Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:26 PM, ctsnowstorm628 said: LOL no it's not the same as the GGEM. not even close. Totally different s/w interaction. Same basic result.. Different routes getting there. Just like a GPS giving you 3 choices to the same destination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 What a weenie run for Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 wave #2 has its own storm....that one is an SNE special too. Another advisory type event. It really never stops snowing from Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I'm interested in the ECM ENS. Still 114-120 hours out and that's still the way to go at this point. Weenie op solution or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Still snowing at 144 on the Euro, trough looks more positive as #2 starts to get going down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I think we can say toss the Euro. There's no way all 3 waves produce snow. We'll probably see a lot of huge changes over the coming 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:28 PM, CT Blizz said: Same basic result.. Different routes getting there. Just like a GPS giving you 3 choices to the same destination At this point the destination is anywhere from Canada to SNE. I want to see how the ensembles look later today. I'd definitely say elevated SNE is in the game at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Euro is going to go to town with shortwave #3 here in a few frames. It produces like 3 seperate events this run, though event #1 and event #2 are almost congealed, but definitely seperate in the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:29 PM, CT Rain said: I think we can say toss the Euro. There's no way all 3 waves produce snow. We'll probably see a lot of huge changes over the coming 48 hours. lol you are like the anti- ctblizz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:28 PM, ORH_wxman said: wave #2 has its own storm....that one is an SNE special too. Another advisory type event. It really never stops snowing from Sunday. What we have in our favor is Euro OP consistency in handling of this situation to boost confidence. Wave 3 at least is handled somewhat the same given the time range. Odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Another snowy (or pos icy solution) from the Euro. Wherever it stays cold enough could have 3 or 4 days of off and on snow. Typically these setups that look long duration morph into one or two dominant storms... but I could definitely see how this gets strung along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:29 PM, CT Rain said: I think we can say toss the Euro. There's no way all 3 waves produce snow. We'll probably see a lot of huge changes over the coming 48 hours. so toss the EURO and the GFS.. what do we have left? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:31 PM, powderfreak said: lol you are like the anti- ctblizz. lol I know. But seriously there's a very very low chance that 3 separate waves over 72-96 hours wind up producing accumulating snow. Wave 3 does look like the big one I think. I still would hone in on that one as the biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:31 PM, Bostonseminole said: so toss the EURO and the GFS.. what do we have left? The GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 990 over the NC/SC border near the coast early Wednesday morning. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:32 PM, CT Rain said: lol I know. But seriously there's a very very low chance that 3 separate waves over 72-96 hours wind up producing accumulating snow. Wave 3 does look like the big one I think. I still would hone in on that one as the biggie. "But you are saying there's a chance.....?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 what a bomb on the 3rd event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Watch we miss the 1st 2 here then it rains with the 3rd one, Or it closes off and never makes it.................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 This could be a huge hit... that trough really digs all the way to the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 3rd event looks like a torch, but a total bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:32 PM, CT Rain said: lol I know. But seriously there's a very very low chance that 3 separate waves over 72-96 hours wind up producing accumulating snow. Wave 3 does look like the big one I think. I still would hone in on that one as the biggie. Hard to know for sure the impulse for wave 2 isn't currently in a data sparse region. Each model has at one point made #2 the big one. And several individual ens members do as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:35 PM, powderfreak said: This could be a huge hit... that trough really digs all the way to the Gulf. 0c is over New Orleans at one point. Storm is in the low 980s passing the eastern VA shores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 What a bomb at 174, rain up and down the coast, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:35 PM, powderfreak said: This could be a huge hit... that trough really digs all the way to the Gulf. anyone have the 168 frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:35 PM, Cold Front said: Watch we miss the 1st 2 here then it rains with the 3rd one.................... Essentially the take home point is that one of these shortwaves still looks to amplify and go to town somewhere along the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Looks like a cheek puckerer for some. Awfully wound up by 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: 3rd event looks like a torch, but a total bomb. Nothing like a deluge to wash away 2 days of hard-earned mood snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 The interior (esp CNE northward) may hold onto wet snow for event #3 here...but we arenow at hour 180 on the model run, lol....essentially meaningless here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Looks good, at 180-186 you can clearly see Ray gets dryslotted while Kevin has between 3 and 6 feet of snow. (j/k) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 On 12/12/2012 at 6:37 PM, powderfreak said: Essentially the take home point is that one of these shortwaves still looks to amplify and go to town somewhere along the east coast. Sure does from Novie to Virginia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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