HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Good night for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 2nd system does not look bad, this one would be good for everyone outside 495 our area, we will need help. The 2nd system (really like the 4th s/w) peaks too early. It really winds up deep in the SE... probably nails Atlanta. But I'm not sure the trof will dig and cutoff that far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 wow could be a very cold christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The 2nd system (really like the 4th s/w) peaks too early. It really winds up deep in the SE... probably nails Atlanta. But I'm not sure the trof will dig and cutoff that far south. yeah, that's a pretty healthy looking s/w down south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 wow could be a very cold christmas! yeah, -10's C 850's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The 2nd system (really like the 4th s/w) peaks too early. It really winds up deep in the SE... probably nails Atlanta. But I'm not sure the trof will dig and cutoff that far south. the vort right behind it that phases behind it looks a little suspect. thing comes screaming into the lead shortwave, yet the pac jet is progressive. Maybe the block is doing its thing. Just something to monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The day 6 storm has some potential for back home I think, it at least needs to be watched. the <0c 850s aren't very far off, and the low placement has room to go a little SE I guess and still give some decent QPF. That high placement to the N kind of blows though. The day 9 storm is probably snow for here as modeled, the low placement is good for a lot of us to get snow. The Christmas period also look really decent. Man, maybe it can be a little bit of a weenie period for higher elevations..especially a little north. I still like my area for a white Christmas but ski country seems primed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The day 6 storm has some potential for back home I think, it at least needs to be watched. the <0c 850s aren't very far off, and the low placement has room to go a little SE I guess and still give some decent QPF. That high placement to the N kind of blows though. The day 9 storm is probably snow for here as modeled, the low placement is good for a lot of us to get snow. The Christmas period also look really decent. Man, maybe it can be a little bit of a weenie period for higher elevations..especially a little north. I still like my area for a white Christmas but ski country seems primed! Right when I go home. Bank on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 I mentioned late dec early jan as a meltdown timeframe to watch for scooter, not much sleep and a barage of rain storms along coast in sne. If will and kev are racking up 20 inches and rain drops are mixing w poopy diapers in dorchesta , scott may go postal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 It would be nice to at least get the pattern active with the weak blocking. Since November 7th it's been one of the more boring stretches of weather we've had for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2012 Author Share Posted December 11, 2012 Lol GFS weenie clown maps are awesome. Congrats Pete MPM PF Dendrite Snow NH, Eric , Jefafafa and all you interior geeks. Round two brings it to the CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 I mentioned late dec early jan as a meltdown timeframe to watch for scooter, not much sleep and a barage of rain storms along coast in sne. If will and kev are racking up 20 inches and rain drops are mixing w poopy diapers in dorchesta , scott may go postal Nah, it is what it is. I understand how things go, but in all honestly...I don't expect to be screwed any moreso that normal. I think these next two storms are more NNE to be honest, but I won't rule out a good start to wintry wx for the interior SNE. Maybe it can go south, but I don't "feel" that at the moment. Never rule things out a week+ out though..still some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Storm 1 looks good for up here. Storm 2 is interesting. For my purposes, disaster no matter what if it happens. Two finals Thursday and one Friday morning then I go home. Either it distracts me from finals, cancels finals, or causes problems for the drive home. Probably would be best for it not to happen at all lol. Maybe it will be a SNE storm. Regardless, you have to like the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Lol GFS weenie clown maps are awesome. Congrats Pete MPM PF Dendrite Snow NH, Eric , Jefafafa and all you interior geeks. Round two brings it to the CP. deep interior @ elevation in sne is best spot for this pattern. E slope ftw. Hopefully the cp can cash in once or twice but there will be some rainers. My good friend will be in central vt @1420' 22-28. I think I will visit. And I think u are too optomistic for this period in cp of sne, very little cold air, very little wiggle room for snow, but the west based -nao offers hope, just think were gonna get the shaft on the cp of sne. close but no cigar imo. and this has nada to do w/ the boogie man of last year.heres the very reliable lr gfs weenie map http://raleighwx.ame...zgfssnow324.gif one thing we can agree on is ski resorts will be doing much better opening more trials as we head toward xmas with this pattern for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 looks like it shifted S scott, euro trend much better for this weekend's storm. not sure