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SW/Central/SE VA Winter 2012-13 Thread


MidlothianWX

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  1. First post here.  Been lurking for yrs.  What a surprise!  I appreciate all of the updates and pics!  Live in S. Chesterfield but work in Hopewell.  Not much happening here today except for high winds.  Had a short "blizzard" event about 15 minutes ago.  Hardest I've seen it snow in years.  Hope these bands keep coming through.  Would be nice to see this continue til / through sundown.

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The ratio's are absolutely horrid.   Probably the slushiest wet snow I've ever seen.   Probably had a good 0.5  inches of moisture or so.. and have about a 1/2 to show for it. ^^;;    Melting.. etc.. not helping matters.     Lulls in action almost kill what snow does accumulate.  ^^;

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Odd look to the radar now. Almost looks like the low is backing west with the precip as opposed to east earlier, setting us up for a final blow later in the afternoon when the low moves offshore.

Well, I think that jog is what the Euro kept showing I just think some folks threw it out because it was supposed to be the GFS and NAM to hit this one.

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For Hampton Roads, I think we are going to get what is hammering the upper Eastern Shore atm. It is beginning to turn more southerly now as the Low begins moving SE. If it holds together we may have a fun night.

Yes we need that wind to turn out of the North then its on. Im using this as a guage ---> http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=CHYV2 Temp is already 37.0 on the water..

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Yes we need that wind to turn out of the North then its on. Im using this as a guage ---> http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=CHYV2 Temp is already 37.0 on the water..

We are going to go from west winds to north winds to Northwest winds as the system moves slowly SE. Compare these two radar loops. You can see the main part over the Northern Eastern Shore should be moving our way in a few hours.

 

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AKQ&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

 

and

 

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=dox&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

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this may sound petty, but I am stoked with the DC screw job after their behavior this week. Karma is a B

I think the big take away here is- don't ignore the euro when it's locked in. The GFS and NAM had some magic runs for BWI and DCA that reeled people in prematurely. I think the euro was showing a CHO-Staunton-Harrisonburg bullseye pretty much since Sunday. The euro may have only shown 4-8 at most for DCA on the best run.

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I think the big take away here is- don't ignore the euro when it's locked in. The GFS and NAM had some magic runs for BWI and DCA that reeled people in prematurely. I think the euro was showing a CHO-Staunton-Harrisonburg bullseye pretty much since Sunday. The euro may have only shown 4-8 at most for DCA on the best run.

 

DT will never look at any other weather model again.

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