40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Don't like the vibe of this run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Euro is way less juicy as compared to the GFS. The surface depiciton isn't far off, however. And warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I think the obs/met disco and banter thread concept is a happy medium...jmo I realize the orgy thread is no longer practical due to the increased population of the board. It's a good idea to have individual threat threads but at 3-7 days it didn't to make a ton of sense. As we approach and define event 1 in the next 24-36 hours it'll make sense to have a thread for just that.... it just seemed to be confusing at that range JMHO. New Euro is warmer through 100ish, wetter, ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 mid-levels are far too warm but still a decent CAD signal down through NH into N MA so ice still a threat for those areas later sunday into monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 mid-levels are far too warm but still a decent CAD signal down through NH into N MA so ice still a threat for those areas later sunday into monday That's a good icing signal for the Monads. Low develops near or just south of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Euro is way less juicy as compared to the GFS. The surface depiciton isn't far off, however. r we speaking of the 1'st s.w and the second? the reason i ask is bc people are going to go back and re read this and think it is about the whole event , not realizing where the model run was at the time of this post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Rain here....any ice threat is irrelevant. It will prob be out to sea with the bomb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 r we speaking of the 1'st s.w and the second? the reason i ask is bc people are going to go back and re read this and think it is about the whole event , not realizing where the model run was at the time of this post The initial wave, or WAA push. There is a follow up wave the blossoms precip over SNE at hr 90-96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Oyyy...anyway, get back on topic. This doesn't need to turn into a superthread discussion. We tried to seperate events because its entirely possible the 2nd one doesn't happen and the first one does...or vice versa. They are not all one meshed event even if they do have some affect on eachother. That is meteorology. We also used the two thread idea as to try and control the banter...we tell people to keep banter to the banter thread, but since most people do not listen and we aren't always around to delete all those posts, the very least we can do is try and spread some of it out so that when someone clicks on the htread, they don't have to read through 46 posts of banter before stumbling upon a useful analytical post. But, that's the last I will say about this in here...if people have more comments about this, I'd suggest doing it in the banter thread. My last 2 cents. I think many of us would rather have more moderation in favor of more threads. I think that's what many of us thought the banter threads were for in the first place with the premise that the model threads were going to be more strictly weather related, pattern threads a little more lenient. I don't think the multi-threads did anything but spread out some of the banter, JMHO. Euro by 108 has a broad 1004mb low, good snows in CNE and NNE, mix/rain changing to snow as the storm exits over the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 r we speaking of the 1'st s.w and the second? the reason i ask is bc people are going to go back and re read this and think it is about the whole event , not realizing where the model run was at the time of this post it's the first event...warm front and wave on the boundary. i'm not even sure the euro is going to have a mid-week storm too close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Nice . Euro has the secondary s of Li. As long as that s there you can count on a sig ice event away from the coast. Same as GFS. Knock off 5-8 degrees off surface temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 That's a good icing signal for the Monads. Low develops near or just south of LI. A lot can still change and this can trend colder again...esp with the high where it is....but I'm starting to feel this is a quick round of light snow on Sunday followed by an icing threat Sunday night into Monday in the interior hills. The look for that is pretty classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 r we speaking of the 1'st s.w and the second? the reason i ask is bc people are going to go back and re read this and think it is about the whole event , not realizing where the model run was at the time of this post Take a look at context of the post...others around it. Not hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 it's the first event...warm front and wave on the boundary. i'm not even sure the euro is going to have a mid-week storm too close. It won't....watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Rain here....any ice threat is irrelevant. It will prob be out to sea with the bomb... That one is going to wind up pretty good Ray. We can't seem to get these systems closer than 130 hours however They've seemingly been stuck between day 4.5 and 5.5 for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 It won't....watch. nah it will have something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 clear trends toward the GFS on the Euro continuing the theme of last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 A lot can still change and this can trend colder again...esp with the high where it is....but I'm starting to feel this is a quick round of light snow on Sunday followed by an icing threat Sunday night into Monday in the interior hills. The look for that is pretty classic. I agree, especially your area north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Take a look at context of the post...others around it. Not hard. half the content is thanks to my question gluck with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Ray gets his cold tuck at hr 120 looking at 925mb. Euro is going to have a good storm here next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I would like to lock the 12z euro please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I agree, especially your area north. Looking forward to the sound of snapping trees and transformers blowing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Nice . Euro has the secondary s of Li. As long as that s there you can count on a sig ice event away from the coast. Same as GFS. Knock off 5-8 degrees off surface temps You will be joining the rain club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 nah it will have something. The problem is stale muddy air over us again. Only way we can make it happen with frozen in that setup is an offshore low winding up which it's trying to do at 132, but we're still struggling with the crappy air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 half the content is thanks to my question gluck with snow I meant before it....obviously if you see a post 5 minutes before it proclimaing the EURO is running, then its a pretty good bet its not the alluding to the day 7 threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I think euros going to be nice d6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 I would like to lock the 12z euro please How is it up here? On the cell and have little time to analyze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 You will be joining the rain club. With that cold high drain and secondary I don't think so. Wanna wager? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2012 Share Posted December 13, 2012 Euro and GFS are in very good agreement with a weaker offshore low to start, trough type setup over NJ delivering precip/snow while we wait. (120-140 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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