what BL looks like a 144, but there is precip and 850 c line running WNE/ESE thru from NW ct to westport, ma. and -2c from MRG to dorchesta. at 168 we have weak broad lp just inside BM with 0c 850 from S orh county to boston ma. will leave other specifics to mets. will be lookin for ens to agree and 12z to show some continuity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 looks like it shifted S scott, euro trend much better for this weekend's storm. not sure what BL looks like a 144, but there is precip and 850 c line running WNE/ESE thru from NW ct to westport, ma. and -2c from MRG to dorchesta. at 168 we have weak broad lp just inside BM with 0c 850 from S orh county to boston ma. will leave other specifics to mets. will be lookin for ens to agree and 12z to show some continuity Yeah it did come in a little cooler for part 1, certainly in the realm of possibilities. Storm 2 is still quite mild here, but that is so far off. Storm 1 is going to be a pelt fest in parts of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 I endorse the 00z GFS.... NNE and interior gets the first one, coastal plain on the second one. Where's Blizz to lock it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 man...finals week ftl. "Went to bed" at 1:30, dog is sick so he kept me up all night, studying more now and three finals today between 8 am and 1 pm. Awful...every time someone says "you'll miss school" I laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 What a weenie euro op run for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Pretty good agreement for a d9 event from the ens for that SWFE redeveloper. Let's get event 1 inside of 48-72hrs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 What a weenie euro op run for up here. 06z GFS pornorrific as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 06z GFS pornorrific as well. 3 threats on the table baby, 2 all the way to the coast? I think I'm wet for #1, white from 12/20-new years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Storm 1 looks good for up here. Storm 2 is interesting. For my purposes, disaster no matter what if it happens. Two finals Thursday and one Friday morning then I go home. Either it distracts me from finals, cancels finals, or causes problems for the drive home. Probably would be best for it not to happen at all lol. Maybe it will be a SNE storm. Regardless, you have to like the potential. Easy call on this one. Storm happens, no disaster at all. 1) you're distracted, don't study 2) exams canceled, not studying doesn't matter 3) enjoy a leisurely snowy ride home. I only see upside here:) I'm becoming cautiously optimistic snow-wise. Before it comes, though, I've got a ton of wood that still needs stackling and a ton more that needs sizing and splitting. I'm in a significant "use or lose" vacation time (I think I'm only working a total of 3 or 4 more days this year ftw) so I can spend a lot of time doing thatt. My daughter's having an 8-year old birthday slumber party on Friday night. What better time to see if I can use headlights to allow me to keep splitting wood that night. 36.4/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 06z GFS pornorrific as well. Yeah--the hits keep on coming. System 1 is really questionable from Mass down--obviouslby the more worrisome the further south and east one goes. Hopefully I can stay on the 'cool enough' side of the line. Might be tough. I really like where you're sitting though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The dry pattern may be ovah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 The dry pattern may be ovah! I believe that would be the case. Now, if we can only time the systems right and manage to keep somewhat seasonable temps we might even develop our snowpack. But, let me not get ahead of myself..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 a bit more interest in the potential for what happens after the weekend. suspect weekend ends up mild (who knows) but that system has a chance to turn things better behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Pretty good agreement for a d9 event from the ens for that SWFE redeveloper. Let's get event 1 inside of 48-72hrs though. Proceed with caution. Yellow flags at the ready Def not confident about the first one imby. But NNE looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Yep 06z GFS continues a bunch of solid hits. I really like how the 19/20th threat is riding the east side of the Apps, then the model truncates and the low just jumps for no reason like 500 miles east after 192, lol. If it continued on that path it'd be a pretty big hit for most of New England. Eitherway, great stormy pattern looks to be setting up. Lets bring on some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Yep 06z GFS continues a bunch of solid hits. I really like how the 19/20th threat is riding the east side of the Apps, then the model truncates and the low just jumps for no reason like 500 miles east after 192, lol. If it continued on that path it'd be a pretty big hit for most of New England. Eitherway, great stormy pattern looks to be setting up. Lets bring on some snow. I was out on Sunday and recognized the familiar parade of cars from CT and NY passing through town (the road to Mt. Snow runs through Shelburne). It will be good to get some good hits prior to Christmas to get people in the habit of heading to the slopes early in the season and rewarding them with good conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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