radarman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Incomplete analysis (due to incomplete memory) of fairly recent Pats snowy wins: Jan 2001, 16-13 OT over OAK. (Tuck Rule game.) Dec 2003, 10-0 over MIA (Though the snow was only that thrown into the air by fans after Bruschi's pick-six.) Dec 2008, 47-7 over ARI (And the Cards nearly won the SB that season.) Oct 2009, 59-0 over TEN Not including any such games I've missed, that's an avg score of 33-5, though an NFL game ending with that exact score has probably never occurred. AUG still hanging tough at 30, with FZDZ. Hooray for CAD. Pats @ Bears 12/12/10 36-7 43/43 00000KT 1/4SM FG RMK MSRBL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Pats @ Bears 12/12/10 36-7 43/43 00000KT 1/4SM FG RMK MSRBL And for some of us older foks: Dolphins @ Pats 12/12/82 3-0 Patriots...and of course this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 bos 60 bdl 49 pvd62 orh 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 And for some of us older foks: Dolphins @ Pats 12/12/82 3-0 Patriots...and of course this: The worker was on work leave from prison, It was the Englishman, John Smith that kicked the only FG of the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Less than 1 in 4 (based on a 1" or greateron the ground for a "white" Christmas) That sounds a little low to me, but perhaps Logan Airport really stinks enough in December to make a large difference to just a few miles west. Those numbers were also based on the 1961-1990 period. I wonder if we extend it to present if it gets better for them. I think they had 2000, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010 as White Christmas' since the turn of the century. In the 1990s they had 1995, 1997 and maybe 1998? If we gave them those eyars they would be almost dead 30% from 1960-2011. But regardless, it is definitely below 50% right in Boston. Rays area is probably a coin flip...your area 2 out of 3 or 70%-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Strange day for departures and temps, orh reached 57 which was a +16, was +5.4 for the month before today, should be north of +6 tomorrow. Tan looks like it really torched while the valleys were much cooler. 5 out of the first ten days at orh have featured double digit positive departures. Different pattern vs 2011 December, same result. Torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The worker was on work leave from prison, It was the Englishman, John Smith that kicked the only FG of the game Yup... they have the plow in the Patriots HOF. Roland James with an INT in the end zone to seal the deal... I was listening on the radio in my parents old VW beetle (I think) in Braintree that day. Remember it pretty well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Different pattern vs 2011 December, same result. Torch. We are finding new ways to torch at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 \ nice disconnect in data lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 lol with the unlabeled, or referenced map. "Probability Scale" for what? How do I know this isn't the probability that the Great Pumpkin apears every Halloween? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 There's actually a 3rd NCDC image floating around as well. Here's a map I came up with. It closely followed a 2001 image from NCDC, in an attempt to give better resolution. There's plenty of debate, especially with long-term averages vs. what we've seen over the past 10 years, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Well back home finally. Everyone is doing fine and finally have a laptop to look at weather in between feedings..lol. I'll continue with yesterday's comments...this really is a decent pattern overall until Christmas imho. I understand some will not reep the benefits, but for the overall region, GOA trough and a west based weak NAO block will allow for storm cances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Really? I thought most of MA west of 495 and then NW 1/3rd of CT was like 60-75%. Even higher in MRG land Yeah I thought the odds for a lot of the region outside S Coast (and probably Logan) were decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Yup... they have the plow in the Patriots HOF. Roland James with an INT in the end zone to seal the deal... I was listening on the radio in my parents old VW beetle (I think) in Braintree that day. Remember it pretty well Yes i remember that game very well, It was on tv up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 lol with the unlabeled, or referenced map. "Probability Scale" for what? How do I know this isn't the probability that the Great Pumpkin apears every Halloween? Ok... I will post the source of this, an amazing TRS-80 produced map showing probabilities of white Christmases between 1960-1990 crabby http://www.stormfax.com/whtexmas.htm Happy now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Yes i remember that game very well, It was on tv up here I was just watching youtube vids of NFL games from that era... man, has the sport evolved... as has the TV production Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Well back home finally. Everyone is doing fine and finally have a laptop to look at weather in between feedings..lol. . Nice to have you back on the field at full strength ... good to hear all is well with the fam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I was just watching youtube vids of NFL games from that era... man, has the sport evolved... as has the TV production The size of the players and the speed of the game are two of the biggest stand outs IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 18z GFS looks pretty crazy pre-truncation. It would be a shame if the type of storm that the 18z GFS shows had no cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Nice to have you back on the field at full strength ... good to hear all is well with the fam. I could write a book about this weekend. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Get some sleep Scott and welcome home, looks like the freak might be knee deep in the white soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 18z GFS looks pretty crazy pre-truncation. It would be a shame if the type of storm that the 18z GFS shows had no cold air to work with. Yeah it really would suck if both of these upcoming storms have no real cold air to work with but yet take favorable tracks. That would be the ultimate slap in the face...great track, mid December, but no cold air. Next Sun/Mon... The 19th/20th storm would cause some emotional issues on this board if a perfect track took place with huge QPF but absolutely no cold air. Worst case scenario right here for 90% of the board, lol. Thankfully it'll change next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Man what a storm for NNE on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I could write a book about this weekend. LOL. lol ... I know what you mean. I have twins who spent three weeks in NICU. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 You guys might poop your diapers over the 18z run if that has not already happened ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I could write a book about this weekend. LOL. I got to see my wife's spleen. Twice Glad all is well. Enjoy the feedings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I believe it is around 1 out 3. For ORH it is between 60-65% (I think its 62.5% or something since 1950) Just ran it through xmAcis real quick. If you consider white Christmas to be GTE 1" OTG, it has happened 28 out of 113 years for the Boston ThreadEx sties. 24%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Pete B being a maverick again and furnacing us next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Man what a storm for NNE on the GFS. Both of those tracks are near perfect for SNE too... the one on the 17th/18th and the 19th/20th. First one scoots out south of Long Island then the next one is a bomb between the benchmark and Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 All and all a pretty good storm signal modeled next weekend for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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