Allsnow Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Looks like back to back dead ratters..congrats freehold nj of your seasonal total of 12in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Glad to have you on team HM. I think a few good cold shots are certainly in order before the end of 2012 but I don't think they stick around. They may help to get that blasted gradient south though. Just flush this vomit out of here, and that's all we can ask, even if it's transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 And I still think the next two weeks look a lot better for SNE to grab a couple of snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Just flush this vomit out of here, and that's all we can ask, even if it's transient. And I still think the next two weeks look a lot better for SNE to grab a couple of snow chances. I agree with both posts. Hey maybe next time we get a -NAO block, it can actually form in the polar fields and block ACTUAL Arctic Air instead? lol .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Guys banter is meant for stuff that is somewhat related to weather or atmosphere...meteor showers, how frozen the pond was this morning, how frost rendered the windshield wipers useless, etc. It was never meant to talk about stuff completely off topic from weather. There is a thread on the shooting in off topic right now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Guys banter is meant for stuff that is somewhat related to weather or atmosphere...meteor showers, how frozen the pond was this morning, how forst rendered the windshield wipers useless, etc. It was never meant to talk about stuff completely off topic from weather. There is a thread on the shooting in off topic right now though. Fair enough, an explanation goes a long way when posts are deleted. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Everything right now is "bogus" if you think abou it. Do we have anything true? The MJO signal is bogus, the west based -NAO is really bogus and the modeling has been bogus. I'm still expecting my rainfall over the next 10 days and I'm not so sold on a cold finish; although, I can still support a gradient pattern. WTF...you were my rock, my hope. Are you serious with this post? My concern all "winter" has been that when in a bad pattern we're forced to look far to see light at the end of the tunnel. But we're looking through the models to do that and too often they're providing us bad signals. To make sure you're not joking/clarifying for all of us, are you serious with what you're saying here? I can't make paragraphs apparently IPBoard in 2013 doesn't support Internet Explorer...but I do believe cold is fleeting at the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Do we even have an official banter thread at this point? I'm so confused. we have 3 threads for SNE rainstorms, not sure which one is the banter one? OT banter should be in OT Weather banter should be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 OT banter should be in OT Weather banter should be here. Yes, I just said that several posts up. We have an off topic thread right now talking about this. I will delete the posts in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Yes, I just said that several posts up. We have an off topic thread right now talking about this. I will delete the posts in here. I moved em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Guys banter is meant for stuff that is somewhat related to weather or atmosphere...meteor showers, how frozen the pond was this morning, how frost rendered the windshield wipers useless, etc. It was never meant to talk about stuff completely off topic from weather. There is a thread on the shooting in off topic right now though. sorry Will emotional post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Heartless to remove those posts in a tragedy such as this that is our own BY. Heartless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Heartless to remove those posts in a tragedy such as this that is our own BY. Heartless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Heartless to remove those posts in a tragedy such as this that is our own BY. Heartless I do agree in this case. This is local to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 We are a forum that offers weather....then we direct people to a thread dedicated on this tragedy and we are heartless. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I do agree in this case. This is local to us. And this is the largest event of this kind that has happened...its 30 minutes from my house. Sorry about the cofusion before I guess I thought an exception could be made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 We are a forum that offers weather....then we direct people to a thread dedicated on this tragedy and we are heartless. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. raw emotions you are not heartless, bad post by him, Hit close to home, School group here from Shelton chaperones had relatives killed, emotional for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Just got an email from the town super, they will be placing police officers at schools as they dismiss this afternoon. Gutwrenching, my wife is a teacher, and with two kids in school this hit home pretty quickly. sunny feels like 48 or so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 On deeper thought, I don't really have a problem with them mod'ing....they told us why and provided a link. That's all we should ask for. And it IS being discussed at length. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I'd put the white Xmas chances as pretty good in a lot of interior SNE. Like I said I like what's being modeled at that time frame 22-24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 On deeper thought, I don't really have a problem with them mod'ing....they told us why and provided a link. That's all we should ask for. And it IS being discussed at length. Yeah I mean, I am (and the rest of the staff) not trying to come across as heartless or anything, it is a terrible terrible tragedy of just inconceivable proportions...esp around the holidays....but we have a thread already dedicated to it and we had recently made a stronger effort to keep the weather discussion section of the forum more on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I am sorry. I did not mean for that post to come across like that.I am very sorry guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I am sorry. I did not mean for that post to come across like that.I am very sorry guys Raw emotions dude, good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 We are a forum that offers weather....then we direct people to a thread dedicated on this tragedy and we are heartless. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. Yea, you guys handeled it perfectly. People are understandably emotional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 This is about as bad a set of model runs as I remember aside of the UK/GGEM. Geez we deserve a break. Let's hope it starts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Another day above normal. Hit 50F. Low of 20F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Another day above normal. Hit 50F. Low of 20F. Saturday we pick up 1 minute on sunset. By the end of the month we've gained 11 minutes of daylight in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1100 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2012 VALID 12Z MON DEC 17 2012 - 12Z FRI DEC 21 2012 ...AN ACTIVE MID-DECEMBER WEATHER PATTERN STILL EXPECTED NEXT WEEK... IN THIS PATTERN...A COOLING LEAD MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STARTING THE MEDIUM RANGE TUE OVER THE E-CENTRAL US RAMPS UP BY MIDWEEK ALONG/OFF THE EAST COAST AND ESPECIALLY THE NORTHEAST WHERE AMPLE GUIDANCE SUPPORT EXISTS FOR ENERGIES CONSOLIDATE TO FORM A WELL ORGANIZED WINTER COASTAL LOW AND POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ASSOCIATED SENSIBLE WEATHER THREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 WTF...you were my rock, my hope. Are you serious with this post? My concern all "winter" has been that when in a bad pattern we're forced to look far to see light at the end of the tunnel. But we're looking through the models to do that and too often they're providing us bad signals. To make sure you're not joking/clarifying for all of us, are you serious with what you're saying here? I can't make paragraphs apparently IPBoard in 2013 doesn't support Internet Explorer...but I do believe cold is fleeting at the end of the month. I am not sure what to say, lol. I haven't really been confident in December and have leaned warmer than most so it means a lot that I'm still someone's "rock." haha.. Look, we get the cold introduced into the pattern just in time for the holidays and then it will be a matter of flow. I really don't trust this block to do what we normally think they would do and it may actually be taken down to almost useless by the time the real deal cold gets involved. But either way, be careful of any modeled solutions that seem beefed up beyond day 7. It seems like every time this is projected to happen the models go..."whoops, there's another s/w coming from the Pacific." We could get a better gradient pattern though if we get a solid, fresh shot of Arctic Air and the SE ridge tries to come back. So I wouldn't call the future horrible or snowless. If anything, things are going to continue to improve week by week, as not only climo would dictate but also the teleconnections and analogs. Stay tough friend! Oh and I'm, like everyone else, downright saddened by the shooting. Miserable... sickening... etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 watching old news clips from before the onset of the blizzard of 96, great weather porn on youtube remember that arctic cold and the one big storm that buried the oh valley, mid atlantic and the vast majority of sne....now that was an epic event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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