RowanBrandon Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Why do the trolls have to have bad grammar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 So PB GFI your thinking the same way I am that this pattern is never really going to change and by change I mean for more then 5 days.. I keep seeimg last year all over again and yes I realize this year is diff then last but the outcomes look to be the same. I might be too early in saying this winter is a total bust and once again I hope im wrong and look like a total ass but this is how I feel... I just don't see anything that even looks promising at this poont!!! Jesus christ relax. You are the only one in a complete panic on here and you post the same thing everyday multiple times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I know very little but I react quickly! Exactly. You keep "reacting quickly", yet you have no frigging clue what you're talking about. There's a reason why you're still 5ppd all this time, learn why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 So PB GFI your thinking the same way I am that this pattern is never really going to change and by change I mean for more then 5 days.. I keep seeimg last year all over again and yes I realize this year is diff then last but the outcomes look to be the same. I might be too early in saying this winter is a total bust and once again I hope im wrong and look like a total ass but this is how I feel... I just don't see anything that even looks promising at this poont!!! ENOUGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 There is a banter thread. Is it that difficult to keep banter there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 There is a banter thread. Is it that difficult to keep banter there? Perhaps you should read the sub-title of the thread *you* started: mid dec/upcoming holiday season discussion/banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 There is a banter thread. Is it that difficult to keep banter there? This is the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Earthlight fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Perhaps you should read the sub-title of the thread *you* started: mid dec/upcoming holiday season discussion/banter I know what thread this is, the last page and a half of posts were ones that I moved into this thread, from the Analysis thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I know what thread this is, the last page and a half of posts were ones that I moved into this thread, from the Analysis thread. Where should I pin the medal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Tonight's gfs has the worst kind of run for anyone looking for snow in the long range. The cold and dry to warm and rain back to cold and dry pattern, which to me is by far the worst you can get. I know many would take warm and dry than that kind of a pattern. What happened to all the blocking, did it just disappear. Currently the NAO is positive again and it hangs near neutral for the most part. It is the long range so I'm not putting that much stock into it, but the collapse of blocking is alarming when coupled with an unfavorable pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Where should I pin the medal? 7th grade humor. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Tonight's gfs has the worst kind of run for anyone looking for snow in the long range. The cold and dry to warm and rain back to cold and dry pattern, which to me is by far the worst you can get. I know many would take warm and dry than that kind of a pattern. What happened to all the blocking, did it just disappear. Currently the NAO is positive again and it hangs near neutral for the most part. It is the long range so I'm not putting that much stock into it, but the collapse of blocking is alarming when coupled with an unfavorable pacific. I think you've canceled winter more than 10 times already and it hasn't even officially started yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 0z GGEM shows a miller b for the 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 If I didn't know better,I would think I'm reading last years banter thread...just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 If I didn't know better,I would think I'm reading last years banter thread...just saying. Yep, no wonder this forum has quieted down alot from last year...i wonder where everyone went. For calmer pastures i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Here is the 0z Euro ensemble mean. It doesn't look like the GFS at all for the 12/26 event. Way further east and south. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 18z GFS gives the distinct impression that one is on a treadmill...and the target goal is consistently pushed into the future at the rate one is moving...and seemingly forever out of reach. ..very true and it does seem like last year.. however i do take stock in what a lot of the good posters say (earthlight,isotherm..et all) and i do think things will change..but it does seem like its always a week away..i get my 'heads up' here and wait for the local OCM's (the best being lee goldberg & jeff smith) to verify the 'heads up' and then i consider its game on..NO ONE (ocm's) has mentioned anything with regard to the long range that would be consider exciting.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 This makes good banter - found it on Youtube - not taken directly off an owned web site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Don Sutherland said the pattern change is coming. Delayed but not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Don Sutherland said the pattern change is coming. Delayed but not denied. where is the link snowman ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 It is in the main forum. DT is really bullish on an east coast winter storm on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 It is in the main forum. DT is really bullish on an east coast winter storm on the 26th. where would the rain/ice/snow lines set up on this Euro Ensemble Image ? http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 where would the rain/ice/snow lines set up on this Euro Ensemble Image ? http://raleighwx.ame...mbTSLPUS240.gif Cape May dowm thru Rehoboth Beach area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Cape May dowm thru Rehoboth Beach area meaning the 850 freezing line will support all frozen with all levels being below freezing also that close to the coast ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 meaning the 850 freezing line will support all frozen with all levels being below freezing also that close to the coast ??? Assuming that one model is right , and assuming there was a cold air mass in place ahead of it , then yes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 once again the 12Z GFS loses the blocking and the storm after xmas is a lake cutter http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfs850mbTSLPp12240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 GFS is further east with the 26th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 GFS is further east with the 26th storm. Huh ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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