Stumbling into a wintry pattern, weenies confused; still shaken from last winter

[Allsnow]

Hr 156 light to mod snow

[MJO812]

Not enough digging like the 12z run. Still light to moderate snows for the area.

[Kaner587]

light to moderate event almost complete by 162

[Allsnow]

The transfer is a little far north on this run. Still 3-6 verbatim

[Kaner587]

today on the 18z GFS and the 12z euro, the eventual breakdown of the pattern seems delayed. and the GFS has been advertising a gradient pattern in fantasy land, that up until today we were on the wrong side of. We need to watch carefully how the pattern evolves bc a lot of posters in here may be eating crow proclaiming winter over on 1/29.

[Snow_Miser]

today on the 18z GFS and the 12z euro, the eventual breakdown of the pattern seems delayed. and the GFS has been advertising a gradient pattern in fantasy land, that up until today we were on the wrong side of. We need to watch carefully how the pattern evolves bc a lot of posters in here may be eating crow proclaiming winter over on 1/29.

 

Yeah, we get a storm around 288 hours while we are on the "good" side of the gradient. The eventual placement of the gradient will change time and time again with every GFS run.

[MJO812]

Clippers galore on the GFS

[Sampson]

The transfer is a little far north on this run. Still 3-6 verbatim

 

Haven't you been calling winter off all day?  Now you're doing play by play for the GFS?

[MJO812]

Weenies will be weenies

[patrick05]

Would be nice if the 18z GFS does verify... Two one-incher clippers and a possibly bigger storm by early next week... Areas would look wintry again after this hideous warmup

[Allsnow]

Haven't you been calling winter off all day? Now you're doing play by play for the GFS?

I said after next week, silly goose

[CooL]

The s/w wasn't as strong as 12z because of what happens out in the pacific. The fact that it still dug pretty good is a good sign. Let's just hope this one doesn't vanish on us like the last one. That is my main concern. 

[tmagan]

Central Park 2012-2013 snowfall

Autumn = 4.7"

Winter to date = 1.9"

 

We may be heading toward the second time in Central Park recorded history where winter snowfall was less than another astronomical season.

[SnoSki14]

Central Park 2012-2013 snowfall

Autumn = 4.7"

Winter to date = 1.9"

 

We may be heading toward the second time in Central Park recorded history where winter snowfall was less than another astronomical season.

 

It's both sad and fascinating. We had back to back very snowy seasons so it's only realistic to expect back to back bad winters to balance everything out so I'm okay with this season being a dud (unless something changes).  

[MJO812]

AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok .

 

"I think we could still see some late-season winter storms [in the Northeast] A couple of winter storms may impact the Northeast during February and March. The potential exists for snow along the I-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to New York City and Boston. This is not unusual for the region, as Pastelok noted, "Typically, February to March is the season on the East Coast." Historically, some large winter storms such as the Blizzard of '93 have struck the East Coast during March.

Snowfall will not be accompanied by the arctic cold that has been gripping the region this January, but more seasonable cold is predicted. Temperatures may be near to slightly below normal in the Northeast during February and March.

[uncle W]

back in mid December when it looked like it would turn out mild I posted about snowfall for the 20 top warmest Decembers...This year looks like it will end up with below average snowfall but you never know...April 1997 is an example of a last minute snowfall heavy in some places...

Years with December averaging 40.0 or higher and seasonal snowfall..Largest snowfall...
season...snowfall...largest snowfall...
1889-90...24.3".....6.0" Dec/Mar
1891-92...25.4".....8.0" March
1923-24...27.5".....8.5" April
1931-32.....5.3".....2.0" November
1953-54...15.8".....7.8" January
1956-57...21.9".....6.4" February
1957-58...44.7"...11.8" March
1965-66...21.4".....6.8" January
1971-72...22.9".....5.7" February
1979-80...12.8".....4.6" March
1982-83...27.2"...17.6" February
1984-85...24.1".....5.7" February
1990-91...24.9".....8.9" February
1994-95...11.8"...10.8" February
1996-97...10.0".....3.5" January
1998-99...12.7".....4.5" March
1999-00...16.3".....5.5" January
2001-02.....3.5".....3.0" January
2006-07...12.4".....5.5" March
2011-12.....7.4".....4.3" January

2012-13.....6.6".....4.7" November
average...18.6".....6.8"
The average snowfall is almost ten inches below the long term average...7" less than the 30 year normals...Average big snow is almost 7"...That's below also...Only three of the 20 had a snowfall 10" or more...Only one had above the long term seasonal average...57-58...If you add the next twelve warmest Decembers you get the same averages...

[Allsnow]

Yanksfan27 how was your ice storm the other day? You lose power

[CooL]

euro says new england gets 4 feet on feb 9th..think i need to lay off the shrooms

[NEG NAO]

This is the place to be today

 

http://www.skisugar.com/sugarlive/

[MJO812]

A  lot of chances coming up. Winter isn't over.

[IsentropicLift]

Yanksfan27 how was your ice storm the other day? You lose power

No but my neighbor slipped and fell down his steps that morning. Broke two ribs, his nose and has two black eyes.