radarman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Some snow for Pats/Niners next sunday night would be a nice homefield advantage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Some snow for Pats/Niners next sunday night would be a nice homefield advantage. Use the other thread to discuss 12/15 and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I was out for 2 days and come back to weenies melting down? Am I missing something, because the pattern looks pretty much as advertised at the end of last week. Our potential mini-torch for Dec 13-15 period is still there. I guess people are freaking out now because its closer on the models. It still looks like we have multiple SWFE shots in the Dec 17-25 time frame, and perhaps beyond. Yesterday was a pretty bad low point. A bunch of us kept saying it wasn't a bad pattern, but I think Saturday's runs spooked some. It looks pretty ripe for storms which is one big thing missing as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Use the other thread to discuss 12/15 and beyond. http://www.americanw...215-and-beyond/ Some throwaway GFS analysis with regards to a football game seems a lot better suited to banter than a serious pattern thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Yesterday was a pretty bad low point. A bunch of us kept saying it wasn't a bad pattern, but I think Saturday's runs spooked some. It looks pretty ripe for storms which is one bug thing missing as if late. I was nursing a horrible, horrible hangover so I missed all the good stuff apparently. In re-reading what is left it didn't look that bad just kind of a normal day. When the parents away the kids will play, Will was missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I was nursing a horrible, horrible hangover so I missed all the good stuff apparently. In re-reading what is left it didn't look that bad just kind of a normal day. When the parents away the kids will play, Will was missed. It was not only my son crying, but a few weenies too. But what we kept saying was that block to the north, while by strong is actually coming in Better and will help force cyclogenesis off the coast and keep it from going into NY State. I know people don't see sub 522 thicknesses, but the first goal is to get a storm which we could not do all last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Some throwaway GFS analysis with regards to a football game seems a lot better suited to banter then a serious pattern thread Bob loves to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 12Z GFS once again a hit for the northeast. A bit more snow on the frontside than the 6Z but less on the backside. The way I see it is that the key difference between a hit and a lakes cutter (as the ECMWF advertises) is the interaction between 3 shortwaves. At f126 on the GFS, we see one shortwave (1) over ME, one over MO (2), and one over Manitoba (3). If the spacing between (1) and (2) is too large, a ridge develops between the two, slowing down (2) and giving it the opportunity to phase with (3) - resulting in a lakes cutter. If the spacing between (1) and (2) is too small, (2) will be in the -PVA region of (1), resulting in a very weak storm that will likely be shunted out to sea. Only a "thread the needle" scenario will actually work out, but at least there's a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Thanks for the post, icebreaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The EURO does tend to overphase a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 It was not only my son crying, but a few weenies too. But what we kept saying was that block to the north, while by strong is actually coming in Better and will help force cyclogenesis off the coast and keep it from going into NY State. I know people don't see sub 522 thicknesses, but the first goal is to get a storm which we could not do all last year. Kev may not be gone he may be pre-treating his driveway for the snow he's expecting Tuesday from the coastal wave. I agree on everything else. The frustration yesterday seemed kind of ridiculous. Wow have people gotten spoiled. Pre Xmas snow is always a bonus. I'd rather have a real winter that goes into Feb/March this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Bob loves to over moderate. Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Indeed. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 lol Not trying to cause trouble, but I think that posting about the Pats game in this thread made more sense, as this is the "banter" and that's more serious discussion. Personally, I feel like if he posted that in the other thread someone may have said, "That's better suited for the banter thread, its not serious pattern discussion." Other times, there needs to be good moderation, like during storms, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Indeed. The thing is, this forum doesn't get moderated nearly to the level as the others and you think I over-moderate. You see the disconnect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The thing is, this forum doesn't get moderated nearly to the level as the others and you think I over-moderate. You see the disconnect? I agree that at certain times there should be more moderation. See my post above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 The thing is, this forum doesn't get moderated nearly to the level as the others and you think I over-moderate. You see the disconnect? No one is perfect....you could be a lot more difficult than you are...I agree. Gotta bust 'em, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 53/52 pea soup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Not trying to cause trouble, but I think that posting about the Pats game in this thread made more sense, as this is the "banter" and that's more serious discussion. Personally, I feel like if he posted that in the other thread someone may have said, "That's better suited for the banter thread, its not serious pattern discussion." Other times, there needs to be good moderation, like during storms, agreed. LOL, I made a reference to the fact that there was a discussion already open for post 12/15 discussion and you jump down my throat when I just point that fact out. Wow, you are over-sensitive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 maybe mountainmet will come back Making a mountain out of a molehill? Guess you and Grandpa Bobby missed his posts where he said he would be at Jay Peak this week skiing. Sad you try and stir **** constantly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Not trying to cause trouble, but I think that posting about the Pats game in this thread made more sense, as this is the "banter" and that's more serious discussion. Personally, I feel like if he posted that in the other thread someone may have said, "That's better suited for the banter thread, its not serious pattern discussion." Other times, there needs to be good moderation, like during storms, agreed. No i agree with you, That post was better suited in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 This forum easily has the most lenient moderation. We trust people to use their best judgement a lot...but unfortunately we have people who can't always do that. For some reason, people need to not take it personally when someone removes a post or maybe offers some encouragement to keep threads on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 No one is perfect....you could be a lot more difficult than you are...I agree. Gotta bust 'em, though. I'm gonna lay some hurtin soon. Cat 5ppd gangnam style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Making a mountain out of a molehill? Guess you and Grandpa Bobby missed his posts where he said he would be at Jay Peak this week skiing. Sad you try and stir **** constantly.. I was hoping we could work out a trade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 LOL, I made a reference to the fact that there was a discussion already open for post 12/15 discussion and you jump down my throat when I just point that fact out. Wow, you are over-sensitive. I didn't jump down your throat. Sorry you took it that way, it was a misinterpretation that Ray took the same way. I appreciate all the work you do for this site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I'm gonna lay some hurtin soon. Big man pp style. Aye carumba Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Making a mountain out of a molehill? Guess you and Grandpa Bobby missed his posts where he said he would be at Jay Peak this week skiing. Sad you try and stir **** constantly.. I did miss the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Anyway, only 35.1F up here. No torch for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 I did miss the post. You see what I mean't the other day. Anyways pea soup fog now dissipated as strong winds suddenly kicked in. I am sticking with the strong analog indications that winter will soon be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 59...Tropical downpours....Distant rumbles of thunder. Heck of a way to run a December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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