Mr Torchey Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Well, we can live vicariously through Green Bay tonight, should be a great game with snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Well I am fairly disappointed in the way the winter has transpired so far for snowfall...but I'm just trying to look objectively at the next 10 days and see that hey...it's not a good pattern and it's not even a gradient pattern for that matter. Maybe it will change after that? I really agree with you here on the SWFE idea. It's not that type of pattern at all. There's no strong high to the north and we're not seeing any signs of that happening yet. As of now that has not worked out yet and doesn't look to over the next 7-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 The bellweather period around 12/18-20....if that comes and goes and we're still mainly look at 10+ day threats for more favorable weather that's going to be a significant issue. I think we're okay. I don't expect a shift to the deep tundra I think the change is going to be to more "cool" periods in between Pac ragers. I think this is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Just got to see the GEFS regarding the 84 hr storm, man is that a tease. Seems to be pretty good agreement on a miss though..but it wouldn't take much. Looks like the islands and part of the cape get some precip on most members. Yeah unfortunately it looks like we have only one member of the 12z GEFs suite still impacting the coast. The past several runs have featured several. Definitely not moving in a favorable direction. Interestingly the one impactful member is a major snowstorm up and down the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Day 6-10 ec ensemble mean is pretty awful. looking at the opp Euro, begs the question - where is all the cold air? looks to have a good -nao at the end of the run with zero cold air anywhere.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 looking at the opp Euro, begs the question - where is all the cold air? looks to have a good -nao at the end of the run with zero cold air anywhere.... I hear Iran through Kazakhstan is lovely this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Well to be fair...the 850s over SE QB on that 240hr mean are a good 4-8C above normal and approach normal as you get to the Mid Atl. This may help. I've always been a big fan of this product - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2012 Author Share Posted December 9, 2012 This may help. I've always been a big fan of this product - ah the most reliable indicator, about time that got posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 A lot of the hi-res models are trying to do this. NAM12, local WRF, etc. have PWM temps falling during the day tomorrow. While it may not mean freezing or frozen per se ... I'm having a problem with a warm sector getting much N of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 ah the most reliable indicator, about time that got posted Not sure if you are being sarcastic or not, but it actually is a great tool for giving the anomaly distribution some complexion. It's not necessarily a predictive tool - although it can help. If there is predominating negative anomalies over the Canadian shield, and then the flow abruptly tips NW, we lock up faster than a staring contest with Medusa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I hear Iran through Kazakhstan is lovely this time of year. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 No Tip no sarcasm that is the name Jerry gave it 10 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 Lol. rock the Casbah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 While it may not mean freezing or frozen per se ... I'm having a problem with a warm sector getting much N of the Pike. Agree, makes a cold rain at PWM colder, but could have big impacts up here just inland from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Just had about 15 minutes of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Agree, makes a cold rain at PWM colder, but could have big impacts up here just inland from there. Yeah, I think there could be some decent accretion there - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Nice game for our Giants. Chilly night. Progged major torch tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Nice game for our Giants. Chilly night. Progged major torch tomorrow. One out of three ain't bad... 36.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 about twenty minutes of sleet and sleet/rain mix here but just a cold light rain now fwiw...i was wildly entertained with the thread earlier this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I had some larger rain drops earlier. Was pretty exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 I had some larger rain drops earlier. Was pretty exciting. SR going to have a winter week in the midst of above normal, wonder how that happens? Winter moves south soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Some crappy dendrites in Green Bay still nice to see snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I had some larger rain drops earlier. Was pretty exciting. LOL. Mix here to start. Think things here will be pretty meh. Still could eek out a school delay tomorrow, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Lol....we can't even get decent snow when we try to watch it on tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 SR going to have a winter week in the midst of above normal, wonder how that happens? Winter moves south soon. yep, in 11 days, 10 hrs, and 33 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Awful snow growth in GRB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Awful snow growth in GRB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 35/34 -RA w/ pingers mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Ryan had a nice write up in the pattern thread. But reader beware it will make you puke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Ryan had a nice write up in the pattern thread. But reader beware it will make you puke Thanks man. I think we'll have some wintry threats, though. Doubt we'll get cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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