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Severe Weather Risk 12-9-2012 (TX, AR, LA)


Jim Martin

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DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1200 AM CST SAT DEC 08 2012

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE SUN AFTN AND SUN EVE

ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN AND ERN AR...NE TX...NRN LA...NW MS AND

WRN TN...

..SYNOPSIS

WITHIN LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF INTERIOR

NORTH AMERICA...IT STILL APPEARS THAT SOME PHASING OF EMBEDDED SHORT

WAVE IMPULSES WILL LEAD TO SHARPENING ALONG A POSITIVELY TILTED AXIS

EXTENDING FROM NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO THROUGH THE TEXAS BIG BEND

REGION BY 12Z MONDAY. SIZABLE SPREAD PERSISTS AMONG THE MODELS AND

MODEL ENSEMBLES CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THE SHORT WAVE

DEVELOPMENTS...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE LEAD IMPULSE SHIFTING EAST OF

THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY IN THE PERIOD MAY REMAIN MOST PROMINENT AS

IT CONTINUES EAST NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT

LAKES REGION. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT PRIMARY SURFACE

CYCLOGENESIS...MAINLY EAST OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO

SOUTHERN ONTARIO LATE IN THE PERIOD.

A SIGNIFICANT COLD INTRUSION PROBABLY WILL SURGE MORE RAPIDLY

SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THAN EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AS A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OFF THE WESTERN GULF

OF MEXICO CONTRIBUTES TO PRE-FRONTAL MOISTENING. A NARROW CORRIDOR

OF PRECIPITABLE WATER IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH MAY REACH THE UPPER OHIO

VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH VALUES

OF 1.25 TO 1.5 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. COUPLED WITH INCREASING FORCING FOR UPWARD

VERTICAL MOTION...DESTABILIZATION PROBABLY WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO

SUPPORT CONSIDERABLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM PORTIONS OF THE

SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...AND

PERHAPS PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION.

..CNTRL/SRN AND ERN AR...NE TX...NRN LA...NWRN MS...WRN TN

ALTHOUGH SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENING LIKELY WILL

BE STRONGEST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION LATE IN THE

PERIOD...MODEST STRENGTHENING OF 850 MB FLOW TO 30-40 KT STILL

APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION INTO UPPER

PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING. THIS IS

EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE /LIKELY DIGGING UPSTREAM

THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SUNDAY/ FINALLY BEGINS TO ACCELERATE EAST OF

THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS MAY ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASINGLY

DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW FIELD ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN ARKANSAS AND

ADJACENT STATES...WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR AND FORCING FOR UPWARD

VERTICAL MOTION MAY SUPPORT SQUALL LINE EVOLUTION. A WINDOW OF

OPPORTUNITY APPEARS TO EXIST FOR POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND

GUSTS...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL...BEFORE ACTIVITY SPREADS INTO A LESS

STABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE EAST AND WEAKENS OVERNIGHT.

PEAK BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE LATE

AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CORRIDOR

ACROSS THE ARKLATEX INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. BEFORE STRONGER FORCING

DEVELOPS...SCATTERED DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE

PRESENCE OF 500-1000 J/KG OF MIXED LAYER CAPE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS

ARE SUGGESTIVE OF STRONG...BUT MOSTLY UNIDIRECTIONAL VERTICAL SHEAR.

HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS MAY BECOME SUFFICIENTLY LARGE TO

SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME TORNADIC POTENTIAL.

..KERR.. 12/08/2012

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Fairly substantial expansion of the slight risk area with the new D1:

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1154 PM CST SAT DEC 08 2012

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM FAR SERN MO/FAR WRN KY/WRN

TN THROUGH THE ARKLATEX REGION TO E AND S CENTRAL TX...

...SYNOPSIS...

A LARGE SCALE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOMPASS MUCH OF INTERIOR

NORTH AMERICA THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MODELS SUGGEST THE PHASING OF

SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TODAY SHOULD LEAD TO SHARPENING

OF A POSITIVELY-TILTED LARGE SCALE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE TX BIG

BEND TO NRN ONTARIO. AS THIS EVOLUTION OCCURS...DEEP LAYER SWLY WIND

FIELDS WILL BE STRENGTHENING FROM TX TO THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY TO

THE NERN STATES. A SUB-TROPICAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY MOVING

ACROSS SRN BAJA PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE

MID-UPPER TX COAST REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE SHOULD

SUPPORT A TSTM POTENTIAL ALONG THE SRN EXTENT OF A SURFACE FRONT

AND/OR IN THE WARM SECTOR INTO LA.

THE SHARPENING OF THE DEEP PARENT TROUGH WITH GREATEST SURFACE

PRESSURE FALLS EXPECTED ALONG AND E OF THE MID MS VALLEY SUGGESTS

THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL FORM NEAR TO EAST OF KSTL THIS

AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN INTENSIFY SOME TONIGHT AS IT

TRACKS THROUGH THE OH VALLEY TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION BY 12Z

MON. ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL

PLAINS TO NWRN TX AT THE START OF DAY 1...A SEPARATE BOUNDARY

EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL OK TO SRN/CENTRAL MO SHOULD BECOME THE

PRIMARY FRONT. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE FOCUS FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS

THIS FRONT ADVANCES E/SEWD INTO THE OH/TN AND LOWER MS VALLEYS.

