Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Dec 16-20 Snow/Mix events - Going over like a fart in church


HoarfrostHubb

Recommended Posts

Will , do you have any hope for the interior for the mod week system ESP since Euro ens were a little coder?

Not very optimistic on it, but its still 4-5 days out. There's a chance it could end up colder...but right now, I'd keep expectations low.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Yea, I mean....I'm not spiking the football after getting 2", as opposed to 1".....it will washes away just as quickly.

And all of the ice talk is irrelevant to me because I don't get that.

It's all mid levels here.

I don't see ice as a major issue either, for most, for the same reasons already discussed. I'd favor the W portions of the Berks for any appreciable icing as it will be difficult to scour out the low level cold there.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agreed. Sun will be nothing more than a nuisance. And I'm close to aborting storm 2.

Like you said, hope remains eternal in the LR. At least the LR signal isn't torch.

I would ultimately prefer a torch in the Long Range if we don't get wintry weather.

Cold with no snow or ice does nothing for me. That said hopefully the storms in the Long Range pan out...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Someone's obsessed with Xmas snow. Dude it's December 14. No way to tell what happens in the days before Xmas.

Eddugs statistically we had about as reasonable of a chance predicting snow at day 10 as we do day 6....which is to say not much of a chance. I see that time period as being a real chance due to actual cold air being nearby.

Today is the day if we are going to see dramatic change for this first system but it seems pretty well set that its a north of pike main threat.

I saw more meteors last night falling from the sky than I expect ill see snowflakes on Sunday

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just my opinion but I don't think anyone is throwing around crap. There's been the typical banter posts but I think the analysis is pretty good

Yeah there's really not much to talk about especially for this area. A sloppy inch then glaze and rain. Analysis has been pretty solid.

Not sure what Kevin wants other than us to tell him he's getting a big snowstorm.

Sad that he's having a meltdown on December 14th :(

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Its time to focus on the 12/23 potential...this ship has sailed.

It has its own subthread in the subforum but is only linked from the main forum on the second Thursday of the month in a leap year or until Randy imposes the will of the people and satisfies the masses.

I'm betting many in sne see more flakes 12/21 to 12/26 than we will during this abomination. We are still almost 48 hours outside the NAMs wheelhouse (12 hours) to my eyes the euro did not provide much promise due to lack of cold air for storm two, and storm one looks unimpressive in southern areas as of now.

Normally I'd be excited about a redevelopment but I see this cold air as being focused too far to our north and we are on the fringe of it in depth. In short nothing has changed from what Ryan Will Phil Huggies and everyone else said.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It has its own subthread in the subforum but is only linked from the main forum on the second Thursday of the month in a leap year or until Randy imposes the will of the people and satisfies the masses.

I'm betting many in sne see more flakes 12/21 to 12/26 than we will during this abomination. We are still almost 48 hours outside the NAMs wheelhouse (12 hours) to my eyes the euro did not provide much promise due to lack of cold air for storm two, and storm one looks unimpressive in southern areas as of now.

Normally I'd be excited about a redevelopment but I see this cold air as being focused too far to our north and we are on the fringe of it in depth. In short nothing has changed from what Ryan Will Phil Huggies and everyone else said.

2 Downs left in the December drive, but a punt is becoming more possible.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z runs def looked like they came in a tick cooler overall. I didn't try to stay up for the later guidance like the Euro. Models definitely keyed in the secondary sfc reflection a bit earlier. Definitely could get interesting as the mid-levels really aren't that warm either at their warmest point.

On a side note, the Euro ensembles have a ridiculously strong signal for a storm on Dec 21-22 and then anothe pretty good one on Dec 27-28

It's pretty much there on the op, for sure with #1 and then the trailer is already evident to the sw. If anything were to change it'd be less focus on a bomb 12/22 in favor of an earlier arrival for wave two...just my guesses.

But it seems there are plenty of good indications for that time period.

Ray we will get snow next week. After that we may have to wait on a reload around nye

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...