tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro shows potential still. Not far from getting snow towards the big cities. GFS on the other hand.......... Yea the euro ens do show some potential still...also welcome to the forum, saw it was your first post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Thank you. Looking forward to some nice snow events to track hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Thank you. Looking forward to some nice snow events to track hopefully where are you from, might want to put that in your profile so people know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 where are you from, might want to put that in your profile so people know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Done. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 Nam trying to suggest a front end thump with storm one for the poconos as it has gone colder at the 850 level. Yes the precip is weak but with a strong south west flow near by should be some rather impressive WAA to generate some nice overrunning. everyone else would be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Nam trying to suggest a front end thump with storm one for the poconos as it has gone colder at the 850 level. Yes the precip is weak but with a strong south west flow near by should be some rather impressive WAA to generate some nice overrunning. everyone else would be rain. yea looks like 1-2 for them, not bad. Though, the warming aloft usually occurs faster than what models predict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Since when is one to two inches a thump? That's barely a tap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Since when is one to two inches a thump? That's barely a tap... You know we'd take that up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 What's the optimal direction in the sky we should be looking? East sky right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Since when is one to two inches a thump? That's barely a tap... comes down in less than 1hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Since when is one to two inches a thump? That's barely a tap... since coming off last winter a half inch is a thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 You know we'd take that up here. comes down in less than 1hr. since coming off last winter a half inch is a thump. What's the optimal direction in the sky we should be looking? East sky right ? They are coming from the east, but I had to look nearly straight up to see them., so it seems the best is right overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 They are coming from the east, but I had to look nearly straight up to see them., so it seems the best is right overhead. Yup. Overhead to slightly looking east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ANOTHER DIFFERENT SOLUTION ON GFS. It's close to being something interesting though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 ANOTHER DIFFERENT SOLUTION ON GFS. It's close to being something interesting though It's still not good, and a long ways from snow. The issue is the low pressure over the great lakes turns the winds to the south and just torches the boundary layer. We start to cool once the coastal becomes the dominant player and switches the wind to a northerly direction and CAA can begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It's still not good, and a long ways from snow. The issue is the low pressure over the great lakes turns the winds to the south and just torches the boundary layer. We start to cool once the coastal becomes the dominant player and switches the wind to a northerly direction and CAA can begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillyBlizzard17 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Yeah OTS anyway. Now what will the Euro do lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 GEFS for what it is worth is west of the op GFS and colder would probably be snow north and west for the lehigh valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 GEFS for what it is worth is west of the op GFS and colder would probably be snow north and west for the lehigh valley. 850s are only -1 there. That *might* be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro = weenies unite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 might end as snow in the Poconos but it's mainly a rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 might end as snow in the Poconos but it's mainly a rain event. The euro=weenies unite comment may refer to the one next Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 The euro=weenies unite comment may refer to the one next Friday... Yep...I wasn't responding directly to him though. and, FWIW, the GFS shows a weaker version of the Euro for next Friday...I can buy onto the end of next week being better for a miller b setup than anything coming through before Wednesday, although I'm not optimistic that we get a Euro style result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Yep...I wasn't responding directly to him though. and, FWIW, the GFS shows a weaker version of the Euro for next Friday...I can buy onto the end of next week being better for a miller b setup than anything coming through before Wednesday, although I'm not optimistic that we get a Euro style result. Me neither, but it sure looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Wow check out 6z GFS, showing same storm as EURO for the Day 7-9 range...Although farther north, but WOW at QPF potentials on both EURO & GFS...def encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Wow check out 6z GFS, showing same storm as EURO for the Day 7-9 range...Although farther north, but WOW at QPF potentials on both EURO & GFS...def encouraging. maybe we need to change the thread title dates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 The euro=weenies unite comment may refer to the one next Friday... Only thing i don't like with that one is we need one of those 3 waves to blow up and act as the 50/50 to flatten out those hgt lines because their looks "as of now" that their will be some decent hgt rises in advance of that storm. Meaning better shot of it to cut. Then it depends on the 50/50 and the block as to how far north it gets and where it develops. That system should have a better supply of colder air around which is a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Verbatim the 6z GFS solution is rain ending as snow N/W, rain ending as rain in Philly. (you don't want that Friday system too strong and too far north with the primary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 What a trainwreck the long range models are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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