dendrite Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 06 NAM looking more favorable for SNH/northern MA area for snow about 60 hrs in (18Z Mon). Precip was upped as well. I dunno...MHT right up through here is on the sleet line for much of this event. My H8 temps sit near 0C from about 45-60+ hrs. ASH is IP/ZR for almost the entire duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 My initial response is, "Yes, I will", but what time frame are you ending at? Based on your answer to that, I will wager a Diet Coke vs. the beer of your choice at the next GTG. We'll use my station as the goal-post. KMASHELB3 http://www.wundergro...sp?ID=KMASHELB3 Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I dunno...MHT right up through here is on the sleet line for much of this event. My H8 temps sit near 0C from about 45-60+ hrs. ASH is IP/ZR for almost the entire duration. Since nobody answered my question, what did the Euro spit out for Qpf for NNE, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Since nobody answered my question, what did the Euro spit out for Qpf for NNE, thanks. Storm 1 or 2 or both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Storm 1 or 2 or both? 1, Thanks, hey always nice to see this in a prog, enjoy dude should be a great period of winter for a while anyways. 54 12/17 06Z 31 30 70 7 0.22 0.01 538 553 -3.4 -21.5 1018 100 TSSN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Ok What time is the over/under benchmark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 What time is the over/under benchmark? Midnight Monday nite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2012 Author Share Posted December 15, 2012 1, Thanks, hey always nice to see this in a prog, enjoy dude should be a great period of winter for a while anyways. 54 12/17 06Z 31 30 70 7 0.22 0.01 538 553 -3.4 -21.5 1018 100 TSSN Sweet... where is that for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 From NH border south..I'd say chances of White Xmas are about 75% right now..50% along coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 There's going to be a good amount of ice for all of the interior..You may never get above 32. fyi I kind of agree. I think sneaky cold air is going to stay around longer than currently modeled, especially upper Pioneer Valley and adjacent hill towns. We've seen several models the past few days try and hold the cold on the MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Midnight Monday nite? Perfect. We csn use how wunderground records my bight temp for dec. 16. I hope you win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 1, Thanks, hey always nice to see this in a prog, enjoy dude should be a great period of winter for a while anyways. 54 12/17 06Z 31 30 70 7 0.22 0.01 538 553 -3.4 -21.5 1018 100 TSSN I'll give you the 72hr totals valid at 72hr...Op Mostly 0.25-0.50, but an area of 0.50+ inside of a PSM-CON-IZG-PWM-PSM polygon. 0.25 line near BTV and a sharp gradient in central ME from W to E. En Widespread 0.25-0.50 with the gradient in ME again. There's more QPF after this, but it is probably ZR/ZL/SG and it begins to morph into storm 2. The rest of ME obviously cashes in with storm 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2012 Author Share Posted December 15, 2012 BOX, as thought, has downgraded their ugly snowfall map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I dunno...MHT right up through here is on the sleet line for much of this event. My H8 temps sit near 0C from about 45-60+ hrs. ASH is IP/ZR for almost the entire duration. GFS soundings for KLWM have sleet with a possibility of a rain/sleet turnover. I feel like GFS is borderline between snow/sleet for MHT. I guess it really depends on H8 temps at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 From NH border south..I'd say chances of White Xmas are about 75% right now..50% along coast. Sounds like a wish to Santa to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Nam looks hideous as Kramer would say, congrats to those in NH and ME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Sounds like a wish to Santa to me. He's just one of Santa's elves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 The column is pretty much below 0C here through 60hr on the 12z NAM although once the mid level dryslot punches through we're not cold enough for nucleation so we'd likely be freezing drizzle anyways...maybe some crappy snow grains mix in. QPF through 00z Tue looks pretty similar to last night's Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 NAM may be interesting with that second storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 At least the NAM isn't a driving rainstorm up here on the second low. And the first one looks to hold onto a 2-3" snowfall. That's a better run, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 At least the NAM isn't a driving rainstorm up here on the second low. And the first one looks to hold onto a 2-3" snowfall. That's a better run, lol. 2nd wave is so close to the 1st its almost just a continuation here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Best run in 24 hours, haha... almost looks like the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 At least the NAM isn't a driving rainstorm up here on the second low. And the first one looks to hold onto a 2-3" snowfall. That's a better run, lol. I can't see the late run soundings on TD yet, but it may even be RA to SN here as hgts crash and the 540 line dives to my SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I think the coast is tougher esp NYC climo like Joe but scooter and Gay should have snow OTg for the holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 What a weenie run, We stay below freezing at 850 and 925 mb here for both waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I can't see the late run soundings on TD yet, but it may even be RA to SN here as hgts crash and the 540 line dives to my SE. Yeah this is definitely the best run of any model we've seen in the last day for NNE/CNE... that transitions to a pasting snow in central areas. Dryslot and Jayhawk are back to getting bombed at H84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Nam looks hideous as Kramer would say, congrats to those in far northern NH and ME! FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 What a weenie run, We stay below freezing at 850 and 925 mb here for both waves lol yep... I give it a very low prop but nice to see at least until the GFS shows a wrapped up rainstorm again. That would be a snowy/wintery couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 It's possible we could get some weenie ocean effect snow showers preceding this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I think the coast is tougher esp NYC climo like Joe but scooter and Gay should have snow OTg for the holiday Drama Queen, coming from the guy that was so bent out of shape that he thought people were wishing rain on mt tolland yet you post crap like this all the time. Should I be butthurt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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