...S CENTRAL-ERN TX/NRN LA/AR/WRN-NRN MS/WRN TN/WRN KY/SERN MO...

TSTMS...MAINLY ELEVATED...ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT 12Z TODAY IN

VICINITY AND N OF THE PRIMARY SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM PARTS OF ERN OK

AND AR TO THE TN AND LOWER OH VALLEYS. ACTIVITY IN THE WRN EXTENT OF

THIS REGION COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO POSE A THREAT FOR ONGOING

ISOLATED HAIL INTO EARLY SUN MORNING.

MEANWHILE...SWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY FRONT WILL

MAINTAIN NEWD MOISTURE RETURN WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS AROUND 60

REACHING FAR WRN TN AND ADJACENT NERN AR/FAR SERN MO THIS

AFTERNOON...WITH MID-UPPER 50S POSSIBLE INTO CENTRAL KY/SWRN OH.

MID 60S F DEWPOINTS WILL BE INTO SRN AR WITH UPPER 60S CONFINED

ALONG AND INLAND OF THE TX COAST. GENERALLY WEAK MIDLEVEL LAPSE

RATES WILL BE THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR STRONGER INSTABILITY

TODAY...THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN AND SURFACE HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN

MLCAPE 500-1200 J/KG ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. THE GREATER

INSTABILITY WILL BE CONFINED TO OVER AND S OF SRN AR...WHERE MLCAPE

WILL EXCEED 1000 J/KG.

THE MORNING TSTMS WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY AS A SWLY LLJ

MOVES INTO THIS REGION SUPPORTING A CONCURRENT NEWD TRANSLATION OF

THE WAA REGIME. NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON SWWD

ALONG THE FRONT AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SEWD INTO AR...NERN TX AND

INLAND FROM THE MIDDLE TX COAST. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT

WITHIN THE STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD WILL SUPPORT

ORGANIZATION WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS.

HOWEVER...ANY DISCRETE STORMS...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE DEEP LAYER

SHEAR...COULD POSE A TORNADO THREAT. A GREATER TORNADO THREAT MAY

DEVELOP SUN EVENING OVER NRN LA INTO SERN AR AND WRN MS...AS A

SECONDARY SWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS AS

SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE SRN PLAINS FROM THE FOUR CORNERS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH LATE SUN EVENING AS THE

BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES. TSTMS WILL...HOWEVER...PERSIST OVERNIGHT

ALONG THE FRONT AS STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS ADVANCE EWD WITH THE

FULL-LATITUDE PARENT TROUGH SUPPORTING LINEAR FORCING.

..PETERS/MOSIER.. 12/09/2012

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1010 AM CST SUN DEC 09 2012

VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM

CENTRAL TX INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...

AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH LIES ACROSS THE ENTIRE CONUS TODAY...WITH

A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES.

AT THE SURFACE...THE MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM TX INTO THE

OH VALLEY. THIS ZONE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING THIS MORNING OVER PARTS OF

MO/AR INTO THE TN/OH VALLEYS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW

LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IN VICINITY OF 30-40 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW

LEVEL JET. THESE WINDS ARE ALSO HELPING TO TRANSPORT GULF MOISTURE

NORTHWARD WITH 60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS EXPECTED AS FAR NORTH AS

WESTERN KY BY LATE AFTERNOON. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY

LIMIT HEATING OVER THIS CORRIDOR...BUT THE APPROACH OF A STRONG COLD

FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE

AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM NORTHEAST TX

INTO WESTERN KY/TN SHOW MODERATELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND

MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL

PROMOTE SUPERCELL AND BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES OVER THIS REGION CAPABLE

OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A TORNADO OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE

THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER. THE MAIN

TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE FROM CENTRAL AR/SOUTHEAST MO INTO

WESTERN KY/TN. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO A QLCS BY LATE

EVENING AND PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN MS/WESTERN TN

THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DURING THE EVENING...STORMS MAY DEVELOP SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COLD

FRONT INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN/CENTRAL TX. GREATER

MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ARE FORECAST TO BE PRESENT IN THIS AREA...WHICH

MAY AID IN THE RISK OF HAIL IN ADDITION TO GUSTY WINDS IN THE

STRONGER STORMS.

..HART/DISPIGNA.. 12/09/2012

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This could evolve into a pretty darn healthy severe threat this afternoon and tonight, especially from srn AR into the upper MS delta. The low-level CAPE is gonna be through the roof and the hodos have a pretty good size/curvature to them. New EMC WRF is in with some pretty intense updraft helicity maxes this evening.

