Coach McGuirk Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 We're in the DT bullseye. We're screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This thread is very surprisingly quiet. Can we get some updates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This thread is very surprisingly quiet. Can we get some updates? I think people are waiting for 00z runs and for Wakefield to pull the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I think people are waiting for 00z runs and for Wakefield to pull the trigger. Yeah. There are already WWA's up to the SW of the viewing area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 18z GFS says 2-4" Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This thread is very surprisingly quiet. Can we get some updates? I think after being burned so much that it's hard to get excited until it's snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I'm taking the wait and see approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 18z GFS says 2-4" Congrats. You're congratulating us on 2-4 inches of snow that hasn't even fallen and might not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 You're congratulating us on 2-4 inches of snow that hasn't even fallen and might not. Coach, you are the worst I have ever seen.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Coach, you are the worst I have ever seen.... lol I can see this storm easily going out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Most local mets don't have anything over 2inches. All claiming the ground is too warm. WTKR, WVEC all under 1in everywhere with WAVY at 1-2 for Norfolk westward. It seems like everyone is taking a conservative approach as usual for this one A LOT of snow will fall at times late Saturday and Saturday night. The big question is how much will stick with the warm ground and air temperatures that will be well above freezing. If you were to put out a frozen plate you would end up with several inches on it, but 60 degrees for highs Friday should mean much less sticking on the ground.-Jeff Lawson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 0z NAM still looks like a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We will overcome boundary layers fairly quickly. Who cares what local mets say. It is the same old warm ground B.S. with every storm, even the ones we get 12"+ from lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We will overcome boundary layers fairly quickly. Who cares what local mets say. It is the same old warm ground B.S. with every storm, even the ones we get 12"+ from lolz 00z NAM is rain then some snow showers. Don't get too excited about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I've got to stay conservative with this one and a general 1" with 2"-3" in some spots I think is going to about do it here. The ground is really warm and it seems like the models are kicking the precip off a little earlier which is going to mean more of a mix to start so that will cut back on accums. as well. Hey it's 1"-3" more than I thought I was going to get a couple of days ago so I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I've got to stay conservative with this one and a general 1" with 2"-3" in some spots I think is going to about do it here. The ground is really warm and it seems like the models are kicking the precip off a little earlier which is going to mean more of a mix to start so that will cut back on accums. as well. Hey it's 1"-3" more than I thought I was going to get a couple of days ago so I'll take it. Don't count your chickens before the eggs hatch. My guess is generally a dusting to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 00z NAM is rain then some snow showers. Don't get too excited about this one. Coach, if you feel that way then why are you even on here following this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Coach, if you feel that way then why are you even on here following this? I like snow but this storm has a lot of problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I like snow but this storm has a lot of problems. Look where we live. Every storm has problems here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 00z NAM is rain then some snow showers. Don't get too excited about this one. NAM never had anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 NAM never had anything I haven't checked the lower level soundings on the 00z NAM because they haven't come out yet but that's my general feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 AKQ is up to 1-2 with higher amounts in NE NC. Still no WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 AKQ is up to 1-2 with higher amounts in NE NC. Still no WWA. If NE NC wins....lolz At least they have upped amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 AKQ is up to 1-2 with higher amounts in NE NC. Still no WWA. I'm sure they'll throw out the WWAs around 11pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Coach, if you feel that way then why are you even on here following this? He just likes to troll every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Torch at the surface, but all other levels are cold. Edit: This is from AKQ area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 He just likes to troll every storm. Not really. I'm just being realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 WxSouth on Facebook: Keeping a close eye on the vort coming through Kansas now. It dropped a quick couple of inches there. This is the feature that helps the Upstate/lower NC around midday tomorrow for snow chances there. However, temps just off the ground are warm in the lee of the Southern Apps and this has happened, many, many, many times for extreme western SC, southern foothills NC , northeast GA region where even though its plenty cold enough aloft to snow, the bubble of warmth near the ground turns it to rain. However, this vort is pretty powerful and may offset that low level warmth. Tough call. Further east the snow chances are better with better rates, more moisture and actually colder temps at 950 to 925 mb layer. So still, my favorite spot for significant snow (falling and the rates) is the Raleigh, Fayetteville, Rocky Mt and Norfolk region.The NAM continues to trudge a little more moisture west with each run. The key now is the actual obs upstream (radar, satellite, ground reports). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 New GFS brought heavier precip west. Looks real nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks to me like gfs says 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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