ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 How did that turn out? Euro won...it was not a big coastal hugger...that was the storm that produced the snow in Foxboro during the Patirots/Titans game. Doesn't mean the same thing will happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I remember the GFS was wildly amped and inland in the October 18, 2009 Nor' Easter. It's done it before. Just interesting to see how these models are differing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2012 Author Share Posted December 13, 2012 It's done it before. Just interesting to see how these models are differing. What was the storm Noyes was flipping out online regarding model differences? ((1/2011?) Of course it was closer in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 It would be more of a disappointment the closer we get to the end of DEC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 After last winter we can only go up from here right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Title should be - - Epic End to December of Fukushima Meltdown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I'm going to start a banter thread. I'd like to keep the two events seperate in their own threads....but naturlaly people will want to talk about both of them and other semi-related banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 What was the storm Noyes was flipping out online regarding model differences? ((1/2011?) Of course it was closer in... I think it was 1/26-1/27 2011. I might be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Sometimes the euro has these weenie runs and then craps the bed inside day 7, but sometimes it scores a major coup. It's interesting, because many times it is the euro showing the coastal hugger, not the GFS. That thought did cross my mind earlier but did not want to upset the masses, But now that you mentioned it, It has been known to have a hiccup run here and there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Ok, here is banter thread. Stay in the current thread here to talk about Dec 19 potential....which as currently modeled, is the largest of the systems. But much can still change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 As noted in sig. +/- a few feet. speaking of sig, you should remove what I said from there. I was mad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 A blend of both the Euro and the GFS right now with a heavier emphasis on the euro is probably the way to go, But in the end, I think some of the coastal areas are going to still have issues with this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 SREFs trended more impressive again for the cold shot preceding this first wave. That is an aspect that will definitely be crucial to how many and how far south see wintry precip. Its certainly not the only factor, but its a very big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2012 Author Share Posted December 13, 2012 I'm just hoping that if any frozen falls (and I think it will a bit) that it does not just wash or melt away in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I am starting to think that SNE is going to end up with the 1st one in some way or shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 After last winter we can only go up from here right? It should Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 speaking of sig, you should remove what I said from there. I was mad lol It was a year ago lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 That thought did cross my mind earlier but did not want to upset the masses, But now that you mentioned it, It has been known to have a hiccup run here and there Yeah the EC guidance is still usually the more correct, but it doesn't always have to be. I really don't have a huge idea either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 NAM trended noticeably colder too at the end of its run vs 18z....its the NAM 72+ hours out, so the usual caveats apply, but it does match the general trend since yesterday on most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Will's feeling this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 NAM trended noticeably colder too at the end of its run vs 18z....its the NAM 72+ hours out, so the usual caveats apply, but it does match the general trend since yesterday on most guidance. Just curious, would a colder 1st storm necessarily mean a colder 2nd storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Will's feeling this one. Yeah I've gotten that impression, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Just curious, would a colder 1st storm necessarily mean a colder 2nd storm? It generally has thus far on guidance, but it doesn't have to. There are definitely several moving parts. But a colder first storm definitely helps keep that baroclinic zone further south. Not that we have a large thermal gradient to begin with, but it does help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 It generally has thus far on guidance, but it doesn't have to. There are definitely several moving parts. But a colder first storm definitely helps keep that baroclinic zone further south. Not that we have a large thermal gradient to begin with, but it does help. Thanks. Definitely going to be an interesting several days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 GFS has a definite better cold push this time compared to 18z. However, we are more amped out in the lakes at 72h. We'll have to see how the overall solution changes versus 18z with the first system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 That cold push is kind of impressive on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 That cold push is kind of impressive on the gfs. Yes it is...but the primary still pushes really far north. I think this will still be a torch solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Will's feeling this one. I called him earlier, and he just let 'er ring....he's in the zone. Feet en route Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I called him earlier, and he just let 'er ring....he's in the zone. Feet en route With a dryslot 10 miles north of 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Yes it is...but the primary still pushes really far north. I think this will still be a torch solution. Too far north meaning that once the low wraps up, the warm air will be too far north as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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