As enthralling as the discusion of whether or not we'll see .2 or .3" of ice accrection in Ashburnham, MA is...or the conjecture regarding whether or not Tolland, CT will rain at 34*, as opposed to 36*...how about the White Christmas maker potnetial on 12/22-12/23? I think we cash in, finally....just a gut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I think most of you cash in either in a two storm scenario 12/21-22 25-27 scenario or one larger storm somewhere in the 21-25 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I'm approve of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Nice west based -NAO and Rocky Mountain ridge (albeit transient) I mentioned about 4 or 5 days ago that something could sneak in near Christmas. It might be a bit early, but actually models had a signal for a while. The downfall could still be issues with how cold the atmosphere will be, especially for me and Phil..but it should be much better than this puke we have now. Also a chance of an inv finger...but this is a pretty good storm "signal." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 i think it's still la la land and i fear the cutter, but are chances are prob better than 50/50 if one can accurately state chances 10 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Looks to me like the ridging over the maratimes saves us from a cutter...the mid level warm push doesn't make NE ON THIS DAY 7 RUN......looks good....can't see mid level features, but it looks like they would be too far west, but it all gets shunted east by the blocking at the last moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Nice west based -NAO and Rocky Mountain ridge (albeit transient) I mentioned about 4 or 5 days ago that something could sneak in near Christmas. It might be a bit early, but actually models had a signal for a while. The downfall could still be issues with how cold the atmosphere will be, especially for me and Phil..but it should be much better than this puke we have now. Also a chance of an inv finger...but this is a pretty good storm "signal." I wish I could see H85 AND H7 pressures, but it almost has a swf appeal to me.....I'm guessing that the aforementioned features redvelop fast enough for us, though owing to that transient block...on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I wish I could see H85 AND H7 pressures, but it almost has a swf appeal to me.....I'm guessing that the aforementioned features redvelop fast enough for us, though owing to that transient block...on this run. Yeah it kind of does, but it develops almost Miller B-ish to me. Slides east of NJ on the euro and ensembles. It's also possible it develops like the GFS has and although not a cutter, it floods SNE with milder air. I think this is the best threat yet. Everything else has been marginal and I never liked it at all for my backyard. Nothing too much more to say since it is so far out, but one to watch. Lets hope weenies really keep expectations in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ?? You guys are 'postwhores' according to the jpeg name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro Ens are gung ho and some am I. I see this much more as a Miller B with explosive potential into a much colder dominant airmass. Analogs have consistently brought up boxing day for days and days for that period, not saying an exact replica but It almost too has that diving clipper appeal. GFS Ens also have it. Op runs are all over the place but I sticking with the ENS consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro Ens are gung ho and some am I. I see this much more as a Miller B with explosive potential into a much colder dominant airmass. Analogs have consistently brought up boxing day for days and days for that period, not saying an exact replica but It almost too has that diving clipper appeal. GFS Ens also have it. Op runs are all over the place but I sticking with the ENS consistency. Would be nice if we had a cold airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Would be nice if we had a cold airmass. Always a plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ?? It looks like he blocked both you and Messenger. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It looks like he blocked both you and Messenger. Lol I never knew frequent posts could hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It looks like he blocked both you and Messenger. Lol Weird, anyways not saying I predict a major snowstorm but as many have said this is the best setup we have had in a very long time. Hopefully something comes of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I never knew frequent posts could hurt. Keep pumping them out, there are some weird folks who would rather our forum look like the main board with temp contests and discussion of Australian cyclones. Carry on, its our time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I never knew frequent posts could hurt. Hes very cranky. He blocked me awhile ago. He also has a pony tail FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Hes very cranky. He blocked me awhile ago. He also has a pony tail FWIW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 lol He does or at least he did. I met him at the first conf I went to at BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Hes very cranky. He blocked me awhile ago. He also has a pony tail FWIW Wrong on all 3 statements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I never knew frequent posts could hurt.. When it comes from good mets post count is irrelevant, carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I'm on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 If you blocked Scooter, you have something wrong with you. Get checked out. Block this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 hijacked thread , back to Rays premise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I'm on board. Matty Matt welcome back, yea finally a chance for you flatllanders LOL, well me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Yeah it kind of does, but it develops almost Miller B-ish to me. Slides east of NJ on the euro and ensembles. It's also possible it develops like the GFS has and although not a cutter, it floods SNE with milder air. I think this is the best threat yet. Everything else has been marginal and I never liked it at all for my backyard. Nothing too much more to say since it is so far out, but one to watch. Lets hope weenies really keep expectations in check. Def Miller B.......I would not want to be s of NE if that EURO were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 A Triple Phaser is on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 @BigJoeBastardi: ECMWF forecasted solution for later next week would be monster storm for New england into pa and NJ. Would lock up white Christmas there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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