N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I'm worried. And it's not about qpf. Agreed. We've resorted to modeling models. just saw this mike your area is really the area i'd be more concerned about WRT to icing. nothing devestating. but something to watch for....esp up at like 1500' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Any chance folks can back off the Blizz beat downs? Direct your venom at me, Mr. 2-threads, instead. I have a headache and am crabby I can't figure how to get Matt Noyes little map to post here. Bad file type or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Where'd LL's avatar go? She was chilly from the antecedent cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 15z SREFs got pretty warm. There's a bunch of members that change it over up here but the mean is across CNE in general. Luckily the SREFs are outside their useful range at this point. The critical thickness/isotherms is for hour 84, and the QPF is hour 87, so the QPF falls after the isotherms get to that location. Stop wishing rain for KREV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Congrats SnowNH Coldfront Dendrite Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Oh there's plenty of folks on here who wish exactly that..trust me. Forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 For the first time, I actually feel decent about the pattern going forward from next week on...at least a 7-14 day period. I expect 30" of snow...so no reason to be crabby. Wow. bold call. Locking it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Congrats SnowNH Coldfront Dendrite SnowMan too?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Kind of a no brainer. Control in many regards is lacking. I'm not immune to wanting to post on every nuance of "as the models turns" Most here can read a map ( I hope) It's ok if it rains, better if it snows. Year after year, threat after threat. It's insanity. The progs presently have the coastal plain as RAIN. For some a hard pill to swollow. I'd feel better in regards chance(s) for snow "if" I lived 20 miles to the NW. Probably true for anyone south of NH/VT border. Step back from the computer let the puzzle come to ya. Watch the models bring back a bomb. One can wish and tis the season for dreams to come true. All together now "There's always tomorrow..." Fantastic meteor shower with fireballs out there now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 nam is rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 SnowMan too?!?! yea just a line in the sand for the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Wow. bold call. Locking it in. he dropp'd 1 of 30 caution flags. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 SnowMan too?!?! Nah, rain in Amherst but 6-8 in MHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Kind of a no brainer. Control in many regards is lacking. I'm not immune to wanting to post on every nuance of "as the models turns" Most here can read a map ( I hope) It's ok if it rains, better if it snows. Year after year, threat after threat. It's insanity. The progs presently have the coastal plain as RAIN. For some a hard pill to swollow. I'd feel better in regards chance(s) for snow "if" I lived 20 miles to the NW. Probably true for anyone south of NH/VT border. Step back from the computer let the puzzle come to ya. Watch the models bring back a bomb. One can wish and tis the season for dreams to come true. All together now "There's always tomorrow..." Fantastic meteor shower with fireballs out there now Better a little later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 he dropp'd 1 of 30 caution flags. And those flags worked out. I don't raise 'em for nothing. Hopefully this thread goes back to being somewhat sane this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Hopefully this thread goes back to being somewhat sane this evening. 9:01? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 And those flags worked out. I don't raise 'em for nothing. Hopefully this thread goes back to being somewhat sane this evening. Doubtful. I do think this may develop a more wintry/snowy appeal with time. Seems to have that look. I'm not expecting a whole lot here but things probably will be better northeast of here especially from ORH to GAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I have to be up at 3 for work but thinking of getting up at 2 just to see a few so im hoping Better a little later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Doubtful. I do think this may develop a more wintry/snowy appeal with time. Seems to have that look. I'm not expecting a whole lot here but things probably will be better northeast of here especially from ORH to GAY. Yea has that look for them for sure. i would be happy happy happy to be in that Zone North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Doubtful. I do think this may develop a more wintry/snowy appeal with time. Seems to have that look. I'm not expecting a whole lot here but things probably will be better northeast of here especially from ORH to GAY. i'd think most will see at least some frozen out of it sunday AM (probably not down here - outside of maybe a really brief mix at the onset). maybe a few southern areas snag a C-1 or so before things transition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 There should be a test for eveyone here. Something like MET101- you pass, you post. Great idea to weed out the frivilous! Do I hear a second? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 i'd think most will see at least some frozen out of it sunday AM (probably not down here - outside of maybe a really brief mix at the onset). maybe a few southern areas snag a C-1 or so before things transition? Yeah sounds reasonable. Something at least to watch. It could go downhill but I generally like these kind of looks. Let's hope we see a juicy thump with an overperforming cold shot lol. May be a lot to ask for but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 i'd think most will see at least some frozen out of it sunday AM (probably not down here - outside of maybe a really brief mix at the onset). maybe a few southern areas snag a C-1 or so before things transition? Yea that would be my expectation anyways. you know the drill well. Iso lift looks nice NE of me by about 45 miles, could be a surprise good snow before the lift moves out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 21z SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 There should be a test for eveyone here. Something like MET101- you pass, you post. Great idea to weed out the frivilous! Do I hear a second? There is an ignore feature that can useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 21z SREFs luckily we are not in the sref's wheelhouse or the sne weenies would be heading for the bridges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 luckily we are not in the sref's wheelhouse or the sne weenies would be heading for the bridges. It's probably not in the "wheelhouse" anyways, but keep in mind these are new SREFs this winter. Gone are the RSM/ETA members and in are a full line of WRF NMM/NMB/ARW ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 luckily we are not in the sref's wheelhouse or the sne weenies would be heading for the bridges. The few frames before the one he posted were better for ORH hills/Berkshires. About 30% probs for an inch. But yeah, right now they are not that skillful...esp in the snow probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 This place is insane. Not worth the time / effort. It is maybe now it'll get better. Any chance folks can back off the Blizz beat downs? Direct your venom at me, Mr. 2-threads, instead. I have a headache and am crabby I can't figure how to get Matt Noyes little map to post here. Bad file type or something Nobody is beating him down, I think everyone just wants to see the board improve and not go the other way. That starts with not misquoting people. *** Good meteor shower right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 luckily we are not in the sref's wheelhouse or the sne weenies would be heading for the bridges. So you discount what it shows? Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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