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2139

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1238 PM CST SUN DEC 09 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN INTO NERN AR...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...WRN

KY/TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 091838Z - 092045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF SWRN INTO NERN AR...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...AND

WRN KY/TN ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY SVR

WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...THOUGH A

TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES AN AREA OF LOW

PRESSURE OVER CNTRL AR...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INTO CNTRL

TX...AND A WARM FRONT SLOWLY RETREATING NWD OVER WRN/CNTRL KY. AS AN

UPPER TROUGH CONSOLIDATES AND DEEPENS OVER THE CNTRL CONUS THIS

AFTERNOON/EVENING...THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NEWD INTO

THE LOWER OH VALLEY...AND THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NWD

INTO SRN IND/OH.

MEANWHILE...A 30-40 KT SWLY LLJ HAS AIDED IN TRANSPORTING LOW TO MID

60F DEWPOINTS ALONG AN AXIS FROM SWRN AR INTO WRN KY/TN. IN

ADDITION...POCKETS OF CLEARING OVER AR HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO

LOCALLY WARM TO AROUND 70F...WHICH HAS AIDED IN BOUNDARY LAYER

DESTABILIZATION AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF AGITATED CUMULUS CLOUD

STREETS. WV AND VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A PLUME OF HIGH LEVEL

CLOUDINESS OVERSPREADING THE REGION...WHICH MAY INFER THE APPROACH

OF A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT

FEATURE COMBINED WITH CONTINUED SURFACE HEATING...CONTRIBUTING

TOWARD SBCAPE VALUES FROM 500-1500 J/KG...MAY AID IN GRADUAL

DEEPENING OF THE CUMULUS FIELD OVER AR AND EVENTUAL SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE...ASCENT ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL STRENGTHEN BY LATE

AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS FROM WRN KY INTO SRN AR. IF CELLULAR

ACTIVITY CAN DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN DEEP-LAYER SHEAR

NEAR 50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS. IF STORMS QUICKLY ORGANIZE INTO

LINES ALONG THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN BOWING/LEWP

STRUCTURES WILL BE MORE LIKELY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS

WILL BE THE PRIMARY SVR WEATHER THREATS WITH EITHER MODE OF

CONVECTION. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE 30-40

KT SWLY LLJ AIDS IN EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES FROM 150-250 M2 S-2.

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Currently tracking areas around Greenville, MS to Little Rock, AR as the highest threat. Potential to see hail up to 3-4", and convective wind gusts up to 75MPH. In addition, indicating decent levels for isolated tornadoe possible today. Looking at 01 to 04Z as the highest potential time frame.

Full output uploaded. http://smartwxmodel.net/update2.htm

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

222 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

ARC065-135-092100-

/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121209T2100Z/

IZARD AR-SHARP AR-

222 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL SHARP AND

CENTRAL IZARD COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CST...

AT 219 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LUNENBURG...OR 4 MILES SOUTH OF

MELBOURNE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...

MELBOURNE... STELLA... SIDNEY...

MYRON... LUNENBURG... LACROSSE...

GID... ZION... SAGE...

EVENING SHADE... WOLF DEN MTN...

MELBOURNE MUNI ARPT... MEEKS MTN...

HALEY FORT MTN... GILLIHAN LAKE... CATFISH LAKE...

BONE TOWN...

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It continues

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

241 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

ARC065-135-092100-

/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121209T2100Z/

IZARD AR-SHARP AR-

241 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL SHARP AND

EAST CENTRAL IZARD COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CST...

AT 238 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF SIDNEY...OR 10 MILES

EAST OF MELBOURNE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...

SIDNEY... ZION... EVENING SHADE...

GILLIHAN LAKE... CATFISH LAKE... BONE TOWN...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

254 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHERN SHARP COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 330 PM CST

* AT 252 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE

STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF SIDNEY...OR 11 MILES SOUTH

OF ASH FLAT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING EAST AT

35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...

POUGHKEEPSIE... NELSONVILLE... EVENING SHADE...

CENTER... STREET LAKE... HWY 354 AND 58...

BEN GAY...

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

308 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

ARC135-092130-

/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121209T2130Z/

SHARP AR-

308 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN SHARP COUNTY

UNTIL 330 PM CST...

AT 305 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF STRAWBERRY...OR 13

MILES SOUTHEAST OF ASH FLAT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...

POUGHKEEPSIE... NELSONVILLE... CENTER...

STREET LAKE... HWY 354 AND 58... BEN GAY...

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TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN

313 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

SOUTH CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 345 PM CST

* AT 314 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 9 MILES WEST OF

ANNIEVILLE...OR 14 MILES WEST OF LAKE CHARLES STATE PARK...MOVING

EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RURAL AREAS

OF NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTH CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTIES.

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TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY

316 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

SOUTHEASTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

NORTHEASTERN RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

SOUTH CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 345 PM CST.

* AT 312 PM CST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF

PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

BUDAPEST...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF DONIPHAN...MOVING EAST AT 35

MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...

BRUSH ARBOR AND MILLTOWN.

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In Missouri now

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY

316 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

SOUTHEASTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

NORTHEASTERN RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

SOUTH CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 345 PM CST.

* AT 312 PM CST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF

PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

BUDAPEST...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF DONIPHAN...MOVING EAST AT 35

MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...

BRUSH ARBOR AND MILLTOWN.

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