Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I'm scared to death of a Dec '96 redux. Didnt you get snow in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I'm scared to death of a Dec '96 redux. . Refresh my memory. I was just turning six. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I haven't looked at anything because I've been busy with work....but my gut says the cp is screwed in the big one.....the wild card is my area here in interior ne MA. Climo dictates that this area often acts as an appendage from the interior, elevated areas...ie, the only area on the cp of sne to cash in (see Dec 1992). Time of season worries me...I'd feel better in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Didnt you get snow in that one? He got like 6-7" of mashed potatoes in the first one but then it was quickly washed away by 2" of rain in wave #2 while W of 495 got destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I remember those back to back and belly to belly 96 storms. Was still living in the semi valley in Vernon. I went up to Tolland to Jens house for the 2 nd one . They had over 15 inches if I recall correctly. Valley had much less. Storm 1 was the bigger of the 2 there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Yeah one at a time. System 1 probably won't be all that strong, but advisory stuff anyways, maybe low end warning north of MA.NH border where mid level processes and erly LLJ pull back moisture. Even CF stuff maybe just near or NW of BOS depending on track. It's early, just preliminary thinking. System 2 could be a large QPF event, and maybe heavy elevation snows, but that is entirely track dependent. Notice how the low on some models like the 06z GFS doesn't up the coast when normally that would probably pull a 12/29/00. That is the block working it's magic. On guidance, this track would smoke much of SNE, but the cold just isn't really there unless this goes past the BM and bombs. It's early, but I feel elevation storm here, but could extend into interior NE MA. The GFS is very warm and pulls a March 2010 for Will during part of this, before turning into a paste bomb for a large part of the area. I'm not sure I buy those mid level temps, but it has the right idea for somewhat of a stale, but workable airmass I think. A track like the 06z with euro temps would be amazing. Im not saying they are the same situation, but I always think back to late jan 2011 with how warm that storm was modelled to be...even when the track shifted to a perfect coastal path, models were still showing ample warmth in the lower levels for the coastal plain. That of course ended up trending colder in the short term. Key differences such as mid-Dec versus late Jan apply, but great dynamics with the perfect track got it done then. If the euro is right, interior would be creamed! post of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 . Refresh my memory. I was just turning six. We got whacked to the tune of about 8" in the first wave...then the follow up wave was all rain for you, while I got about 2".....was relieved to see that I was snow, then contemplated suicide as I flipped to rain, watched the infamous Cantore's infamous "thundersnow clip", and the rest is history. ORH had about 2' of cement when all was said and done...I had about 4", and you had grass. The end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I think 07/08 was the year We got 5" on the 31st and 4" on the 1st Perfect snow It was 07/08. That new years night a whole family unfortunately died in a fire around the corner tough to forget that new years eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 My big storm slump needs to end....if I end up raining, while Dendrite and and Hunchback see 20" again, I quit. Your not allowed to quit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Your not allowed to quit Text me when you get home...few libations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 So December looking near historic but not quite still for snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Chuck em deep @BigJoeBastardi: Major noreaster next week could cause problems in Sandy Ravaged beaches as well as major interior snow, rain turning to snow coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 So December looking near historic but not quite still for snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Chuck em deep @BigJoeBastardi: Major noreaster next week could cause problems in Sandy Ravaged beaches as well as major interior snow, rain turning to snow coast He sounds like he's banging the Dec '92 drum.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 92' analog showing up again? NJ to see rain and painfully watch the snow miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 He sounds like he's banging the Dec '92 drum.... It wouldnt be JB if he wasn't handing out Mar '93, Dec '92, or huge EC hurricane analogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Man oh man at that Euro run for here. I hate letting myself get even a little excited this far out. 2.5" QPF, all snow, from the 2 systems. EC ens mean has about 2" from both....not that QPF is worth worrying about outside of 48hrs, but that is pretty damn high for an ens mean. 6z GFS is solid too. OMG. I don't even know what to say. Just....wow. Wow at the agreement, timing of these storms, and qpf. Just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 92' analog showing up again? NJ to see rain and painfully watch the snow miss? Man, I'm on pins and needles....my area could go either way in that big kahuna. Dec '92 do...of Dec '96 die......could go either way. Interior ne MA is always a wild card.....kind of a transitione zone between the interior and coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 We are about to lay down a snowpack that' may rival the winter of 70-71 on terms of longevity with no torch or warmup s on anyone's horizon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Did DomNH give on this forum and move over to Accuweather? I saw he was a super-moderator over there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 So there appears to be plenty of baroclinicity for next week doesn't there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Did DomNH give on this forum and move over to Accuweather? I saw he was a super-moderator over there... He's giving them tips on how to measure snow on grass when there is a lot of air content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 He's giving them tips on how to measure snow on grass when there is a lot of air content. LOL... Just wondering cause he used to post here a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Man, I'm on pins and needles....my area could go either way in that big kahuna. Dec '92 do...of Dec '96 die......could go either way. Interior ne MA is always a wild card.....kind of a transitione zone between the interior and coast... 92-93 was close to the number 1 post-1979 strat analog and this storm is reacting to the stratosphere. I think that is a pretty cool thing. Let's hope we see that again in late winter too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 So there appears to be plenty of baroclinicity for next week doesn't there? Leave it alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 So there appears to be plenty of baroclinicity for next week doesn't there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Nice sundog out this morning....hoping for snow at Gillette on Sunday night....not sure I want to be sitting and dripping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 We are about to lay down a snowpack that' may rival the winter of 70-71 on terms of longevity with no torch or warmup s on anyone's horizon 12+ weeks of constant snow cover incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 92-93 was close to the number 1 post-1979 strat analog and this storm is reacting to the stratosphere. I think that is a pretty cool thing. Let's hope we see that again in late winter too! You're on the bomb train this season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 You're on the bomb train this season.... I don't even want to think about a March 93' like storm in our new climate regime. Of course, I don't even know if that solution is possible with too much blocking actually. But I can dream can't I...March 93 running into a west NAO block? Maybe that's going too far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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