N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Matt Noyes seems to be reading the KURO Good swath of "at least" 2" NH, VT have a lot of "at least" 4" This is by 8AM Monday i'd say N of pike W of 495 good swath of at least two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 For the first time, I actually feel decent about the pattern going forward from next week on...at least a 7-14 day period. I'm not saying expect 30" of snow...but no reason to be crabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 For the first time, I actually feel decent about the pattern going forward from next week on...at least a 7-14 day period. I'm not saying expect 30" of snow...but no reason to be crabby. I'm looking forward to it actually feeling like Winter and not feeling like every event has to thread a needle to perform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Mike, what are you worried about? Temps? I've never seen anyone worry, , express doubt as much as he does. He;s in a great spot..and he always finds something to worry or doubt. It can't be fun with that kind of thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 At any rate..hopefully everyone gets what they want/wish for others etc I really don't think anyone is wishing you to get rain. They are only talking verbatim about what the various models show at a point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 And why is everyone so pissy? Santa Blizz is coming It's like i can't post my thoughts without seven people jumping on it..or making passive aggressive posts twds me. Nothing I laid out is extreme or unreasonable for expectations..yet the last 4 pages turned into me defending it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 I really don't think anyone is wishing you to get rain. They are only talking verbatim about what the various models show at a point in time. Many wish he gets sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I have to admit its always a comical ride in here...especially during down time. I'm not sure people realize how long 3 days is, nevermind 5-7 days. There's not much else I can say about this event that I haven't already said. The two key factors to watch are the Quebec high with its associated cold air drain and low dewpoint arctic airmass. How far south that makes it is a big key. It was just 12 days ago, models busted by literally 10F on the sfc temps 24 hours out on a similar high position. It doesn't mean it will happen again, but it has to be watched. Second, is obviously how amplified the lakes s/w becomes. That will impact how tough the CAD can hold...both in the mid-levels and the low levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I really don't think anyone is wishing you to get rain. They are only talking verbatim about what the various models show at a point in time. Oh there's plenty of folks on here who wish exactly that..trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 For the first time, I actually feel decent about the pattern going forward from next week on...at least a 7-14 day period. I'm not saying expect 30" of snow...but no reason to be crabby. I think people are just a little jaded after all the piss poor luck and lack of performance from any winter storm over the past nearly two YEARS. Once we get a solid warning event for much of the region, then I think people will be a little less blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ..or making passive aggressive posts twds me. LOL Yuppified nation. Relax bro, just keep doing what you do. Who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Truth be told I am exhausted from shoveling all your predicted snow this week and therefore am hoping for rain. rofl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Yup. The antecedent cold is so meh, that even if the rare condiitions that can lead to icing events take place, the initial temps have so little room to shift for this to go from early snow to rain. Yup--people sure are crabby. there is so much to still be worked out with this initial impulse that it's tuff to commit to much, an initial WWA snow over elevated interior , PERHAPS to the coast, changing to rain on e coast and then primarily snow in east central Nh and interior maine, is what i think it likely right now, with alot of details and areas up for grabs wx wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Antecent cold??? LOL>.it's a freshly advected cold air mass with ARCTIC origins coming in Saturday and Saturday night..I mean wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I know exactly what happens to me on SWFE with LP developing over the Cape eventually, know your climo. 1/2 to 2 inches then brief frdz then rain. Its like clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 It's like i can't post my thoughts without seven people jumping on it..or making passive aggressive posts twds me. Nothing I laid out is extreme or unreasonable for expectations..yet the last 4 pages turned into me defending it You need to grow a thicker skin and ignore the barbs... What you posted seems ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I think people are just a little jaded after all the piss poor luck and lack of performance from any winter storm over the past nearly two YEARS. Once we get a solid warning event for much of the region, then I think people will be a little less blah Agreed, I think once winter proves to people it still exists everyone will get nice and drunk in celebration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Oh there's plenty of folks on here who wish exactly that..trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Oh there's plenty of folks on here who wish exactly that..trust me. I don't wish rain on you, I just wish you would stop misquoting people to stir the pot while running around with the town cryer snow/ice bell like the "bring out your dead" guy from monthy python. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Antecent cold??? LOL>.it's a freshly advected cold air mass with ARCTIC origins coming in Saturday and Saturday night..I mean wtf It is, but how far south it gets is a big deal. We may only get the southenr edge of it. Its very nice air up in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 15z SREFs got pretty warm. There's a bunch of members that change it over up here but the mean is across CNE in general. Luckily the SREFs are outside their useful range at this point. The critical thickness/isotherms is for hour 84, and the QPF is hour 87, so the QPF falls after the isotherms get to that location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 I have to admit its always a comical ride in here...especially during down time. I'm not sure people realize how long 3 days is, nevermind 5-7 days. There's not much else I can say about this event that I haven't already said. The two key factors to watch are the Quebec high with its associated cold air drain and low dewpoint arctic airmass. How far south that makes it is a big key. It was just 12 days ago, models busted by literally 10F on the sfc temps 24 hours out on a similar high position. It doesn't mean it will happen again, but it has to be watched. Second, is obviously how amplified the lakes s/w becomes. That will impact how tough the CAD can hold...both in the mid-levels and the low levels. I have no concerns (for me at least) for Sunday... low expectations, hoping to overachieve I have major concerns for Weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I think people are just a little jaded after all the piss poor luck and lack of performance from any winter storm over the past nearly two YEARS. Once we get a solid warning event for much of the region, then I think people will be a little less blah I get that line of thinking, but even in the end of November, recall us saying that we already could see the Pacific going to crap again, I know I said it several times. At least starting this weekend, things change for the better for maybe 7-14 days, although I don't have the skill to comment much beyond that. Maybe we don't get much other than colder air, but I would take my chances with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Oh there's plenty of folks on here who wish exactly that..trust me. Who in the hell would wish that you got rain. Some of you guys need to get a ****ing grip on reality man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It is, but how far south it gets is a big deal. We may only get the southenr edge of it. Its very nice air up in NNE. Was he thinking arctic air would invade Tolland in Dec 2008? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 This place is insane. Not worth the time / effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Where'd LL's avatar go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Where'd LL's avatar go? LOL I just noticed this post and realized I had two messages, I guess it was a bit too much:( oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 LOL I just noticed this post and realized I had two messages, I guess it was a bit too much:( oh well. Too bad man, fight the power! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Congrats SnowNH Coldfront Dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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