CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Both of those tracks are near perfect for SNE too... the one on the 17th/18th and the 19th/20th. First one scoots out south of Long Island then the next one is between the benchmark and Cape. Too far north on the GFS, but places like SNH do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Both of those tracks are near perfect for SNE too... the one on the 17th/18th and the 19th/20th. First one scoots out south of Long Island then the next one is between the benchmark and Cape. The 2nd one is way too warm for SNE though. All the cold air is scoured out by then, I'm guessing because of the primary to the West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 All and all a pretty good storm signal modeled next weekend for New England. First off congratulations Scott on your new boy! The weather pattern does look good I think for my area and I was wondering if there is a storm threat signaled around x-mas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Happy now? Only if you have a job for me. As of End of The World Day (12/21), I won't have a job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The 19th/20th storm would cause some emotional issues on this board if a perfect track took place with huge QPF but absolutely no cold air. Worst case scenario right here for 90% of the board, lol. Thankfully it'll change next run. When in doubt...use the map that shows contours with the weeniest solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 la la range has a slow moving pig near xmass, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Man what a storm for NNE on the GFS. If stuff goes right, Could be an epic 7-10 day stretch up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Boxing day special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 All and all a pretty good storm signal modeled next weekend for New England. Yeah... should be fun to at least have something (maybe two storms?) to track regardless of outcome which right now everything is on the table... from raining all the way to Montreal or a winter storm in SNE. Anything to break the monotony of speculating about the pattern two weeks out, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 When in doubt...use the map that shows contours with the weeniest solution. lol nice... a Tip blue bomb special. But man look how far north that -3C H85 contour is in Canada. Pattern just flooded with Pacific air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 When in doubt...use the map that shows contours with the weeniest solution. Wow, those maps are mega-big now. Should be great when we start getting snowstorms on the models and entire pages are filled with people posting those images Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The 2nd one is way too warm for SNE though. All the cold air is scoured out by then, I'm guessing because of the primary to the West. Let's just get the track to hold together for a few model runs and get some other guidance on board. We can worry about the temps later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The 2nd one is way too warm for SNE though. All the cold air is scoured out by then, I'm guessing because of the primary to the West. Yeah that was sort of my point... bummer that there's no cold air to work with because that track from the sfc to mid levels looks like it would be pretty classic for much of New England. Typically in the winter that track would result in the H85 freezing line over the south coast with -10C in the interior... except in this pattern there's no cold to work with so instead it depicts a marginal elevation snowstorm for the deep interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 Lightning flashing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 It'll be fun to get any of these sundry things take place. Awful bust on temps. Topped at 41.7 here at the Pit. The zfp was for "mid 50's". Curious to see how warm it gets in advacne fo teh front. 41.5/41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Only if you have a job for me. As of End of The World Day (12/21), I won't have a job. Well, I think in some ways that is a good thing for you...you deserve better. Maybe PF can get a job for you skiing and taking pictures... that's all he does. If we can all put our air conditioners back in and face them backwards, maybe we can get that GFS fantasy to be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 It'll be fun to get any of these sundry things take place. Awful bust on temps. Topped at 41.7 here at the Pit. The zfp was for "mid 50's". Curious to see how warm it gets in advacne fo teh front. 41.5/41 This is impressive. Cold never scoured out. It was also 8F colder at my work than here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Pretty big bust on temps at bdr. Forecast for mid 60's, never made it to 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 if kevin really is taking a break from posting - it's probably a good thing for his sanity and posting. suddenly up to 2.5" of rain since the other day. this stuff today has been almost tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 if kevin really is taking a break from posting - it's probably a good thing for his sanity and posting. suddenly up to 2.5" of rain since the other day. this stuff today has been almost tropical. Only 0.3" here since yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Just ran it through xmAcis real quick. If you consider white Christmas to be GTE 1" OTG, it has happened 28 out of 113 years for the Boston ThreadEx sties. 24%. And only twice (2009 and 1995) in the current 30 year normals period which I found surprisingly low. I know it's Logan and all but thought they should be able to do it more often than that. At the other SNE sites: BDL was 6, ORH 8, PVD 5, and BDR 4. Pretty low odds at the climo sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 if kevin really is taking a break from posting - it's probably a good thing for his sanity and posting. suddenly up to 2.5" of rain since the other day. this stuff today has been almost tropical. wow--a total of .47" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 thunder. alert wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 2010 had it here, but perhaps not Logan. Areas in SE MA had like 7" OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Money pit mike is sitting at a damn sweet spot for the period 17-25. Mrg 2 .wxmanmitch as well. And orh and blizz to lesser degree imo. The cp people prob will be drinking heavily and talking themselves out of meltdowns esp if a newyears torch is on horizon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Money pit mike is sitting at a damn sweet spot for the period 17-25. Mrg 2 mththinks . thinks. Pet Bout time they cash in. Since when is CT the snow hub of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Regarding what's changed in the 17-24 or so period it looks like the degree of cold air available will be lacking, so not looking awesome for the cp , since I think will asked what changed. Am I off? It lookd more gradient like, now it looks more elevation dependent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Regarding what's changed in the 17-24 or so period it looks like the degree of cold air available will be lacking, so not looking awesome for the cp , since I think will asked what changed. Am I off? It lookd more gradient like, now it looks more elevation dependent Not elevation dependent. Latitude and in some cases longitude dependent. But you don't need higher elevations ith a half decent storm track in late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2012 Author Share Posted December 11, 2012 Just remember the analogs guys and gals. Big things gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Not elevation dependent. Latitude and in some cases longitude dependent. But you don't need higher elevations ith a half decent storm track in late December. violently disagree. With not much cold air, if you live in sne, u have hardly any wiggle room at all in the cp. Deep interior as well as will, dave, blizz at 1k looks much better than portsmouth,nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.