Allsnow Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Rare meltdown posts the last 2 days from Allsnow Uncanny of me, i know. Time for another break for me. Hope you get some snow. Its punted down here. Merry christmas bud, congrats scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Storm track will be into NE so again looking at everything two weeks ago, the fact we mentioned that it will be close by is true. This is why we really could use a -NAO because the pacific isn't helping. Just because it might not be a foot of snow for SNE doesn't really change things gong forward. We may easily be on the line, but we are certainly getting storm chances which has been absent do far. Let's see how this shakes out guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 What time does SantaForky arrive to lift our spirits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Doesn't the 500mb map Powderfreak posted for 12/16 suggest a more suppressed track? There is a big low to our northeast it appears and would that be a good sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 BOX has lost all precip here for Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Ryan with great news for the future of winter Connecticut's Few Remaining Ski Areas Adapt To Warmer Winters But Face Gloomy Future Ryan's part is twds the end of the awful awful article.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Also, if the AO is dropping wouldn't we expect more of a cold press in terms of trending as the event gets closer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Ryan with great news for the future of winter Connecticut's Few Remaining Ski Areas Adapt To Warmer Winters But Face Gloomy Future Ryan's part is twds the end of the awful awful article.. Boston Globe did an almost identical article 2 weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Even Freak in trouble. LOL By the mid-21st Century, there will only be a few dozen ski areas remaining in the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine and New York, Scott and fellow researchers predict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Even Freak in trouble. LOL By the mid-21st Century, there will only be a few dozen ski areas remaining in the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine and New York, Scott and fellow researchers predict. How many is a "few dozen"? 36 areas? 48? How many are there now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Also, if the AO is dropping wouldn't we expect more of a cold press in terms of trending as the event gets closer? Devil is in the details mark. Indices help but you have to look where they are oriented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I sense a lot of panic on here, The fact that there are systems on the models is far better then staring at model runs last year that were dry, Hopefully we can get lucky and sneak a couple underneath us to get winter back on track over the next couple weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Glad I got out with the dog and enjoyed that one hour of sun we had this morning. 39/36 overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 It looks like HPC's overnight medium range is going with the Euro and it's ensembles for the medium range pattern. No one has discussed it yet but based on the GFS discussion overnight I hope that is a good sign. What is interesting about it? nothing, like i have been saying for the past month its a torch pattern. Big snowstorms in November are never a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Ryan with great news for the future of winter Connecticut's Few Remaining Ski Areas Adapt To Warmer Winters But Face Gloomy Future Ryan's part is twds the end of the awful awful article.. Eh, I thought the article was pretty fair. With snowmaking the way it is now I think the numbers are awfully gloomy in that study. But we've seen warm winters shutter ski areas before. While temperatures have warmed there's been no discernible trend in actual seasonal snowfall. So the snowfall depth fetish people may be sad down the road the rest of us should be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 How many is a "few dozen"? 36 areas? 48? How many are there now? It may never snow or get cold again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 It may never snow or get cold again. After last year and this year.... curtains for snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 After last year and this year.... curtains for snow and cold. At least we are getting nicer springs and Morches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 cloudy and warm whats new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I think the MJO is actually fighting the Aleutian ridging, since a phase 1 MJO composite for December shows a strong Aleutian low. yeah, i see that. But why isn't at least reducing the -PNA or leading to a +PNA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 yeah, i see that. But why isn't at least reducing the -PNA or leading to a +PNA? Models in D11-D15 have been popping some ridging on the west coast though a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Heating oil prices must be tanking... right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 The D11-15 has had a lot of potential now about every 11-15 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Here is the 12z Nam for next week. It's making things really interesting. SREF is also more north and west. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F09%2F2012+12UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=078&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F09%2F2012+12UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=sim_radar&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=078&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Models in D11-D15 have been popping some ridging on the west coast though a bit. ahh okay. I see a bit more on the 06z gefs...but it's still more of an Aleutian ridge into the Bering Sea (a good thing) as opposed to a real PNA with anomalies over inland western Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Sneaky system at the end of the Nam run on thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Here is the 12z Nam for next week. It's making things really interesting. SREF is also more north and west. http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=M http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=M good look with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Sneaky system at the end of the Nam run on thursday you lost me at end of the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 The 6-10 ec/ecens over the last 3 runs or so has been putting higher heights over Nova Scotia and Maine in the 6-10 range. This is not a good thing since it is really due to Atlantic ridging and not the result of -NAO blocking. You want to see low heights in that region going forward. Some of this may be a result of some retrogression of the Pacific ridge and the beating down of heights in the Bering Sea region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Even Freak in trouble. LOL By the mid-21st Century, there will only be a few dozen ski areas remaining in the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine and New York, Scott and fellow researchers predict. lol... yeah its identical to that Boston Globe article a little while back. I feel fairly good that if Mount Mansfield (easily one of the coldest mountains in New England with great snow preservation on NE exposure) gets warm enough to shut down skiing here, we'll be growing bananas down in town. I just like the fact that Canadian's are saying skiing will be out of business south of them in the next 20-30 years. Time to invest in Mont Tremblant north of Montreal? "Canadian climate change researchers have a bleak prediction for ski areas in southern New England: Within a few decades, slight changes in temperature may make it impossible to sustain a profitable ski season south of the mountains of Vermont and New Hampshire." Ryan's comments were great though and I agree... snowfall hasn't really changed that much, but temperatures are getting warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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